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Events
GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Acre Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Acre Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Vol

PM $78.1K · K 6.0K contracts

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Events

3

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Markets

14

Polymarket vs Kalshi

Snapshot from

As of Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, Mailza Assis is priced at 98.6% on Polymarket and 99% on Kalshi.

Outcome (Yes price)PolymarketKalshiGap
Mailza AssisSame question, fine print differs98.6%99%0.4 pts
Alan RickSame question, fine print differs1.3%1.5%0.2 pts

Yes prices for outcomes an automated review found to ask the same question on both platforms. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $78.1K · K 6.0K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

14

Saved contracts

2

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

The second round of the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the second round ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election as published by the Superior Electoral Court of Brazil (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketPolitics
Guerrero Governor Election Winner

Guerrero Governor Election Winner

PM $95.7K
Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Yes 88.3%
Will Carlos Reyes Torres win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Yes 5.8%
Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Yes 4.7%
+25 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Campeche Governor Election Winner

Campeche Governor Election Winner

PM $28.8K
Will Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?Yes 70.5%
Will Eliseo Fernández Montúfar win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?Yes 18.9%
Will Carlos Ucán Yam win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?Yes 0.5%
+23 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

PM $42.12M · K 19.35M contracts

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in California? (Xavier Becerra)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 96.4%Rules differK Yes 95.6%

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in California? (Steve Hilton)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 3.4%Rules differK Yes 4.3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Alaska Governor Election Winner

Alaska Governor Election Winner

PM $1.57M · K 838.8K contracts

Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in Alaska? (Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 79%Rules differK Yes 81.5%

Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in Alaska? (Bernadette Wilson)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 18.5%Rules differK Yes 16.5%

Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in Alaska? (Tom Begich)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

14 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Michoacán Governor Election Winner

Michoacán Governor Election Winner

PM $61.6K
Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Yes 35.8%
Will Grecia Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Yes 28.1%
Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Yes 11.6%
+19 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Colima Governor Election Winner

Colima Governor Election Winner

PM $39.2K
Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?Yes 83%
Will Joel Padilla Peña win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?Yes 5.4%
Will Gabriela Benavides Cobos win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?Yes 5.1%
+19 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

2

Largest saved gap: 0.4 percentage points.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.