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Events
GroupKALSHI

Where will it rain on Election Day?

Where will it rain on Election Day?
Vol

K 0 contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

49

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Des Moines at 90%.

Kalshi

  1. Des Moines90%
  2. West Palm Beach85%
  3. Madison84.5%
  4. Springfield, MO84%
  5. Houston83.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

49

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

November 3, 2026 If the total precipitation X 3, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data X can be found at https://weather.com/kalshi. “Trace” amounts, T, and missing daily precipitation values are counted as 0 inches. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?

Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?

K 199.0K contracts
Will Florida be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 46%
Will Maine be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 28%
Will Ohio be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 8%
+17 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?

Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?

K 211.3K contracts
Will Kansas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 29.5%
Will Texas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 22.5%
Will South Carolina be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 18.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
GA-02 House election: Matt Day vote percent (1st Round)

GA-02 House election: Matt Day vote percent (1st Round)

K 0 contracts
Will Matt Day receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-02 House election?Yes 91%
Will Matt Day receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-02 House election?Yes 79%
Will Matt Day receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-02 House election?Yes 61%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
In what year will the next UK general election be held?

In what year will the next UK general election be held?

K 4.3K contracts
Will it be confirmed that 2029 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred?Yes 59.5%
Will it be confirmed that 2028 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred?Yes 29.5%
Will it be confirmed that 2027 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred?Yes 11%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
KalshiTech
Where will it rain on Oct 31, 2026?

Where will it rain on Oct 31, 2026?

K 569.6K contracts
Will it rain in Tampa on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will it rain in Phoenix on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will it rain in Oklahoma City on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 99.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 31 - Nov 1)?

Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 31 - Nov 1)?

K 186.3K contracts
Will it rain in Tampa between Oct 31 and Nov 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will it rain in Phoenix between Oct 31 and Nov 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will it rain in Oklahoma City between Oct 31 and Nov 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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