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Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?
Vol

PM $13.6K

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Events

1

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Markets

6

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Shadowrocket at 20%.

Polymarket

  1. Shadowrocket20%
  2. HotSchedules3.3%
  3. play_music_theory2.4%
  4. Deck-Man: Cassette Player1.9%
  5. AnkiMobile Flashcards1.6%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $13.6K

Reported volume · provider units

6

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/iphone/charts/36?chart=top-paid).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketTech
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?

PM $6.9K
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?Yes 72%
Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?Yes 26%
Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?Yes 10%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Top US Netflix Show this week?

Top US Netflix Show this week?

K 7.3K contracts
Will The One About Matthew Perry: Season 1 be Top US Netflix Show on Nov 2, 2026?Yes 75%
Will Nobody Wants This: Season 3 be Top US Netflix Show on Nov 2, 2026?Yes 4%
Will From: Season 1 be Top US Netflix Show on Nov 2, 2026?Yes 3%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
#2 US Netflix Show this week?

#2 US Netflix Show this week?

K 3.9K contracts
Will Nobody Wants This: Season 3 be #2 US Netflix Show on Nov 2, 2026?Yes 67%
Will The One About Matthew Perry: Season 1 be #2 US Netflix Show on Nov 2, 2026?Yes 9.5%
Will From: Season 1 be #2 US Netflix Show on Nov 2, 2026?Yes 2.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Next Gemini Pro model release

Next Gemini Pro model release

PM $2.00M · K 67.4K contracts

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 8.5%Rules differK Yes 7%

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 1, 2026?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 1.8%Rules differK Yes 1.5%

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 1, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.1%Rules differK Yes 1.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
When will Anthropic release Claude 6?

When will Anthropic release Claude 6?

PM $61.1K · K 31.2K contracts

Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027?

Kalshi: Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 88.5%Rules differK Yes 89.5%

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 86%Rules differK Yes 21%

Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?

Kalshi: Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Jun 30, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 72.5%Rules differK Yes 65%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

7 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/26 - 11/1)

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/26 - 11/1)

K 28.3K contracts
Will October 29 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/26 - 11/1)?Yes 23.5%
Will October 31 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/26 - 11/1)?Yes 16.5%
Will November 1 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/26 - 11/1)?Yes 16%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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