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Showing 6,865-6,912 of 7,884 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

IL-16 House election: Paul Nolley vote percent
K 69.37 contractsWill Paul Nolley receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Paul Nolley receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?Yes 89.5%
Will Paul Nolley receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?Yes 77.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX Opening Keynote?
K 67.81 contractsWhat will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX 2026 — Opening Keynote originally scheduled for November 10, 2026? (Photoshop)Yes 68.5%
What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX 2026 — Opening Keynote originally scheduled for November 10, 2026? (Generative AI / Gen AI)Yes 60.5%
What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX 2026 — Opening Keynote originally scheduled for November 10, 2026? (Acrobat)Yes 50%
+14 moreNext deadline Nov 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

What will the tariff rate on Brazilian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
K 67.74 contractsWill the tariff rate on Brazil imports be at least 10% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 80%
Will the tariff rate on Brazil imports be at least 20% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 42.5%
Will the tariff rate on Brazil imports be at least 30% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 19.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Next Canadian federal election winner?
K 67.09 contractsWill Liberal Party win the next Canadian federal election for the House of Commons?Yes 59.5%
Will Conservative Party win the next Canadian federal election for the House of Commons?Yes 37.5%
Will New Democratic Party win the next Canadian federal election for the House of Commons?Yes 3%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 15, 2030 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NH-02 House election: Lily Tang Williams vote percent
K 67 contractsWill Lily Tang Williams receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 NH-02 House election?Yes 96%
Will Lily Tang Williams receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 NH-02 House election?Yes 90.5%
Will Lily Tang Williams receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 NH-02 House election?Yes 78.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How many House Democrats will lose reelection in 2026?
K 66 contractsWill at least 9 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will at least 10 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will at least 11 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?Yes 77.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Utah's 4th District margin of victory
K 66 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Utah's 4th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 83%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Utah's 4th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?Yes 77%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Utah's 4th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?Yes 70%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Maryland 02 House General Election: voter turnout
K 66 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Maryland 02 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 94.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Maryland 02 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 90.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Maryland 02 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 84.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Highest third-party vote share in a 2026 Senate race?
K 65.19 contractsWill a third-party Senate candidate win at least 2% of the vote in 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 4% of the vote in 2026?Yes 84%
Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 4.5% of the vote in 2026?Yes 51%
+6 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Arizona Corporation Commission party breakdown?
K 65.04 contractsWill Republicans win both Arizona Corporation Commission seats?Yes 87.5%
Will Republicans and Democrats each win one Arizona Corporation Commission seat?Yes 10.5%
Will Democrats win both Arizona Corporation Commission seats?Yes 3.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas 35 House General Election: voter turnout
K 63.74 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Texas 35 House General Election be above 148000?Yes 97.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas 35 House General Election be above 141000?Yes 97.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas 35 House General Election be above 134000?Yes 97.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will SCOTUS allow Arizona’s citizenship-proof and pre-election noncitizen-removal rules?
K 63.18 contractsWill the Supreme Court rule in favor of Republican National Committee in Republican National Committee v. Mi Familia VotaYes 65.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

North Carolina early voters: party registration margin?
K 62.78 contractsWill the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 2 and 3.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 4 and 5.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 22%
Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 0 and 1.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 22%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas's 19th District margin of victory
K 62.27 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 19th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?Yes 91%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 19th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?Yes 80%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 19th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?Yes 70%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture

American Athletic Conference Men's Tournament Champion
K 61.38 contractsWill Wichita St. be the 2027 American Athletic Conference tournament champions?Yes 24%
Will Tulsa be the 2027 American Athletic Conference tournament champions?Yes 15%
Will South Florida be the 2027 American Athletic Conference tournament champions?Yes 12.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Mar 28, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Wisconsin's 5th District margin of victory
K 61 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 5th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 91.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 5th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 83%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 5th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 72%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

All-Rookie Second Team Selections
K 60.54 contractsAll-Rookie Second Team Selection: Zuby EjioforYes 49.5%
All-Rookie Second Team Selection: Yaxel LendeborgYes 49.5%
All-Rookie Second Team Selection: Thomas SorberYes 49.5%
+37 moreNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

PA-02 House winner?
K 60 contractsWill Democratic win the House race for PA-02?Yes 97.7%
Will Republican win the House race for PA-02?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
K 60 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 3rd District House election be at least 27 percentage points?Yes 93.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 3rd District House election be at least 36 percentage points?Yes 64%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 3rd District House election be at least 39 percentage points?Yes 50%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

California's 3rd District margin of victory
K 59 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 96%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 94.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 92.6%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TX-21 House election: Mark Teixeira vote percent
K 57.97 contractsWill Mark Teixeira receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-21 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Mark Teixeira receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-21 House election?Yes 84.5%
Will Mark Teixeira receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-21 House election?Yes 69.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New Jersey's 12th District margin of victory
K 56.8 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 12th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?Yes 96.2%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 12th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?Yes 94%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 12th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?Yes 87.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

Grammy Winner: Best Country Song
K 56.76 contractsWill Tie win Best Country Song at the Grammys?Yes 49.5%
Will Sleepless in a Hotel Room win Best Country Song at the Grammys?Yes 49.5%
Will Loneliest Girl win Best Country Song at the Grammys?Yes 49.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

Will Paul Wilson be retained on the Missouri Supreme Court?
K 55.21 contractsWill Paul Wilson be retained on the Missouri Supreme Court?Yes 86%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Illinois 15 House General Election: voter turnout
K 55 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Illinois 15 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Illinois 15 House General Election be above 240000?Yes 95%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Illinois 15 House General Election be above 250000?Yes 91.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will New Mexico expand its FAIR Plan?
K 54 contractsWill New Mexico expand its FAIR Plan?Yes 39.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

Nevada's 3rd District margin of victory
K 52.7 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nevada's 3rd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame Finalists
K 52.48 contractsWill Blake Griffin be announced as a finalist for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class?Yes 80%
Will Andre Iguodala be announced as a finalist for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class?Yes 51%
Will Terry Stotts be announced as a finalist for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class?Yes 50%
+11 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiCulture

Golfers to rejoin the PGA Tour before Jan 21, 2027
K 52.2 contractsWill Tyrrell Hatton rejoin, apply to rejoin, or announce that he will rejoin the PGA Tour before Jan 21, 2027?Yes 50%
Will Thomas Detry rejoin, apply to rejoin, or announce that he will rejoin the PGA Tour before Jan 21, 2027?Yes 50%
Will Joaquin Niemann rejoin, apply to rejoin, or announce that he will rejoin the PGA Tour before Jan 21, 2027?Yes 50%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 28, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How many House Republicans will lose reelection in 2026?
K 52 contractsWill at least 16 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026?Yes 96%
Will at least 20 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026?Yes 87%
Will at least 24 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026?Yes 66%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

Latin Grammy Awards: Best Contemporary Pop Album
K 51.41 contractsWill (Enamorada) win Best Contemporary Pop Album at the 2026 Latin Grammy Awards?Yes 51.5%
Will Tie win Best Contemporary Pop Album at the 2026 Latin Grammy Awards?Yes 49%
Will ¿Y Ahora Qué +? win Best Contemporary Pop Album at the 2026 Latin Grammy Awards?Yes 45.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 13, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

GA-04 House election: Hank Johnson vote percent (1st Round)
K 51 contractsWill Hank Johnson receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-04 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Hank Johnson receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-04 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Hank Johnson receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-04 House election?Yes 96%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment

Black Panther 3: Cast
K 50.22 contractsWill Lupita Nyong'o perform as any role as an actor in Black Panther 3?Yes 78%
Will Daniel Kaluuya perform as any role as an actor in Black Panther 3?Yes 70%
Will Danai Gurira perform as any role as an actor in Black Panther 3?Yes 70%
+6 moreNext deadline Aug 31, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Campeche Governor winner?
K 50 contractsWill the candidate of the registered coalition that includes Morena win the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial election?Yes 65.5%
Will the candidate of the registered coalition that includes MC win the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial election?Yes 27.5%
Will the candidate of the registered coalition that includes PAN but not MC win the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial election?Yes 4.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jun 5, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Will Delaware franchise-tax revenue exceed its FY2027 forecast?
K 50 contractsWill Franchise Tax receipts for FY2027 be above $1.344 billion?Yes 54.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 6, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

Pro Football: All-Pro Second-Team Defense
K 50 contractsWill Will Anderson Jr. be selected to the Pro Football All-Pro Second-Team Defense in the 2026-27 season?Yes 48%
Will T.J. Watt be selected to the Pro Football All-Pro Second-Team Defense in the 2026-27 season?Yes 48%
Will Talanoa Hufanga be selected to the Pro Football All-Pro Second-Team Defense in the 2026-27 season?Yes 48%
+50 moreNext deadline Feb 22, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

GA-09 House election: Caitlyn Gegen vote percent (1st Round)
K 50 contractsWill Caitlyn Gegen receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-09 House election?Yes 95%
Will Caitlyn Gegen receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-09 House election?Yes 84.5%
Will Caitlyn Gegen receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-09 House election?Yes 68.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

What will the tariff rate on Mexican imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
K 49.95 contractsWill the tariff rate on Mexico imports be at least 10% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 80%
Will the tariff rate on Mexico imports be at least 20% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 30.5%
Will the tariff rate on Mexico imports be at least 30% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 20%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Rhode Island Senate election: Jack Reed vote percent
K 49.23 contractsWill Jack Reed receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election?Yes 92.5%
Will Jack Reed receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election?Yes 81.5%
Will Jack Reed receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election?Yes 64.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Prime Minister of Fiji after the next election?
K 45.52 contractsWill Sitiveni Rabuka become Prime Minister of Fiji following the next Fijian general election?Yes 75.5%
Will Inia Seruiratu become Prime Minister of Fiji following the next Fijian general election?Yes 14.5%
Will Tupou Draunidalo become Prime Minister of Fiji following the next Fijian general election?Yes 3.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 6, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Washington 10 House General Election: voter turnout
K 45 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Washington 10 House General Election be above 190000?Yes 95.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Washington 10 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 87.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Washington 10 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 72.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MA-03 House election: Gary Grossi vote percent
K 45 contractsWill Gary Grossi receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-03 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Gary Grossi receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-03 House election?Yes 42.5%
Will Gary Grossi receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-03 House election?Yes 36%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Vermont Governor election: Amanda Janoo vote percent
K 44.92 contractsWill Amanda Janoo receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will Amanda Janoo receive at least 33% of the popular vote in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will Amanda Janoo receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture

Ohio Valley Conference Men's Conference Tournament Champion
K 43.23 contractsWill Southeast Missouri St. be the Ohio Valley Conference tournament champions?Yes 22%
Will Tennessee St. be the Ohio Valley Conference tournament champions?Yes 21%
Will SIU Edwardsville be the Ohio Valley Conference tournament champions?Yes 13.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Mar 28, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will an Atlantic Shores offshore wind lease be terminated?
K 41.18 contractsWill the U.S. Department of the Interior announce the relinquishment, cancellation, or other termination of at least one federal offshore wind lease held by Atlantic Shores Offshore Wind or one of its leaseholding subsidiaries before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 45.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture

Mid-American Conference Men's Tournament Champion
K 40.55 contractsWill Miami (OH) be the 2027 Mid-American Conference tournament champions?Yes 22%
Will Akron be the 2027 Mid-American Conference tournament champions?Yes 16%
Will Toledo be the 2027 Mid-American Conference tournament champions?Yes 12%
+9 moreNext deadline Mar 28, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

All-Defensive Second Team Selections
K 40.52 contractsAll-Defensive Second Team Selection: OG AnunobyYes 54%
All-Defensive Second Team Selection: Zach EdeyYes 49.5%
All-Defensive Second Team Selection: Walker KesslerYes 49.5%
+48 moreNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MD-06 House election: Robin Ficker vote percent
K 40 contractsWill Robin Ficker receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-06 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Robin Ficker receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-06 House election?Yes 88.5%
Will Robin Ficker receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-06 House election?Yes 74%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC