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Showing 481-528 of 1,346 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEntertainment

#2 Artist on Spotify U.S. in 2026?
K 32.1K contractsWill Taylor Swift be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 76.5%
Will Drake be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 14%
Will Bad Bunny be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 3.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?
PM $13.7KWill Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 34.8%
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 16.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies

What will United Airlines say during their next earnings call?
K 31.7K contractsWhat will United Airlines Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Starlink)Yes 93.5%
What will United Airlines Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Newark)Yes 85.5%
What will United Airlines Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Oil)Yes 82.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 12, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?
PM $13.5KWill Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?Yes 96.9%
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?Yes 79%
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027?Yes 13%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies

Will Rolex release a steel GMT-Master II with a black and red Bezel this year?
K 31.5K contractsWill Rolex release a steel GMT-Master II with a black and red Bezel to the public before 2027?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Best AI model on October 26?
PM $13.4KWill gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Yes 73.5%
Will any other model be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Yes 24.5%
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Yes 0.7%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Who will AOC endorse?
K 31.4K contractsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorse Rashida Tlaib in MI-12 before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 72%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorse Brad Lander in NY-10 before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 55%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorse Donavan McKinney in MI-13 before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 54.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?
PM $13.3KWill Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Yes 29%
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Yes 16%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Nvidia headcount in fiscal 2027
K 31.3K contractsWill NVIDIA Corporation report above 46000 total employees in 2027?Yes 96%
Will NVIDIA Corporation report above 48000 total employees in 2027?Yes 82%
Will NVIDIA Corporation report above 50000 total employees in 2027?Yes 80.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
PM $13.2KSpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiCompanies

When will Stripe officially announce an IPO?
K 31.3K contractsWhen will Stripe IPO? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 11.5%
When will Stripe IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 9%
When will Stripe IPO? (Before Mar 1, 2027)Yes 8.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of December?
PM $13.2KWill Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 33%
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 25.5%
Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 15%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment

World's best restaurant in 2026?
K 31.1K contractsWorld's best restaurant: Trèsind StudioYes 44.5%
World's best restaurant: SühringYes 44.5%
World's best restaurant: RealeYes 44.5%
+27 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?
PM $13.2KWill Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 75%
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 20.3%
Will KlingAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 4%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Will Kentucky distillery employment rise YoY?
K 30.2K contractsWill Kentucky private employment in Distilleries (NAICS 312140) for June 2026 be above 7,542 jobs?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
PM $13.2KWill Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Anthropic share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 30.0K contractsAnthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 5.3%Yes 97%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 5.5%Yes 54.5%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 7.4%Yes 41%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?
PM $12.8KWill Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 39.1%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 32.5%
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 17%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

Where will Cristiano Ronaldo go next?
K 29.9K contractsWhere will Cristiano Ronaldo go next? (Los Angeles Galaxy)Yes 22.5%
Where will Cristiano Ronaldo go next? (Sporting CP)Yes 14.5%
Where will Cristiano Ronaldo go next? (Wydad Casablanca)Yes 12%
+8 moreNext deadline Sep 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Elon Bull Run Combo
PM $12.6KElon Bull Run ComboYes 4.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture

Oscar nominees: Achievement in Casting
K 29.8K contracts2027 Achievement in Casting Oscar nominations? (The Black Ball)Yes 84%
2027 Achievement in Casting Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 80%
2027 Achievement in Casting Oscar nominations? (Wild Horse Nine)Yes 78.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of November?
PM $12.6KWill Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 70.5%
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 21.5%
Will Google have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 4.3%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in February 2027
K 29.7K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.50 in February 2027?Yes 51.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $6.50 in February 2027?Yes 51%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $4.00 in February 2027?Yes 50.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
PM $12.4KRocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies

When will Discord officially announce an IPO?
K 29.6K contractsWhen will Discord IPO? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 49%
When will Discord IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 35%
When will Discord IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 24.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?
PM $12.2KNext Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 75.5%
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 33%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

Dallas vs Green Bay: Receiving Yards Escalator
K 29.6K contractsCeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards EscalatorYes 16.5%
Christian Watson Receiving Yards EscalatorYes 13.7%
George Pickens Receiving Yards EscalatorYes 10.1%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?
PM $12.2KWill Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 26.5%
Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 26%
Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 13.1%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy

Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle this year?
PM $12.0K · K 3.7K contractsWill Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Starbucks announce acquisition of Chipotle before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3%Rules differK Yes 2.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies

What will AutoZone say during their next earnings call?
K 29.5K contractsWhat will AutoZone say during their next earnings call? (Same Store Sales)Yes 94.5%
What will AutoZone say during their next earnings call? (Distribution Center)Yes 91%
What will AutoZone say during their next earnings call? (Brazil)Yes 90.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
K 29.3K contractsWill an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?Yes 64%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

GPU rental prices (H100) end of November?
PM $12.0KWill the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on November 30, 2026?Yes 30.5%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on November 30, 2026?Yes 20.5%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on November 30, 2026?Yes 20.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies

When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO?
K 29.3K contractsWhen will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 12.5%
When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 12.5%
When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 7%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of December?
PM $11.5KWill OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 45.5%
Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 28%
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 22%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment

#3 Artist on Spotify in 2026?
K 29.3K contractsWill Taylor Swift be the #3 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 69.5%
Will Drake be the #3 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 15%
Will Bad Bunny be the #3 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 3.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by...?
PM $11.4KNext Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 69.5%
Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 18%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in October
K 29.0K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.50 in October 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.00 in October 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $1.50 in October 2026?Yes 99.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?
PM $11.2KWill Claude Opus's output price be at or below $15 in 2026?Yes 51.5%
Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $30 in 2026?Yes 23%
Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $25 in 2026?Yes 23%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies

Grab monthly transacting users in 2026
K 29.0K contractsWill Grab Holdings Limited report Above 55 million monthly transacting users in 2026?Yes 84%
Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 55.5 million monthly transacting users in 2026?Yes 78%
Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 56 million monthly transacting users in 2026?Yes 71.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech

What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?
PM $11.1KWill OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $45 in 2026?Yes 45%
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $40 in 2026?Yes 36%
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $30 in 2026?Yes 35%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience

Columbus vs Minnesota: Points
K 28.9K contractsMax Shabanov: 1+ pointsYes 99.5%
Kirill Kaprizov: 1+ pointsYes 99.5%
Joel Eriksson Ek: 1+ pointsYes 99.5%
+47 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketScience

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
PM $11.1KScrewworm National Emergency declared by December 31?Yes 13.5%
Screwworm National Emergency declared by October 31?Yes 6.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in February 2027
K 28.7K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.75 in February 2027?Yes 51%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $1.50 in February 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $1.25 in February 2027?Yes 49.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?
PM $11.1KWill the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by June 30, 2027?Yes 86.6%
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?Yes 23.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld

How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 28.6K contractsAbove 300000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026Yes 99.5%
Above 285000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026Yes 99.5%
Above 325000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026Yes 94.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...?
PM $11.0KNext Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 18.4%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
K 28.4K contractsWill humans colonize Mars before 2050?Yes 28.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2050 UTC
PolymarketTech

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
PM $11.0KWill DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 99.5%
Will Tencent have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 0.5%
Will OpenAI have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 0.4%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC