Economics prediction markets

1,518 economics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Politics Sports Culture Crypto Climate Economics Mentions Companies Financials Tech Science Health World Clear categories

Showing 433-480 of 1,518 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiEconomics

U.S. oil production per day in 2026

K 31.6K contracts

How many oil barrels per day will the US produce this year? (At least 14.00M bpd)Yes 85%

How many oil barrels per day will the US produce this year? (At least 14.10M bpd)Yes 38%

How many oil barrels per day will the US produce this year? (At least 14.25M bpd)Yes 13.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiEconomy

Chile rate decision in October

PM $13.9K · K 31.4K contracts

Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Chile maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 96.6%Rules differK Yes 96.5%

Will the Central Bank of Chile increase the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Chile hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.1%Rules differK Yes 1%

Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Chile cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.3%Rules differK Yes 2%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC

KalshiCompanies

Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.89% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.89% in Oct 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 74%Rules differK Yes 75.5%

Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.86% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.86% in Oct 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 67.5%Rules differK Yes 71%

Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.83% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.83% in Oct 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 40.5%Rules differK Yes 62.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiEconomics

Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?

K 30.8K contracts

Will the decline in Canadian-resident return trips from the United States for 2026 be above 20%?Yes 7.5%

1 mktNext deadline Mar 2, 2027 UTC

KalshiEconomics

Average Iowa farmland value in the 2026 ISU survey

K 30.5K contracts

Will the statewide average value of Iowa farmland for 2026 be above $11,250/acre?Yes 91.5%

Will the statewide average value of Iowa farmland for 2026 be above $11,500/acre?Yes 89.5%

Will the statewide average value of Iowa farmland for 2026 be above $11,750/acre?Yes 52.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketEconomy

What will the median home value in Miami be on December 31?

PM $12.9K

Will the median home value in Miami be between $830,000 and $851,000 on December 31?Yes 29.6%

Will the median home value in Miami be between $809,000 and $830,000 on December 31?Yes 21.5%

Will the median home value in Miami be between $788,000 and $809,000 on December 31?Yes 16.4%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 11, 2027 UTC

KalshiEconomics

US real GDP growth in 2034?

K 30.5K contracts

GDP growth in 2034? (1.6% to 2.0%)Yes 13.5%

GDP growth in 2034? (0.0% or Below)Yes 12%

GDP growth in 2034? (2.1% to 2.5%)Yes 11%

+11 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2035 UTC

PolymarketFinance

Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above __?

PM $12.8K

Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.25B?Yes 94.9%

Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.5B?Yes 86.3%

Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.75B?Yes 35%

+2 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC

KalshiEconomics

Will California home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?

K 30.5K contracts

Will California’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only HPI for Q4 2026 be above 419.85?Yes 34.5%

1 mktNext deadline Mar 2, 2027 UTC

PolymarketFinance

Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

PM $12.8K

Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by June 30, 2027?Yes 70.5%

Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by March 31, 2027?Yes 23.5%

Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.6%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiEconomics

Will Kentucky distillery employment rise YoY?

K 30.2K contracts

Will Kentucky private employment in Distilleries (NAICS 312140) for June 2026 be above 7,542 jobs?Yes 8.5%

1 mktNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC

PolymarketEconomy

Bank of Russia decision in December?

PM $12.6K

Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?Yes 55.5%

Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?Yes 29.5%

Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Yes 5.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Dec 18, 2026 UTC

KalshiFinancials

Google headcount in 2026

K 30.1K contracts

Will Alphabet Inc. report above 188000 total number of employees in 2026?Yes 97.5%

Will Alphabet Inc. report above 192000 total number of employees in 2026?Yes 95.5%

Will Alphabet Inc. report above 196000 total number of employees in 2026?Yes 94.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC

PolymarketFinance

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by October 31?

PM $12.4K

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.05T by October 31?Yes 88%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by October 31?Yes 45.5%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.2T by October 31?Yes 19.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiEconomics

US real GDP growth in 2027?

K 29.7K contracts

GDP growth in 2027? (2.1% to 2.5%)Yes 15.5%

GDP growth in 2027? (2.6% to 3.0%)Yes 13.5%

GDP growth in 2027? (0.0% or Below)Yes 13%

+11 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2028 UTC

PolymarketFinance

Bloomberg IPO by...?

PM $12.3K

Will Bloomberg IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 34.5%

Will Bloomberg IPO by September 30, 2027?Yes 20.5%

Will Bloomberg IPO by June 30, 2027?Yes 16%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiEconomy

Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December

PM $12.2K · K 16.1K contracts

Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of India hike 1-25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 73%Rules differK Yes 69.5%

Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of India maintain the current rate at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 14.5%Rules differK Yes 20%

Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of India hike more than 25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 10.5%Rules differK Yes 5.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiCompanies

When will Discord officially announce an IPO?

K 29.6K contracts

When will Discord IPO? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 49%

When will Discord IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 35%

When will Discord IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 24.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

KalshiEconomics

How high will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?

K 29.5K contracts

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.33% in Oct 2026?Yes 50%

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.31% in Oct 2026?Yes 50%

Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.30% in Oct 2026?Yes 50%

+27 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiEconomy

Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle this year?

PM $12.0K · K 3.7K contracts

Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Starbucks announce acquisition of Chipotle before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3%Rules differK Yes 2.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiEconomics

Annual Return: S&P 500 Total Return Vs. Gold?

K 29.4K contracts

Will S&P 500 Total Return Index outperform Gold?Yes 95.5%

Will Gold outperform S&P 500 Total Return Index?Yes 5%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketFinance

Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?

PM $12.0K

Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?View outcomes

1 mktNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC

KalshiCompanies

When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO?

K 29.3K contracts

When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 12.5%

When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 12.5%

When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 7%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

PolymarketEconomy

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?

PM $12.0K

Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?Yes 48.5%

Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1550.00 and 1599.99 at the end of December 2026?Yes 45.9%

Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1500.00 and 1549.99 at the end of December 2026?Yes 6.2%

+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiWorld

NASCAR Freeway Insurance 500: Top 5 Finishers

K 28.8K contracts

Cup Series: Joey Logano to finish in the top 5Yes 76.5%

Cup Series: Chase Briscoe to finish in the top 5Yes 55.5%

Cup Series: Ryan Blaney to finish in the top 5Yes 51.5%

+34 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

PolymarketFinance

OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

PM $11.9K

OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?View outcomes

1 mktNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC

KalshiEconomics

Washington vs San Francisco: 1st Touchdown

K 28.3K contracts

Christian McCaffrey: 1st TouchdownYes 21.5%

Mike Evans: 1st TouchdownYes 12%

George Kittle: 1st TouchdownYes 11.5%

+21 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC

PolymarketEconomy

USMCA extended in 2026?

PM $11.5K

USMCA extended in 2026?Yes 7.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiEconomics

West Virginia gas prices tomorrow

K 28.2K contracts

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1650?Yes 99.5%

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1700?Yes 99%

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1600?Yes 98.5%

+14 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

PolymarketFinance

SB Energy IPO by...?

PM $11.2K

Will SB Energy IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 25.3%

Will SB Energy IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes 8%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Hungary rate decision in October

K 28.1K contracts

Will the Magyar Nemzeti Bank maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Council policy meeting?Yes 99.5%

Will the Magyar Nemzeti Bank hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Council policy meeting?Yes 1.5%

Will the Magyar Nemzeti Bank cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Council policy meeting?Yes 1%

+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC

PolymarketFinance

How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?

PM $11.2K

Will OpenAI raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?Yes 40.5%

Will OpenAI raise less than $30B in its IPO?Yes 17.1%

Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?Yes 12%

+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

KalshiEconomics

Gemini App Downloads in October 2026

K 27.6K contracts

Will Gemini App Downloads for October 2026 be above 50 ?Yes 98.5%

Will Gemini App Downloads for October 2026 be above 35 ?Yes 98.5%

Will Gemini App Downloads for October 2026 be above 85 ?Yes 97.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC

PolymarketEconomy

US recession by end of 2027?

PM $11.1K

US recession by end of 2027?Yes 35%

1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

KalshiEconomics

Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?

K 27.4K contracts

Will Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026 be exactly 0ㅤ?Yes 93.5%

Will Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026 be exactly 1ㅤ?Yes 7.5%

Will Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026 be exactly 2ㅤ?Yes 2.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketEconomy

US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

PM $11.0K

US bank failure by December 31, 2026?Yes 60%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiCulture

Costco raises hot dog combo price?

PM $10.9K · K 78.8K contracts

Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.9%Rules differK Yes 2.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Michael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026

K 27.4K contracts

Michael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026? (At least $1.0 billion)Yes 97.5%

Michael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026? (At least $1.5 billion)Yes 97.5%

Michael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026? (At least $3.0 billion)Yes 97.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiEconomics

Will North Dakota crude oil production rise YoY?

K 27.4K contracts

Will North Dakota’s field production of crude oil for 2026 be above 421.101 million barrels?Yes 53.5%

1 mktNext deadline Mar 5, 2027 UTC

PolymarketFinance

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

PM $10.6K

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?View outcomes

1 mktNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiEconomy

How low will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?

PM $10.4K · K 12.5K contracts

Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.73% in Oct 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 67%Rules differK Yes 71%

Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.70% in Oct 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 64%Rules differK Yes 67.5%

Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.67% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.67% in Oct 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 57%Rules differK Yes 58%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiEconomics

Will Connecticut insurance-industry employment increase YoY in 2026?

K 27.3K contracts

Will Connecticut’s annual average employment in Insurance Carriers and Related Activities for 2026 be above 54,600 employees?Yes 17.5%

1 mktNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC

KalshiEconomics

Lululemon Americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026

K 27.2K contracts

Will Lululemon Athletica Inc report Above -12% americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?Yes 81%

Will Lululemon Athletica Inc report Above -11% americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?Yes 72%

Will Lululemon Athletica Inc report Above -10% americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?Yes 64%

+14 moreNext deadline May 30, 2027 UTC

PolymarketFinance

Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026?

PM $10.0K

Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?Yes 35.5%

Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?Yes 30.5%

Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?Yes 14%

+4 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiEconomics

Canadian Tire comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026

K 27.1K contracts

Will Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited report Above -4% canadian tire store comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?Yes 97.5%

Will Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited report Above -3% canadian tire store comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?Yes 95.5%

Will Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited report Above -2% canadian tire store comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?Yes 81.5%

+6 moreNext deadline May 2, 2027 UTC

PolymarketFinance

Alphabet’s Market Cap end of November 2026?

PM $9.8K

Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of November 2026?Yes 35.5%

Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of November 2026?Yes 31%

Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of November 2026?Yes 24%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC

Economics prediction markets

U.S. oil production per day in 2026

Chile rate decision in October

When will Stripe officially announce an IPO?

What will SpaceX (SPCX) hit in October 2026?

How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?

Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?

Average Iowa farmland value in the 2026 ISU survey

What will the median home value in Miami be on December 31?

US real GDP growth in 2034?

Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above __?

Will California home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?

Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

Will Kentucky distillery employment rise YoY?

Bank of Russia decision in December?

Google headcount in 2026

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by October 31?

US real GDP growth in 2027?

Bloomberg IPO by...?

Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December

When will Discord officially announce an IPO?

How high will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?

Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle this year?

Annual Return: S&P 500 Total Return Vs. Gold?

Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?

When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO?

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?

NASCAR Freeway Insurance 500: Top 5 Finishers

OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

Washington vs San Francisco: 1st Touchdown

USMCA extended in 2026?

West Virginia gas prices tomorrow

SB Energy IPO by...?

Hungary rate decision in October

How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?

Gemini App Downloads in October 2026

US recession by end of 2027?

Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?

US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

Costco raises hot dog combo price?

Michael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026

Will North Dakota crude oil production rise YoY?

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

How low will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?

Will Connecticut insurance-industry employment increase YoY in 2026?

Lululemon Americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026

Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026?

Canadian Tire comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026

Alphabet’s Market Cap end of November 2026?