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Showing 4,897-4,944 of 7,554 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
Will China obtain an EUV machine?
K 2.1K contractsWill China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility be confirmed before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 68%
Will China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility be confirmed before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 53.5%
Will China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility be confirmed before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 33.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-09 House Election?
PM $1.2KFirst Round Outright Winner in the GA-09 House Election?Yes 95.3%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-26 House election: Brandon Gill vote percent
K 2.1K contractsWill Brandon Gill receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-26 House election?Yes 93%
Will Brandon Gill receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-26 House election?Yes 84%
Will Brandon Gill receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-26 House election?Yes 68%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on October 19?
PM $1.2KWill the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on October 19?Yes 88.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on October 19?Yes 43.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 18°C or below on October 19?Yes 43%
+8 more
KalshiPolitics
IL-13 House winner?
K 2.0K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for IL-13?Yes 97.2%
Will Republican win the House race for IL-13?Yes 2.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Qingdao on October 21?
PM $1.2KWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C on October 21?Yes 44%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 21?Yes 35.5%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 14°C on October 21?Yes 13%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Louisiana's 1st District margin of victory
K 2.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 1st District House election be at least 20 percentage points?Yes 94.9%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 1st District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 87.9%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 1st District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 82%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Jeddah on October 21?
PM $1.1KWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 21?Yes 38%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 21?Yes 32%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 21?Yes 25.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?
K 2.0K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?Yes 18%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 18, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Chicago on October 19?
PM $1.1KWill the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on October 19?Yes 53.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 34-35°F on October 19?Yes 45%
Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on October 19?Yes 45%
+8 more
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series
K 2.0K contractsWill Katherine LaNasa be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 88.5%
Will Allison Janney be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 74.5%
Will Taylor Dearden be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 60%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?
PM $1.1KArizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?Yes 69%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California Senate winner? (2028)
K 2.0K contractsWill Democratics win the Senate race in California?Yes 87.1%
Will Republicans win the Senate race in California?Yes 13.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on October 19?
PM $1.1KWill the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 12°C on October 19?Yes 50.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 11°C on October 19?Yes 49.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 6°C or below on October 19?Yes 45%
+8 more
KalshiPolitics
TX-21 House election: Kristin Hook vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill Kristin Hook receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-21 House election?Yes 97%
Will Kristin Hook receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-21 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Kristin Hook receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-21 House election?Yes 87%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Wellington on October 20?
PM $1.1KWill the lowest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on October 20?Yes 49.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 20?Yes 49.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on October 20?Yes 35%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MN-04 House election: Betty McCollum vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill Betty McCollum receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-04 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Betty McCollum receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-04 House election?Yes 82%
Will Betty McCollum receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-04 House election?Yes 70%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?
PM $1.1KLA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?Yes 21.3%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania's 10th District margin of victory
K 2.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 10th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 74.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 10th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 61.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 10th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 45.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NYC Mayor # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?
PM $1.1KWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 4.4%
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 1.6%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Rhode Island Governor election: Dan McKee vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill Dan McKee receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election?Yes 2.5%
Will Dan McKee receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election?Yes 2.5%
Will Dan McKee receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election?Yes 2.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Warsaw on October 21?
PM $1.0KWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on October 21?Yes 43.5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on October 21?Yes 27%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 21?Yes 17%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-24 House election: Ken Estes vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill Ken Estes receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-24 House election?Yes 2.5%
Will Ken Estes receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-24 House election?Yes 2.5%
Will Ken Estes receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-24 House election?Yes 2.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ethiopia targets Eritrea by...?
PM $1.0KWill Ethiopia target Eritrea by December 31, 2026?Yes 58.5%
Will Ethiopia target Eritrea by October 31, 2026?Yes 28.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 20, 2026?
K 2.0K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 67-68° on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 53.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 69-70° on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 23.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 65-66° on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 20.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Arizona passes traffic camera ballot measure?
PM $1.0KArizona passes traffic camera ballot measure?Yes 87%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Clark County, Nevada: Aaron Ford vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill Aaron Ford receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Clark County, Nevada?Yes 96.5%
Will Aaron Ford receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Clark County, Nevada?Yes 89.5%
Will Aaron Ford receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Clark County, Nevada?Yes 74%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TN-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $1.0KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-04 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 39%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-04 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 38.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-04 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 38.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-29 House winner?
K 2.0K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for TX-29?Yes 97.4%
Will Republican win the House race for TX-29?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on October 19, 2026?
PM $996.59Will the biggest earthquake on October 19, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?Yes 85%
Will the biggest earthquake on October 19, 2026 be 6.1 or more?Yes 14.5%
Will the biggest earthquake on October 19, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?Yes 3.4%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kansas Governor election: Cindy Holscher vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill Cindy Holscher receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Cindy Holscher receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election?Yes 94.5%
Will Cindy Holscher receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election?Yes 86%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Oct 31?
PM $993.01US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Oct 31?Yes 4.3%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Tennessee Senate election: Bill Hagerty vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill Bill Hagerty receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Bill Hagerty receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee Senate election?Yes 96.5%
Will Bill Hagerty receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee Senate election?Yes 94%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Taipei on October 19?
PM $986.44Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 19?Yes 88.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on October 19?Yes 39.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on October 19?Yes 18%
+8 more
KalshiPolitics
Will France declare a state of emergency?
K 2.0K contractsWill France declare a state of emergency before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 27%
Will France declare a state of emergency before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 12.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
PM $958.35Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?Yes 99%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
SC-04 House election: William Timmons vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill William Timmons receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-04 House election?Yes 94%
Will William Timmons receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-04 House election?Yes 87%
Will William Timmons receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-04 House election?Yes 75%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CZ # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?
PM $947.2Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 53%
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 36.5%
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 9%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
DE-AL House winner?
K 2.0K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for DE-AL?Yes 98.8%
Will Republican win the House race for DE-AL?Yes 1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Taipei on October 21?
PM $898.2Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on October 21?Yes 36.5%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 21?Yes 22.5%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 21?Yes 20.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota's 6th District margin of victory
K 2.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 90.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 76.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 66%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on October 21?
PM $881.98Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 21?Yes 56%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 21?Yes 35%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 21?Yes 17%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
PA-13 House winner?
K 2.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for PA-13?Yes 96.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-13?Yes 3.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Munich on October 19?
PM $881.32Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 5°C on October 19?Yes 45.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 7°C on October 19?Yes 33.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 6°C on October 19?Yes 31%
+8 more
KalshiPolitics
Florida 12 House General Election: voter turnout
K 2.0K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Florida 12 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida 12 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 74.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida 12 House General Election be above 310000?Yes 49.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-14 House Election?
PM $865.09First Round Outright Winner in the GA-14 House Election?Yes 42.1%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Cobb County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)
K 2.0K contractsWill Jon Ossoff receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Cobb County, Georgia?Yes 98.5%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Cobb County, Georgia?Yes 94%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Cobb County, Georgia?Yes 80%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump visit any pandas in 2026?
PM $853.23Will Trump visit any pandas in 2026?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC