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Showing 4,993-5,040 of 7,554 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
HI-02 House election: Jill Tokuda vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill Jill Tokuda receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-02 House election?Yes 96%
Will Jill Tokuda receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-02 House election?Yes 94%
Will Jill Tokuda receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-02 House election?Yes 89.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-48 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $611.6Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-48 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 38.3%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-48 House election by 21% or more?Yes 38%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-48 House election by 18%-21%?Yes 38%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AL-02 House election: Rhett Marques vote percent
K 1.9K contractsWill Rhett Marques receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-02 House election?Yes 97%
Will Rhett Marques receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-02 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Rhett Marques receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-02 House election?Yes 86%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on October 21?
PM $600Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 5°C or below on October 21?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C or higher on October 21?Yes 46%
Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 6°C on October 21?Yes 34.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Virginia's 5th District margin of victory
K 1.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 24.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 5th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 10.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 5th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 6%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?
PM $599.58Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?Yes 66%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York's 24th District margin of victory
K 1.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 24th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 91.9%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 24th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 24th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 73.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?
PM $592.06Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?Yes 3.3%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York's 25th District margin of victory
K 1.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?Yes 96.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?Yes 95.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?Yes 91.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-13 House Election?
PM $585.67First Round Outright Winner in the GA-13 House Election?Yes 98%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IN-05 House election: Victoria Spartz vote percent
K 1.9K contractsWill Victoria Spartz receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-05 House election?Yes 87.5%
Will Victoria Spartz receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-05 House election?Yes 78%
Will Victoria Spartz receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-05 House election?Yes 61%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-16 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $580.94Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-16 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-16 House election by 65% or more?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-16 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Florida's 4th District margin of victory
K 1.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 4th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-22 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $576Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-22 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 38.3%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-22 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 38.3%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-22 House election by 15%-18%?Yes 38.2%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump state that he has fired Lisa Cook?
K 1.9K contractsWill Trump state that he has fired Lisa Cook before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 80.5%
Will Trump state that he has fired Lisa Cook before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 75.5%
Will Trump state that he has fired Lisa Cook before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 68.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on October 18, 2026?
PM $551.99Will the biggest earthquake on October 18, 2026 be under 5.3?Yes 99%
Will the biggest earthquake on October 18, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?Yes 1.3%
Will the biggest earthquake on October 18, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?Yes 0.4%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia's 6th District margin of victory
K 1.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 6th District House election be at least 41 percentage points?Yes 96.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 6th District House election be at least 47 percentage points?Yes 90.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 6th District House election be at least 50 percentage points?Yes 82%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-11 House Election?
PM $551.1First Round Outright Winner in the GA-11 House Election?Yes 61.1%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Wisconsin's 2nd District margin of victory
K 1.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 2nd District House election be at least 47 percentage points?Yes 97.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 2nd District House election be at least 44 percentage points?Yes 97.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 2nd District House election be at least 50 percentage points?Yes 97.8%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-17 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $549.71Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-17 House election by 60% or more?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-17 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-17 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
GA-05 House winner?
K 1.9K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for GA-05?Yes 98.2%
Will Republican win the House race for GA-05?Yes 1.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chongqing on October 21?
PM $531.73Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 21?Yes 32.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 21?Yes 28%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 21?Yes 25.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Spanish general election: 2nd place
K 1.9K contractsWill the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party finish 2nd in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 80%
Will Vox finish 2nd in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 9.5%
Will the People's Party finish 2nd in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 6.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Munich on October 21?
PM $530.28Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 1°C or below on October 21?Yes 43%
Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 11°C or higher on October 21?Yes 42.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 6°C on October 21?Yes 34.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York Governor General Election: voter turnout
K 1.9K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in New York Governor General Election be above 4900000?Yes 90%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New York Governor General Election be above 5200000?Yes 82%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New York Governor General Election be above 5500000?Yes 73%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Karachi on October 21?
PM $518.19Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 21?Yes 42.5%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 21?Yes 27%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 21?Yes 15%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Oklahoma Senate winner? (2028)
K 1.9K contractsWill Republicans win the Senate race in Oklahoma?Yes 91.7%
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Oklahoma?Yes 8.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on October 19?
PM $503.94Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on October 19?Yes 94%
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 8°C on October 19?Yes 16.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 9°C on October 19?Yes 15.5%
+8 more
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Alberta Separation Process Referendum passes?
PM $499.08 · K 266.9K contractsWill "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?
Kalshi: Will the option in Alberta’s 2026 referendum asking whether the Government of Alberta should commence the legal process required under the Canadian Constitution to hold a binding provincial referendum on whether Alberta should separate from Canada pass?
Related contracts
PM Yes 36%Rules differK Yes 1%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Shawn Fain announces departure as UAW President?
K 1.9K contractsWill Shawn Fain announce their departure as President of the United Auto Workers before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 10.5%
Will Shawn Fain announce their departure as President of the United Auto Workers before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
PA-05 House winner?
K 1.9K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for PA-05?Yes 98.2%
Will Republican win the House race for PA-05?Yes 1.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 21?
PM $488.21Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 21?Yes 57%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 21?Yes 26.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 21?Yes 21.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Dallas on Oct 19, 2026?
K 1.9K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 52-53° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 76%
Will the minimum temperature be 50-51° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 20.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 48-49° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 4.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on October 21?
PM $485Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 21?Yes 39.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on October 21?Yes 38%
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on October 21?Yes 34.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will NCAA settlement back-pay payments begin?
K 1.9K contractsWill NCAA settlement back-pay payments begin before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 52%
Will NCAA settlement back-pay payments begin before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 22%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 15, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-10 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $481.57Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-10 House election by 55% or more?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-10 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-10 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OH-04 House election: Jim Jordan vote percent
K 1.9K contractsWill Jim Jordan receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-04 House election?Yes 89%
Will Jim Jordan receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-04 House election?Yes 77%
Will Jim Jordan receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-04 House election?Yes 61%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Austin on October 19?
PM $468.68Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 48-49°F on October 19?Yes 96%
Will the lowest temperature in Austin be 43°F or below on October 19?Yes 44%
Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 44-45°F on October 19?Yes 44%
+8 more
KalshiPolitics
Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Oct 2026?
K 1.9K contractsWill any member of Congress be out as any member of Congress in Oct 2026?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $467.48Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-05 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 37.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Indiana's 3rd District margin of victory
K 1.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 3rd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 82%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 3rd District House election be at least 17 percentage points?Yes 70%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 3rd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?Yes 56.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Denver on October 19?
PM $464.84Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 40-41°F on October 19?Yes 54.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Denver be 37°F or below on October 19?Yes 45%
Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 38-39°F on October 19?Yes 0.6%
+8 more
KalshiPolitics
TX-10 House election: Caitlin Rourk vote percent
K 1.9K contractsWill Caitlin Rourk receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-10 House election?Yes 93%
Will Caitlin Rourk receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-10 House election?Yes 88%
Will Caitlin Rourk receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-10 House election?Yes 81%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Seattle on October 21?
PM $461.36Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 21?Yes 46.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 21?Yes 20%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 21?Yes 18.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OR-02 House winner?
K 1.9K contractsWill Republican win the House race for OR-02?Yes 96.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for OR-02?Yes 3.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on October 21?
PM $460.3Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C or higher on October 21?Yes 43%
Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 18°C or below on October 21?Yes 39%
Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on October 21?Yes 39%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
SC-02 House election: Dayna Smith vote percent
K 1.9K contractsWill Dayna Smith receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-02 House election?Yes 65.5%
Will Dayna Smith receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-02 House election?Yes 4%
Will Dayna Smith receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-02 House election?Yes 2.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 19?
PM $459.14Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 19?Yes 2.2%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC