Health prediction markets
51 health market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 1-48 of 51 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
PolymarketKalshiHealth
Pandemic in 2026?
PM $18.62M · K 984.1K contractsHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Kalshi: Pandemic in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.4%Rules differK Yes 5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
K 2.02M contractsHantavirus Public Health Emergency of International Concern by 2026?Yes 3.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
K 414.1K contractsWill the FDA approve Any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?Yes 20.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketHealth
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
PM $784.1KEbola pandemic in 2026?Yes 1.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
K 386.8K contractsWill a human case of Ebola disease in Central African Republic be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 71.5%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 34%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Somalia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 29.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketHealth
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
PM $142.4KHantavirus vaccine in 2026? Yes 3.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
K 82.1K contractsWhat will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? (At least 2000)Yes 96%
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? (At least 3000)Yes 82.5%
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? (At least 4000)Yes 80.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC
PolymarketHealth
Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...?
PM $27.1KWill Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by December 31?Yes 46.5%
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30?Yes 7%
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
K 71.1K contractsWill Kevin Warsh say Central Bank at his Oct 2026 press conference?Yes 94.5%
Will Kevin Warsh say Good Day at his Oct 2026 press conference?Yes 94%
Will Kevin Warsh say Shock at his Oct 2026 press conference?Yes 80%
+44 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketHealth
Plague case in US by December 31?
PM $14.4KPlague case in US by December 31?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
K 67.3K contractsNew pandemic by 2026?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketHealth
FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?
PM $4.8KWill the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by December 31, 2026?Yes 53%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
K 65.7K contractsWhen will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? (Before Jan 1, 2029)Yes 91.5%
When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? (Before Jul 1, 2028)Yes 87.5%
When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 72.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will there be a year without polio before 2030?
K 42.8K contractsWill there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?Yes 5.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
KalshiHealth
Hims subscribers in 2026
K 40.8K contractsWill Hims & Hers Health Inc. report Above 2.8 million subscribers in 2026?Yes 97%
Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report Above 2.84 million subscribers in 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report Above 2.88 million subscribers in 2026?Yes 95%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
K 38.5K contractsWhen will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List? (Before 2027)Yes 39%
When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List? (Before November)Yes 9.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will Trump make IVF free?
K 37.5K contractsWill Trump make IVF free?Yes 13.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 27, 2029 UTC
KalshiWorld
What sector will Anthropic be assigned to?
K 27.1K contractsWill Anthropic be assigned to Information Technology?Yes 92.5%
Will Anthropic be assigned to Unassigned?Yes 3%
Will Anthropic be assigned to Communication Services?Yes 2.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2028 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?
K 23.5K contractsWhen will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? (Before 2028)Yes 88%
When will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? (Before October 2027)Yes 86.5%
When will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? (Before July 2027)Yes 83%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will CMS announce the addition of GLP-1 drugs for obesity to Part D?
K 21.5K contractsWill CMS announce the addition of GLP-1 drugs for obesity to Part D before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 49.5%
Will CMS announce the addition of GLP-1 drugs for obesity to Part D before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 34%
Will CMS announce the addition of GLP-1 drugs for obesity to Part D before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?
K 19.8K contractsWill Secretary of Defense be the first to leave office?Yes 44%
Will Secretary of Health and Human Services be the first to leave office?Yes 35%
Will Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation be the first to leave office?Yes 25%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
KalshiHealth
How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 17.7K contractsAbove 7000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 94%
Above 8000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 89.5%
Above 9000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 71%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Next pandemic
K 15.7K contractsPandemic by Dec 31, 2029?Yes 21%
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2028?Yes 18%
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2027?Yes 12.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Minnesota medical-device manufacturing jobs rise YoY?
K 15.0K contractsWill Minnesota’s annual-average employment in Medical Equipment and Supplies Manufacturing for 2026 be above 18,200 jobs?Yes 92.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will New Jersey pharmaceutical manufacturing jobs rise YoY?
K 12.8K contractsWill New Jersey’s annual-average employment in Pharmaceutical and Medicine Manufacturing for 2026 be above 30,300 jobs?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?
K 12.8K contractsWill there be a case of polio in the USA this year?Yes 12%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve MDMA for PTSD?
K 12.1K contractsWill the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2031?Yes 54.5%
Will the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2032?Yes 51.5%
Will the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 47.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will NYC subway ridership reach its pre-Covid average?
K 11.8K contractsWill NYC subway ridership reach 90% of the pre-Covid average before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 48.5%
Will NYC subway ridership reach 100% of the pre-Covid average before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will North Carolina pharmaceutical manufacturing jobs rise YoY?
K 10.8K contractsWill North Carolina’s employment in Pharmaceutical and Medicine Manufacturing for December 2026 be above 26,500 jobs?Yes 40.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?
K 10.6K contractsWill the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?Yes 39.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2033 UTC
KalshiHealth
Hims subscribers in Q3
K 10.4K contractsWill Hims & Hers Health, Inc. report Above 2.95 million subscribers in Q3 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will Hims & Hers Health, Inc. report Above 3 million subscribers in Q3 2026?Yes 79%
Will Hims & Hers Health, Inc. report Above 3.05 million subscribers in Q3 2026?Yes 49%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026?
K 9.5K contractsWill the CDC end its recommendation for the COVID-19 vaccine?Yes 13.5%
Will the CDC end its recommendation for the Influenza vaccine?Yes 9%
Will the CDC end its recommendation for the Hepatitis B vaccine?Yes 5.6%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
K 9.3K contractsWhen will COMPASS Pathways plc submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA? (before April 2027)Yes 83%
When will COMPASS Pathways plc submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA? (before 2027)Yes 71.5%
When will COMPASS Pathways plc submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA? (before December)Yes 57.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
FDA decision: Ivonescimab by Summit Therapeutics (in 2026)
K 9.2K contractsWhat will the FDA's decision be on Ivonescimab by Summit Therapeutics in 2026?Yes 47.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
K 8.0K contractsWhen will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before April 2027)Yes 72%
When will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before 2027)Yes 51.5%
When will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before December)Yes 34.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
K 6.6K contractsWhen will the FDA approve Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema? (Before 2028)Yes 90.5%
When will the FDA approve Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema? (Before October 2027)Yes 89%
When will the FDA approve Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema? (Before July 2027)Yes 88.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
K 4.6K contractsWill the FDA approve CagriSema before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 95%
Will the FDA approve CagriSema before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 92%
Will the FDA approve CagriSema before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 70.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
K 4.2K contractsWhat will the FDA's decision be on Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline in 2026?Yes 95%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
FDA decision: Anitocabtagene Autoleucel (anito-cel) by Gilead Sciences (in 2026)
K 3.7K contractsWhat will the FDA's decision be on Anitocabtagene Autoleucel (anito-cel) by Gilead Sciences in 2026?Yes 92.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
NYC Health sewer-entry warning before Nov 1, 2026?
K 2.8K contractsNYC Health sewer-entry warning before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Companies added to the MSCI USA Index in Q4?
K 2.7K contractsWill Moderna be added to the MSCI USA Index in Q4 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will Tenet Healthcare be added to the MSCI USA Index in Q4 2026?Yes 65.5%
Will Royal Gold be added to the MSCI USA Index in Q4 2026?Yes 60%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157)?
K 2.0K contractsWill the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment of completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 95%
Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment of completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 87.5%
Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment of completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 65%
+2 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102?
K 1.7K contractsWill the FDA approve VERVE-102 before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 83%
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102 before Jan 1, 2034?Yes 79.5%
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102 before Jan 1, 2033?Yes 75%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation?
K 1.4K contractsWill the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 39%
Will the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
K 1.3K contractsWhat will the FDA's decision be on Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics in 2026?Yes 72%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions?
K 1.1K contractsWhat will Andy Burnham say during next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons)? (Ukraine / Ukrainian)Yes 89%
What will Andy Burnham say during next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons)? (Russia / Russian)Yes 82.5%
What will Andy Burnham say during next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons)? (Energy)Yes 79%
+15 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
FDA decision: Venglustat by Sanofi (in 2026)
K 968.6 contractsWhat will the FDA's decision be on Venglustat by Sanofi in 2026?Yes 82%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
FDA decision: BBP-418 by Ml Bio Solutions Inc. (in 2026)
K 854.49 contractsWhat will the FDA's decision be on BBP-418 by Ml Bio Solutions Inc. in 2026?Yes 92%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC