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Showing 577-624 of 1,704 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiScience and Technology

When will Anthropic release Opus 6?
K 21.4K contractsWill Anthropic release Opus 6 before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 15%
Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Nov 16, 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 7.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Third-best AI Lab end of November?
PM $19.2KWill Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 66%
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 8%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Palantir total customer count in 2026
K 21.3K contractsWill Palantir Technologies Inc. report Above 1100 total customer count in 2026?Yes 91%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. report Above 1120 total customer count in 2026?Yes 81%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. report Above 1140 total customer count in 2026?Yes 76%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
PM $19.0KWill Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 49%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 29.5%
Will Mistral be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 6.7%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather

Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
K 21.1K contractsWill the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?Yes 67%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2050 UTC
PolymarketTech

Ken Martin out as DNC Chair by...?
PM $18.5KWill Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026?Yes 27.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
K 21.0K contractsWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?Yes 9.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 19?
PM $18.4KWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 19?Yes 54.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 19?Yes 26.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 19?Yes 17.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: Total Bases
K 20.9K contractsYandy Díaz: 2+ total bases?Yes 40.5%
Junior Caminero: 2+ total bases?Yes 39.5%
Chandler Simpson: 2+ total bases?Yes 36%
+54 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

GPU rental prices (A100) end of November?
PM $18.4KWill the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?Yes 29%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on November 30, 2026?Yes 21%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies

Top Chinese AI Company week of October 12th
K 20.8K contractsTop Chinese AI Company week of October 12th? (Xiaomi)Yes 50.5%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 12th? (Moonshot)Yes 47.5%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 12th? (Alibaba)Yes 47.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 18?
PM $18.2KWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiTech

Spotify total monthly active users in 2026
K 20.5K contractsWill Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 790 million total monthly active users in 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 800 million total monthly active users in 2026?Yes 91%
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 810 million total monthly active users in 2026?Yes 80%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech

GPT-7 released by...?
PM $18.2KGPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?Yes 83%
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?Yes 42%
2 mktsNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in January 2027
K 20.5K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $1.50 in January 2027?Yes 51%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.25 in January 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $1.75 in January 2027?Yes 49.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?
PM $18.0KAnthropic announces a training pause by October 31?Yes 41%
Mistral announces a training pause by October 31?Yes 6.8%
Google announces a training pause by October 31?Yes 6.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiMentions

What will Eric Yuan say during Zoomtopia 2026 Keynote?
K 20.5K contractsWhat will Eric Yuan say during Zoomtopia 2026 Keynote? (ZoomMate)Yes 78%
What will Eric Yuan say during Zoomtopia 2026 Keynote? (Agentic)Yes 76.5%
What will Eric Yuan say during Zoomtopia 2026 Keynote? (Virtual Agent)Yes 59.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Mexico City on October 18?
PM $17.8KWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 18?Yes 39.5%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 18?Yes 38.5%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 18?Yes 14.5%
+8 more
KalshiTech

NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in May 2027
K 20.4K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.25 in May 2027?Yes 50%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.75 in May 2027?Yes 49.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.50 in May 2027?Yes 49.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jun 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Wellington on October 19?
PM $17.8KWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 19?Yes 43.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 19?Yes 39.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 19?Yes 13%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate

Highest temperature in Denver on Oct 18, 2026?
K 20.1K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 74-75° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 67.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 76-77° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 18%
Will the maximum temperature be 72-73° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 16%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by ___?
PM $17.7KSpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027?Yes 24.5%
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?Yes 10%
2 mktsNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville?
K 20.0K contractsWhat will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Gainesville originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Student Loan / Student Debt)Yes 0.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Gainesville originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Socialist / Socialism)Yes 0.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Gainesville originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Corrupt / Corruption)Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?
PM $17.7KWill Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Yes 73.5%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Yes 16%
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Yes 5.2%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather

Major volcano eruption in 2026?
K 20.0K contractsWill there be at least 1 VEI4 eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes 33%
Will there be at least 2 VEI4 eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes 15%
Will there be at least 3 VEI4 eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes 3%
3 mktsNext deadline Jun 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?
PM $17.7KWill the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by March 31, 2027?Yes 50%
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in March 2027
K 19.9K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.50 in March 2027?Yes 95.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in March 2027?Yes 93.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $5.00 in March 2027?Yes 80%
+16 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on October 18?
PM $17.5KWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 18?Yes 99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 18?Yes 0.8%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 18?Yes 0.1%
+8 more
KalshiEconomics
Will Oregon semiconductor manufacturing jobs rise YoY?
K 19.8K contractsWill Oregon's employment in Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing for December 2026 be above 26,400 jobs?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Top 5 Most Searched Passings on Google in the US 2026
PM $17.4KWill Dolly Parton rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Oliver Tree rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026?Yes 85%
Will Hayden Panettiere rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026?Yes 77.7%
+10 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate

Highest temperature in Atlanta on Oct 18, 2026?
K 19.8K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 86%
Will the maximum temperature be 64-65° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 14%
Will the maximum temperature be 68-69° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 2.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on October 19?
PM $17.3KWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 19?Yes 70.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 19?Yes 16.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 19?Yes 13%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 19.6K contractsWill the B200 compute per hour price be above $9.17 on Dec 31?Yes 53.5%
Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $8.57 on Dec 31?Yes 51.5%
Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $7.97 by Dec 31?Yes 51.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 16?
PM $17.2KWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 16?Yes >99.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on October 16?Yes <0.1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 16?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiSports

Malaga vs Real Sociedad: Goalscorer
K 19.6K contractsOrri Oskarsson: 1+ goalsYes 99.5%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goalsYes 99.5%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsYes 99.5%
+21 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate

US Tornadoes in October 2026
PM $17.1KWill there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?Yes 79%
Will there be between 60 and 89 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?Yes 14%
Will there be 90 or more tornadoes in the US in October 2026?Yes 2.8%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?
K 19.1K contractsWill SpaceX test launch its Human Launch System before 2027?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 19?
PM $16.7KWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 19?Yes 46%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 19?Yes 28%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 19?Yes 14.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Kendrick Lamar: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 19.0K contractsWill Kendrick Lamar have above 4.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 92%
Will Kendrick Lamar have above 5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 73.5%
Will Kendrick Lamar have above 4M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 65.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Discord IPO by __?
PM $16.2KWill Discord IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 6%
Will Discord IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes 2.2%
Will Discord IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes 2.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Broadline Retail Ad Spend in October
K 19.0K contractsWill Broadline Retail Ad Spend for October 2026 be above 112?Yes 73.5%
Will Broadline Retail Ad Spend for October 2026 be above 129?Yes 17.5%
Will Broadline Retail Ad Spend for October 2026 be above 132?Yes 14.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 13, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Karachi on October 18?
PM $16.2KWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiScience and Technology

When will xAI release Grok 5?
K 18.7K contractsWill xAI release Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 37.5%
Will xAI release Grok 5 before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 14%
Will xAI release Grok 5 before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 3%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?
PM $16.1KWill Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 35.5%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 33%
Will Meta be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 18.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?
K 18.6K contractsWill Zohran Mamdani announce their departure as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 33.5%
Will Zohran Mamdani announce their departure as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 14%
Will Zohran Mamdani announce their departure as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 17?
PM $15.9KWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 17?Yes >99.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on October 17?Yes <0.1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 17?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiTech

Lai Ching-te departure announced?
K 18.4K contractsWill Lai Ching-te leave office before 2028-01-01T15:00:00.000Z?Yes 29%
Will Lai Ching-te leave office before 2027-07-01T14:00:00.000Z?Yes 11.6%
Will Lai Ching-te leave office before 2027-01-01T15:00:00.000Z?Yes 4.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?
PM $15.6KWill OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?Yes 83.5%
Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?Yes 5.9%
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?Yes 4.9%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC