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Showing 481-528 of 1,156 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech

Footwear Retail Ad Spend in October
K 22.8K contractsWill Footwear Retail Ad Spend for October 2026 be above 65?Yes 98.5%
Will Footwear Retail Ad Spend for October 2026 be above 80?Yes 83.5%
Will Footwear Retail Ad Spend for October 2026 be above 100?Yes 42.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 13, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of December?
PM $13.2KWill Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 33%
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 25.5%
Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 15%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Tate McRae: Highest daily view count (October 2026)
K 22.8K contractsWill Tate McRae have above 2.7M daily views at any point during October 2026?Yes 98%
Will Tate McRae have above 3M daily views at any point during October 2026?Yes 93.5%
Will Tate McRae have above 4.1M daily views at any point during October 2026?Yes 91%
+21 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?
PM $13.2KWill Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 74%
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 20.3%
Will KlingAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 4.9%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in February 2027
K 22.6K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.50 in February 2027?Yes 87.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.00 in February 2027?Yes 59.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.00 in February 2027?Yes 50.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Mar 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
PM $13.2KWill Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Anthropic share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 22.5K contractsAnthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 5.3%Yes 93%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 6.0%Yes 50%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 5.5%Yes 49.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?
PM $12.8KWill Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 38.8%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 32.5%
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 18%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

NASCAR Freeway Insurance 500: Top 5 Finishers
K 22.4K contractsCup Series: Ryan Blaney to finish in the top 5Yes 64%
Cup Series: Christopher Bell to finish in the top 5Yes 51%
Cup Series: Joey Logano to finish in the top 5Yes 48%
+34 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Elon Bull Run Combo
PM $12.6KElon Bull Run ComboYes 4.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture

Oscar nominees: Best Cinematography
K 21.8K contracts2027 Best Cinematography Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 91.5%
2027 Best Cinematography Oscar nominations? (Dune: Part Three)Yes 88.5%
2027 Best Cinematography Oscar nominations? (Project Hail Mary)Yes 63.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of November?
PM $12.6KWill Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 71%
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 21.5%
Will Google have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 4.2%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Tesla deliveries in Q1 2027
K 21.8K contractsWill Tesla report Above 225000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?Yes 97.5%
Will Tesla report Above 250000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?Yes 97%
Will Tesla report Above 275000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?Yes 97%
+12 moreNext deadline Jul 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
PM $12.3KRocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Yes 2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld

Number of US data centers in 2026?
K 21.7K contractsWill the United States have at least 4,800 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 89%
Will the United States have at least 4,900 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 78%
Will the United States have at least 5,000 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 61.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?
PM $12.2KNext Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 85%
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 35%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience

Dallas vs Green Bay: Rushing Yards
K 21.7K contractsMarShawn Lloyd: 20+ rushing yardsYes 81.5%
Javonte Williams: 40+ rushing yardsYes 80.5%
MarShawn Lloyd: 25+ rushing yardsYes 74.5%
+46 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?
PM $12.2KWill Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 26.5%
Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 26%
Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 13.3%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 21.6K contractsWill the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.54 by Dec 31?Yes 51.5%
Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.69 by Dec 31?Yes 49.5%
Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.39 by Dec 31?Yes 44%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

GPU rental prices (H100) end of November?
PM $12.0KWill the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on November 30, 2026?Yes 30.5%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on November 30, 2026?Yes 20%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on November 30, 2026?Yes 19.8%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in April 2027
K 21.6K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $1.75 in April 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.25 in April 2027?Yes 49.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $1.50 in April 2027?Yes 49.5%
+5 moreNext deadline May 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of December?
PM $11.5KWill OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 45.5%
Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 27%
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 21.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

When will Anthropic release Opus 6?
K 21.4K contractsWill Anthropic release Opus 6 before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 15%
Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Nov 16, 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 7.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by...?
PM $11.3KNext Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 40.5%
Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 18%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Palantir total customer count in 2026
K 21.3K contractsWill Palantir Technologies Inc. report Above 1100 total customer count in 2026?Yes 91%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. report Above 1120 total customer count in 2026?Yes 81%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. report Above 1140 total customer count in 2026?Yes 76%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech

What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?
PM $11.2KWill Claude Opus's output price be at or below $15 in 2026?Yes 52.5%
Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $30 in 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $25 in 2026?Yes 22%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
K 21.0K contractsWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?Yes 9.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
PM $11.1KScrewworm National Emergency declared by December 31?Yes 13.5%
Screwworm National Emergency declared by October 31?Yes 6.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: Total Bases
K 20.9K contractsYandy Díaz: 2+ total bases?Yes 40.5%
Junior Caminero: 2+ total bases?Yes 39.5%
Chandler Simpson: 2+ total bases?Yes 36%
+54 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?
PM $11.1KWill OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $45 in 2026?Yes 45%
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $30 in 2026?Yes 37.5%
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $40 in 2026?Yes 35.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies

Top Chinese AI Company week of October 12th
K 20.8K contractsTop Chinese AI Company week of October 12th? (Xiaomi)Yes 50.5%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 12th? (Moonshot)Yes 47.5%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 12th? (Alibaba)Yes 47.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?
PM $11.1KWill the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by June 30, 2027?Yes 86.6%
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?Yes 22.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Spotify total monthly active users in 2026
K 20.5K contractsWill Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 790 million total monthly active users in 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 800 million total monthly active users in 2026?Yes 91%
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 810 million total monthly active users in 2026?Yes 80%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...?
PM $11.0KNext Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 23.4%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in January 2027
K 20.5K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $1.50 in January 2027?Yes 51%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.25 in January 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $1.75 in January 2027?Yes 49.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?
PM $11.0KWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 50.5%
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 37.5%
Will Tencent have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 5.6%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiMentions

What will Eric Yuan say during Zoomtopia 2026 Keynote?
K 20.5K contractsWhat will Eric Yuan say during Zoomtopia 2026 Keynote? (ZoomMate)Yes 78%
What will Eric Yuan say during Zoomtopia 2026 Keynote? (Agentic)Yes 76.5%
What will Eric Yuan say during Zoomtopia 2026 Keynote? (Virtual Agent)Yes 59.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
PM $11.0KWill Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?Yes 9.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in May 2027
K 20.4K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.25 in May 2027?Yes 50%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.75 in May 2027?Yes 49.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.50 in May 2027?Yes 49.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jun 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
PM $10.8KWill DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 99.5%
Will Tencent have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 0.4%
Will OpenAI have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 0.4%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville?
K 20.0K contractsWhat will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Gainesville originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Student Loan / Student Debt)Yes 0.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Gainesville originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Socialist / Socialism)Yes 0.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Gainesville originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Corrupt / Corruption)Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by...?
PM $10.6KNext Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 57%
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 16.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in March 2027
K 19.9K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.50 in March 2027?Yes 95.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in March 2027?Yes 93.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $5.00 in March 2027?Yes 80%
+16 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

GPU rental prices (B200) end of November?
PM $10.6KWill the Ornn B200 Index be less than $7.00 on November 30, 2026?Yes 25.5%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $9.00 on November 30, 2026?Yes 21%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on November 30, 2026?Yes 19.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Oregon semiconductor manufacturing jobs rise YoY?
K 19.8K contractsWill Oregon's employment in Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing for December 2026 be above 26,400 jobs?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?
PM $10.5KNext Claude Opus (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 76%
Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 68.5%
Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 14.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 19.6K contractsWill the B200 compute per hour price be above $9.17 on Dec 31?Yes 53.5%
Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $8.57 on Dec 31?Yes 51.5%
Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $7.97 by Dec 31?Yes 51.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
PM $10.4KWill the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes 99.2%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Yes 83.5%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Yes 17.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC