Browse prediction markets

Kalshi: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 12.5%Rules differK Yes 6.7%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

Kalshi: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.9%Rules differK Yes 1.5%

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?

Kalshi: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.3%Rules differK Yes 1.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiCulture

Oscar nominees: Best Picture

K 1.31M contracts

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 97.5%

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Black Ball)Yes 94.5%

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (Wild Horse Nine)Yes 87.5%

+50 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

KalshiCompanies

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

K 1.26M contracts

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 85.5%

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Mar 1, 2027)Yes 83%

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Feb 1, 2027)Yes 73.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

PolymarketTech

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

PM $18.38M

Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Yes 11%

Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes 10%

Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?Yes 9%

+11 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

PM $10.94M · K 3.49M contracts

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 2.8%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiEntertainment

Top Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026

K 1.18M contracts

Will Drake be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 82.5%

Will Taylor Swift be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 11%

Will Bad Bunny be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 3.5%

+13 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiWorld

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

PM $10.20M · K 147.2K contracts

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Kalshi: Will Magdalena Andersson become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 78.5%Rules differK Yes 81%

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Kalshi: Will Ulf Kristersson become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 17%Rules differK Yes 16%

Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Kalshi: Will Ebba Busch become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3%Rules differK Yes 2.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

KalshiWorld

Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

K 1.16M contracts

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Justin Gaethje)Yes 87%

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Arman Tsarukyan)Yes 10.5%

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Ilia Topuria)Yes 2.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

KalshiCompanies

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

K 1.16M contracts

Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Anthropic)Yes 74%

Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (OpenAI)Yes 16.5%

Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Google)Yes 3.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiClimate

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

PM $8.13M · K 629.5K contracts

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be more than 5000 measles cases in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 97.9%Rules differK Yes 96.5%

Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be more than 6000 measles cases in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 88.5%Rules differK Yes 84.5%

Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be more than 7000 measles cases in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 53%Rules differK Yes 56%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiEconomics

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?

K 1.10M contracts

Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Unusual Machines?Yes 31.5%

Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Anduril?Yes 24%

Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Neros Technologies?Yes 20.5%

+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketTech

IPOs before 2027?

PM $7.54M

Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 72.5%

Celonis IPO before 2027?Yes 7%

Discord IPO before 2027?Yes 6.7%

+26 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiWorld

Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?

PM $6.35M · K 504.4K contracts

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6%Rules differK Yes 38%

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Israel and Syria normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6%Rules differK Yes 19%

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Israel and Syria normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6%Rules differK Yes 3.6%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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6 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiWorld

Houston vs Jacksonville: Receiving Yards

K 1.08M contracts

Bhayshul Tuten: 5+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%

Travis Hunter: 10+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%

Jaylin Noel: 10+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%

+125 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

Avengers: Doomsday: Cast

K 944.1K contracts

Will Hugh Jackman perform as Wolverine in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 92%

Will Ryan Reynolds perform as Deadpool in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 90.5%

Will Benedict Cumberbatch perform as Doctor Strange in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 90%

+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

PolymarketTech

Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?

PM $6.18M

Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Yes >99.9%

1 mkt

KalshiScience and Technology

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

K 833.7K contracts

Will a new nuclear reactor be approved by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 6.3%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketTech

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

PM $6.03M

Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Yes 26.5%

Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes 12.5%

Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Yes 9.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiTech

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

PM $5.43M · K 14.73M contracts

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Gemini)

Related contracts

PM Yes 73.8%Rules differK Yes 36.9%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Claude)

Related contracts

PM Yes 47.5%Rules differK Yes 45.6%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Claude)

Related contracts

PM Yes 25.5%Rules differK Yes 45.6%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

15 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

K 741.1K contracts

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? (Above 120)Yes 98.5%

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? (Above 140)Yes 79.5%

How many launches will SpaceX have in Dec 2026? (Above 145)Yes 27.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

KalshiCulture

Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album · Features

K 714.4K contracts

Will SZA be featured on Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album?Yes 99.5%

Will Rauw Alejandro be featured on Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album?Yes 99.5%

Will PinkPantheress be featured on Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album?Yes 99.5%

+127 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketWorld

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

PM $4.86M

Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes 56.2%

Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes 43%

2 mktsNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiScience and Technology

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

K 713.7K contracts

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10%

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 2.5%

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 1.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

PolymarketWorld

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

PM $4.32M

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?Yes 8.5%

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiWorld

Houston vs Jacksonville: Receptions

K 565.9K contracts

Xavier Hutchinson: 1+ receptionsYes 99.5%

Marvin Harrison Jr.: 1+ receptionsYes 99.5%

Foster Moreau: 1+ receptionsYes 99.5%

+93 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

PolymarketWorld

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

PM $4.07M

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Yes 6.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiScience

NASA lands on the moon?

K 554.0K contracts

Will NASA land a person on the Moon by 2029?Yes 41.5%

Will NASA land a person on the Moon by 2028?Yes 23.5%

Will NASA land a person on the Moon before 2028?Yes 3.1%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketScience

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

PM $3.79M

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 80.5%

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes 19.5%

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes 0.3%

+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiSports

Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026?

K 522.7K contracts

Who will be the Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026? (Ciryl Gane)Yes 69%

Who will be the Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026? (Josh Hokit)Yes 31.5%

Heavyweight Title holder to be vacant on Dec 31, 2026 (Vacant)Yes 0.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketWorld

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

PM $3.48M

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 3.6%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Browse prediction markets

Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Next French Presidential Election

US-Iran nuclear deal?

LeBron James to Announce his Retirement Before the 2026-27 Season

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

Ballon d'Or Top 10 Finish 2026

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Time's Person of the Year for 2026

#1 searched person on Google in 2026

Iran leader end of 2026?

When will Apple release the iPhone 18?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Oscar nominees: Best Picture

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

Top Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?

IPOs before 2027?

Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?

Houston vs Jacksonville: Receiving Yards

Avengers: Doomsday: Cast

Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album · Features

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

Houston vs Jacksonville: Receptions

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

NASA lands on the moon?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?