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Will the Senate confirm James Sullivan as a federal judge?

Will the Senate confirm James Sullivan as a federal judge?
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Current odds

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As of Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Before Jan 3, 2027 at 85%.

Kalshi

  1. Before Jan 3, 202785%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

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Reported volume · provider units

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Source snapshot: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Before Jan 3, 2027 If James Sullivan is the first person confirmed as U.S. District Judge for the Western District of Texas before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No. The position refers to the judgeship on the U.S. District Court for the Western District of Texas to which James Sullivan is nominated. The confirmation of another nominee to a different judgeship on that court does not count as another person being confirmed to the position. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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7 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
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