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Showing 5,041-5,088 of 7,924 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Kentucky's 3rd District margin of victory
K 2.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 3rd District House election be at least 17 percentage points?Yes 93.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 3rd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?Yes 85.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 3rd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 74.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?
PM $1.8KWill the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?Yes 90.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Open vs. Closed Token market share (Vercel) in Oct 20, 2026
K 2.5K contractsWill Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 20, 2026 be above 38.6%?Yes 98.5%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 20, 2026 be above 43.5%?Yes 96.5%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 20, 2026 be above 45.3%?Yes 95%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?
PM $1.8KLauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
UEFA Nations League Final Qualifiers
K 2.5K contractsWill Portugal qualify for the UEFA Nations League Final?Yes 47.5%
Will France qualify for the UEFA Nations League Final?Yes 41.5%
Will Spain qualify for the UEFA Nations League Final?Yes 41.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jun 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Keisha Lance Bottoms runs behind Jon Ossoff by...? (First Round)
PM $1.8KWill Keisha Lance Bottoms run 6 to 9 points behind Jon Ossoff?Yes 41%
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms run 3 to 6 points behind Jon Ossoff?Yes 28%
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms run 9 or more points behind Jon Ossoff?Yes 20%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Poland general election winner?
K 2.5K contractsWho will win the next Polish general election? (Civic Coalition)Yes 50%
Who will win the next Polish general election? (Law and Justice)Yes 47.5%
Who will win the next Polish general election? (Confederation)Yes 2.7%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September?
PM $1.8KWill Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September?Yes 55.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Mexico Governor election: Gregg Hull vote percent
K 2.5K contractsWill Gregg Hull receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election?Yes 96%
Will Gregg Hull receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election?Yes 93.5%
Will Gregg Hull receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election?Yes 81.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?
PM $1.8KWill Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?Yes 85.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 23, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Oklahoma's 1st District margin of victory
K 2.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 92%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 82.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 1st District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 69.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso
PM $1.8KWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso?Yes 98.5%
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso?Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor in a Comedy Series
K 2.5K contractsWill Matthew Rhys be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 92%
Will Adam Brody be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 70%
Will Steve Carell be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 60%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Canada applies for full EU membership by...?
PM $1.8KCanada applies for full EU membership by December 31, 2027?Yes 9%
Canada applies for full EU membership by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-10 House winner?
K 2.5K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CA-10?Yes 95.2%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-10?Yes 4.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US announces military base in Israel in 2026?
PM $1.8KUS announces military base in Israel in 2026?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Wisconsin's 1st District margin of victory
K 2.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 1st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 57%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 1st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 35.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 1st District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 23.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Russia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31?
PM $1.8KRussia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MAGA Inc. Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
K 2.5K contractsWill MAGA Inc. report more than $325M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 63.5%
Will MAGA Inc. report more than $375M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50.5%
Will MAGA Inc. report more than $350M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...?
PM $1.8KNext Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 71.5%
Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 5.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
K 2.5K contractsWill the tariff rate on People's Republic of China imports be at least 10% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 95.5%
Will the tariff rate on People's Republic of China imports be at least 15% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 63%
Will the tariff rate on People's Republic of China imports be at least 20% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $1.8KWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-03 House election by 30% or more?Yes 39.3%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-03 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 39.1%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 38.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Vermont Governor General Election: voter turnout
K 2.5K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Vermont Governor General Election be above 230000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Vermont Governor General Election be above 260000?Yes 78.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Vermont Governor General Election be above 270000?Yes 72%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above __?
PM $1.8KWill CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above $320M?Yes 87%
Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above $360M?Yes 77%
Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above $400M?Yes 36%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-18 House election: Scott Franklin vote percent
K 2.5K contractsWill Scott Franklin receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-18 House election?Yes 89.5%
Will Scott Franklin receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-18 House election?Yes 76.5%
Will Scott Franklin receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-18 House election?Yes 58.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Santa Catarina
PM $1.7KWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina?Yes 98.9%
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina?Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MI-09 House election: Lisa McClain vote percent
K 2.5K contractsWill Lisa McClain receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-09 House election?Yes 95%
Will Lisa McClain receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-09 House election?Yes 88.5%
Will Lisa McClain receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-09 House election?Yes 72.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
ICE Agent charged in NYC incident by December 31?
PM $1.7KICE Agent charged in NYC incident by December 31?Yes 16%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Mamdani run for re-election?
K 2.5K contractsWill Zohran Mamdani announce a run for mayor of New York City in 2029?Yes 79%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 6, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Alaska passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?
PM $1.7KAlaska passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?Yes 86.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Mecklenburg County, North Carolina: Roy Cooper vote percent
K 2.5K contractsWill Roy Cooper receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Mecklenburg County, North Carolina?Yes 96.5%
Will Roy Cooper receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Mecklenburg County, North Carolina?Yes 84%
Will Roy Cooper receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Mecklenburg County, North Carolina?Yes 60%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-01 House Election?
PM $1.7KFirst Round Outright Winner in the LA-01 House Election?Yes 94.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alaska Senate election: Mary Peltola vote percent (Final Round)
K 2.5K contractsWill Mary Peltola receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the final round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?Yes 96.5%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the final round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?Yes 96%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the final round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?Yes 95%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Closer Senate Race: Georgia or Kansas?
PM $1.7KCloser Senate Race: Georgia or Kansas?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will a court invalidate or enjoin Nikki Lucas's election as Brooklyn Dem chair?
K 2.5K contractsWill a court invalidate or enjoin Nikki Lucas's election as Brooklyn Dem chair?Yes 68%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AL-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $1.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-02 House election by 5% or more?Yes 39.1%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-02 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 38%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 23.4%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Colorado Governor election: Victor Marx vote percent
K 2.5K contractsWill Victor Marx receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Victor Marx receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election?Yes 94.5%
Will Victor Marx receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election?Yes 87.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?
PM $1.6KMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?Yes 3.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
John Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader?
K 2.5K contractsWill the Senate Majority Leader resign before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 1%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?
PM $1.6KWill Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?Yes 26%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AZ-06 House election: JoAnna Mendoza vote percent
K 2.5K contractsWill JoAnna Mendoza receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-06 House election?Yes 97%
Will JoAnna Mendoza receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-06 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will JoAnna Mendoza receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-06 House election?Yes 89.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?
PM $1.6KOpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia Senate winner? (2028)
K 2.5K contractsWill Democratics win the Senate race in Georgia?Yes 67.5%
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Georgia?Yes 31.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Mamdani visits the White House by...?
PM $1.6KMamdani visits the White House by December 31?Yes 49%
Mamdani visits the White House by October 31?Yes 9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arkansas's 2nd District margin of victory
K 2.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 2nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 68%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 2nd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 55%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 2nd District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 37.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?
PM $1.6KWill SpaceX have fewer than 14 launches in October 2026?Yes 90.8%
Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in October 2026?Yes 9.3%
Will SpaceX have exactly 15 launches in October 2026?Yes 9.3%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-24 House election: Salud Carbajal vote percent
K 2.5K contractsWill Salud Carbajal receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?Yes 96%
Will Salud Carbajal receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Salud Carbajal receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?Yes 84.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?
PM $1.6KWill Macron call a referendum by December 31?Yes 8.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC