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Showing 4,753-4,800 of 8,733 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

Oregon's 4th District margin of victory
K 4.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 91.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 81%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 71%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Altria (MO) Q3 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume (sticks in billions) be above __?
PM $3.5KWill Altria (MO) Q3 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume (sticks in billions) be above 14.5B?Yes 88%
Will Altria (MO) Q3 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume (sticks in billions) be above 15B?Yes 68%
Will Altria (MO) Q3 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume (sticks in billions) be above 15.5B?Yes 40.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

GA-10 House winner?
K 4.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for GA-10?Yes 96.2%
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-10?Yes 3.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Ohio Senate favorite on November 2?
PM $3.5KOhio Senate favorite on November 2?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
K 4.1K contractsWill Northern Ireland confirm a reunification referendum before 2030?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of October?
PM $3.5KWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $435 end of October?Yes 93.7%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 end of October?Yes 93.5%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $480 end of October?Yes 90.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

PA-04 House winner?
K 4.1K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for PA-04?Yes 95.5%
Will Republican win the House race for PA-04?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Paraíba
PM $3.5KWill Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?Yes 98.2%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

AZ-06 House election: Juan Ciscomani vote percent
K 4.1K contractsWill Juan Ciscomani receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-06 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Juan Ciscomani receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-06 House election?Yes 90%
Will Juan Ciscomani receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-06 House election?Yes 75.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?
PM $3.5KImran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory
K 4.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 60%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 39%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 29%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition
PM $3.5KCalifornia Homebuying Loan Program PropositionYes 75.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Fed funds rate at end of 2028
K 4.1K contractsWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 1.50%?Yes 88.5%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 1.00%?Yes 80.5%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 1.25%?Yes 80%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

CA-37 House Election Winner
PM $3.4KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-37 House seat?Yes 96.5%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-37 House seat?Yes 3.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

AZ-09 House winner?
K 4.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for AZ-09?Yes 95.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-09?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

CA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $3.4KWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-08 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 39.1%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-08 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 38.6%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-08 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 38.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Massachusetts 02 House General Election: voter turnout
K 4.1K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts 02 House General Election be above 120000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts 02 House General Election be above 150000?Yes 95.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts 02 House General Election be above 180000?Yes 78%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Walmart (WMT) Q3 US eCommerce sales growth?
PM $3.3KWalmart (WMT) Q3 US eCommerce sales growth 21% to 25%?Yes 50.5%
Walmart (WMT) Q3 US eCommerce sales growth 17% to 21%?Yes 20.5%
Walmart (WMT) Q3 US eCommerce sales growth 25% to 29%?Yes 18%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Michigan's 8th District margin of victory
K 4.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 94.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 93.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 87.7%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $3.3KWill American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 47.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

OK-02 House election: Brandon Wade vote percent
K 4.1K contractsWill Brandon Wade receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-02 House election?Yes 94%
Will Brandon Wade receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-02 House election?Yes 87.5%
Will Brandon Wade receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-02 House election?Yes 77.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Cloud Revenue be above __?
PM $3.3KWill Google (GOOGL) Q3 Cloud Revenue be above $29B?Yes 89%
Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Cloud Revenue be above $30B?Yes 68%
Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Cloud Revenue be above $28B?Yes 59.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Nevada Secretary of State winner?
K 4.1K contractsWill the Democratic party win the Secretary of State election in Nevada?Yes 88.7%
Will the Republican party win the Secretary of State election in Nevada?Yes 7.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?
PM $3.3KArizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?Yes 64.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Kansas Governor margin of victory
K 4.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Kansas be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 65.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Kansas be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 48.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Kansas be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 30.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Hyatt Hotels (H) Q3 system-wide hotels RevPAR be above __?
PM $3.3KWill Hyatt Hotels (H) Q3 system-wide hotels RevPAR be above $146?Yes 89%
Will Hyatt Hotels (H) Q3 system-wide hotels RevPAR be above $148?Yes 86.5%
Will Hyatt Hotels (H) Q3 system-wide hotels RevPAR be above $150?Yes 72%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms?
K 4.1K contractsWill Donald Trump issue any executive action on establishing a tariff of 100% or greater specifically on imported generic pharmaceutical products during before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?
PM $3.2KWill Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Nebraska Governor election: Jim Pillen vote percent
K 4.1K contractsWill Jim Pillen receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election?Yes 88.5%
Will Jim Pillen receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election?Yes 74%
Will Jim Pillen receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election?Yes 52%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Target Q3 comparable sales growth?
PM $3.2KWill Target Q3 comparable sales growth be between 3% and 5%?Yes 64.5%
Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be above 5%?Yes 21%
Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be below 1%?Yes 4.6%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 18, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Christopher Luxon announce their departure as Prime Minister?
K 4.1K contractsWill Christopher Luxon announce their departure as Prime Minister of New Zealand before Nov 7, 2026?Yes 3.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Michigan Senate Election: Kent County Winner
PM $3.2KWill the Democrats win Kent County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes 84%
Will the Republicans win Kent County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes 13%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MN-07 House election: Erik Osberg vote percent
K 4.1K contractsWill Erik Osberg receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-07 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Erik Osberg receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-07 House election?Yes 84%
Will Erik Osberg receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-07 House election?Yes 74%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

California Immunology Research Bond Proposition
PM $3.2KCalifornia Immunology Research Bond PropositionYes 68.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Massachusetts suspend its gas tax?
K 4.1K contractsWill legislation suspending the Massachusetts gasoline tax become law before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Cloud revenue be above __?
PM $3.2KWill Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Cloud revenue be above $61.5B?Yes 89.5%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Cloud revenue be above $62B?Yes 71.5%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Cloud revenue be above $63B?Yes 51.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Ohio's special Senate winner be sworn in on Dec 15?
K 4.1K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election is sworn in as a U.S. senator on December 15, 2026 before Dec 16, 2026?Yes 71%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Amazon (AMZN) closes above ___ on October 20?
PM $3.1KWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $255 on October 20?Yes 96.5%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $245 on October 20?Yes 90.6%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 on October 20?Yes 80.3%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Colorado State House winner?
K 4.1K contractsWho will win the Colorado House? (Democratic party)Yes 98.5%
Who will win the Colorado House? (Republican party)Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis)?
PM $3.1KMastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 12.5% to 13.5%?Yes 28%
Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 10.5% to 11.5%?Yes 25.5%
Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 13.5%+?Yes 22.6%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2027
K 4.1K contractsWill the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate at the end of 2027 be above 9.00%?Yes 50%
Will the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate at the end of 2027 be above 8.75%?Yes 50%
Will the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate at the end of 2027 be above 8.50%?Yes 50%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 6, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Brighton Mayoral Election Winner
PM $3.1KWill Leigh Gray win the next Brighton mayoral election?Yes 97.4%
Will Phil Owen win the next Brighton mayoral election?Yes 0.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MD-02 House winner?
K 4.1K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for MD-02?Yes 96.6%
Will Republican win the House race for MD-02?Yes 2.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?
PM $3.1KWill Green Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?Yes 60.5%
Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?Yes 52.5%
Will Labour Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?Yes 49.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

PA-09 House winner?
K 4.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for PA-09?Yes 94.1%
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-09?Yes 6.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?
PM $3.1KLe Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 18, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Who will be a part of the next government of Spain?
K 4.1K contractsWill the People's Party be a part of the next government in Spain?Yes 85%
Will Vox be a part of the next government in Spain?Yes 77%
Will the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party be a part of the next government in Spain?Yes 14.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth?
PM $3.1KWill Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be between 0.5% and 1%?Yes 33.5%
Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be between 0% and 0.5%?Yes 21.5%
Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be below 0%?Yes 18%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 3, 2026 UTC