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Showing 5,329-5,376 of 6,988 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

Will SCOTUS allow First Step Act halfway-house claims under §2241?
K 805 contractsWill the Supreme Court rule in favor of William Maxwell in Maxwell v. DinisYes 62.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Louisiana's 3rd District margin of victory
K 804 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 3rd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?Yes 87.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 3rd District House election be at least 22 percentage points?Yes 80%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 3rd District House election be at least 25 percentage points?Yes 70.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Wales announce an independence referendum?
K 802.98 contractsWill Wales announce an independence referendum before 2030?Yes 27.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Vermont at large House General Election: voter turnout
K 802 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Vermont at large House General Election be above 230000?Yes 86.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Vermont at large House General Election be above 250000?Yes 73.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Vermont at large House General Election be above 270000?Yes 56.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

California 36 House General Election: voter turnout
K 800 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in California 36 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 91.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 36 House General Election be above 240000?Yes 80.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 36 House General Election be above 260000?Yes 64.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Maine 01 House General Election: voter turnout
K 800 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Maine 01 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 97%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Maine 01 House General Election be above 320000?Yes 90.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Maine 01 House General Election be above 360000?Yes 69.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Montana 02 House General Election: voter turnout
K 800 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Montana 02 House General Election be above 160000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Montana 02 House General Election be above 190000?Yes 83.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Montana 02 House General Election be above 205000?Yes 68.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

North Carolina 02 House General Election: voter turnout
K 800 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina 02 House General Election be above 190000?Yes 97%
Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina 02 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina 02 House General Election be above 250000?Yes 75.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New Jersey 05 House General Election: voter turnout
K 800 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 05 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 87.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 05 House General Election be above 240000?Yes 71.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 05 House General Election be above 260000?Yes 51.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

AL-01 House election: Clyde Jones vote percent
K 800 contractsWill Clyde Jones receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-01 House election?Yes 97%
Will Clyde Jones receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-01 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Clyde Jones receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-01 House election?Yes 86%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

AZ-05 House election: Mark Lamb vote percent
K 800 contractsWill Mark Lamb receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-05 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Mark Lamb receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-05 House election?Yes 87.5%
Will Mark Lamb receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-05 House election?Yes 59%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CO-02 House election: Joe Neguse vote percent
K 800 contractsWill Joe Neguse receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-02 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Joe Neguse receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-02 House election?Yes 92%
Will Joe Neguse receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-02 House election?Yes 81%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CO-06 House election: Samir Witta vote percent
K 800 contractsWill Samir Witta receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-06 House election?Yes 42%
Will Samir Witta receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-06 House election?Yes 23.5%
Will Samir Witta receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-06 House election?Yes 15.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CT-02 House election: Joe Courtney vote percent
K 800 contractsWill Joe Courtney receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CT-02 House election?Yes 97%
Will Joe Courtney receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CT-02 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Joe Courtney receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 CT-02 House election?Yes 89%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TX-03 House election: Evan Hunt vote percent
K 800 contractsWill Evan Hunt receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-03 House election?Yes 97%
Will Evan Hunt receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-03 House election?Yes 94%
Will Evan Hunt receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-03 House election?Yes 85%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will SCOTUS let district courts hear constitutional challenges to veterans-benefits laws?
K 799.8 contractsWill the Supreme Court rule in favor of Floyd D. Johnson in Johnson v. United States CongressYes 53%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

California's 48th District margin of victory
K 798 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 48th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 85.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 48th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 74.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 48th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 61.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?
K 798 contractsWill Labour be a part of the next government in New Zealand?Yes 60.5%
Will Greens be a part of the next government in New Zealand?Yes 57.5%
Will National be a part of the next government in New Zealand?Yes 54%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 15, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New Mexico 01 House General Election: voter turnout
K 797.87 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico 01 House General Election be above 250000?Yes 90%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico 01 House General Election be above 260000?Yes 87.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico 01 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 46%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NY-26 House winner?
K 794.5 contractsWill Democratic win the House race for NY-26?Yes 98.2%
Will Republican win the House race for NY-26?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas's 9th District margin of victory
K 794.14 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 9th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 79%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 9th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 67%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 9th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 53.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

North Carolina Senate election: Michael Whatley vote percent
K 793.39 contractsWill Michael Whatley receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 North Carolina Senate election?Yes 88%
Will Michael Whatley receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 North Carolina Senate election?Yes 71.5%
Will Michael Whatley receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 North Carolina Senate election?Yes 67%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CA-11 House election: Connie Chan vote percent
K 793.32 contractsWill Connie Chan receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-11 House election?Yes 96%
Will Connie Chan receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-11 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Connie Chan receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-11 House election?Yes 85%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

VA-06 House election: Beth Macy vote percent
K 792.25 contractsWill Beth Macy receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-06 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Beth Macy receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-06 House election?Yes 94%
Will Beth Macy receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-06 House election?Yes 85.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas's 21st District margin of victory
K 787.42 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 21st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 95.9%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 21st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 90.4%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 21st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 82%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Colorado Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 785.25 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Colorado Senate General Election be above 2100000?Yes 88%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Colorado Senate General Election be above 2300000?Yes 75.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Colorado Senate General Election be above 2500000?Yes 60%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

West Virginia's 1st District margin of victory
K 781.68 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the West Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 87.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the West Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 27 percentage points?Yes 79%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the West Virginia's 1st District House election be at least 30 percentage points?Yes 68%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

New York's 3rd District margin of victory
K 781.18 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 3rd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 8.4%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas's 26th District margin of victory
K 778.77 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 26th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 96.4%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 26th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 95.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 26th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 87.1%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Ohio's 5th District margin of victory
K 777 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 5th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 80%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 5th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 70%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 5th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 60.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

2027 Pro Football Hall of Fame Inductees
K 776.69 contractsWill Rob Gronkowski be announced as a inductee for the 2027 Pro Football Hall of Fame class?Yes 85%
Will Adrian Peterson be announced as a inductee for the 2027 Pro Football Hall of Fame class?Yes 80%
Will Ben Roethlisberger be announced as a inductee for the 2027 Pro Football Hall of Fame class?Yes 54.5%
+25 moreNext deadline Jul 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

California's 22nd District margin of victory
K 770.06 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 22nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 87.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 22nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 76.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 22nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 62.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

GA-05 House election: Nikema Williams vote percent (1st Round)
K 769 contractsWill Nikema Williams receive at least 80% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-05 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Nikema Williams receive at least 82% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-05 House election?Yes 90%
Will Nikema Williams receive at least 84% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-05 House election?Yes 80%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Which states will enact data center moratoriums before 2028?
K 765.1 contractsWill California enact a data center moratorium before 2028?Yes 57.5%
Will Colorado enact a data center moratorium before 2028?Yes 53.5%
Will Alaska enact a data center moratorium before 2028?Yes 52.5%
+45 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas Governor election: Greg Abbott vote percent
K 763.79 contractsWill Greg Abbott receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Greg Abbott receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election?Yes 90.5%
Will Greg Abbott receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election?Yes 71%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas's 31st District margin of victory
K 760 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 31st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 88.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 31st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 78%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 31st District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 66%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Georgia Governor election: Rick Jackson vote percent (1st Round)
K 758.94 contractsWill Rick Jackson receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will Rick Jackson receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will Rick Jackson receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Who will win the Pennsylvania State House District 12 general election?
K 756.29 contractsWho will win the Pennsylvania State House District 12 general election? (Brandon Dukes)Yes 52.5%
Who will win the Pennsylvania State House District 12 general election? (Scott Timko)Yes 48.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

Will Don Bacon resign his office before the midterms?
K 754 contractsWill Don Bacon resign his office early?Yes 2.9%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Montana Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 751.7 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Montana Senate General Election be above 380000?Yes 91.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Montana Senate General Election be above 440000?Yes 71%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Montana Senate General Election be above 470000?Yes 59.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Collin County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
K 748.61 contractsWill James Talarico receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?Yes 94%
Will James Talarico receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?Yes 83.5%
Will James Talarico receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?Yes 64%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Maryland Question 3 pass?
K 748.03 contractsWill Maryland Question 3 pass?Yes 70%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Iowa State House winner?
K 747.79 contractsWho will win the Iowa State House? (Republican party)Yes 84.5%
Who will win the Iowa State House? (Democratic party)Yes 13.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Wisconsin's 3rd District margin of victory
K 747.13 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 30%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 22.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 15.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

South Dakota Senate winner? (2028)
K 741.23 contractsWill Republicans win the Senate race in South Dakota?Yes 94%
Will Democratics win the Senate race in South Dakota?Yes 6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Wyoming at large House General Election: voter turnout
K 740 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Wyoming at large House General Election be above 145000?Yes 94.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Wyoming at large House General Election be above 160000?Yes 86%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Wyoming at large House General Election be above 175000?Yes 70.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Wisconsin's 3rd District margin of victory
K 738.33 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 67.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 54%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 37.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas's 32nd District margin of victory
K 737.54 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 32nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 77%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 32nd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 63%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 32nd District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 50.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC