Politics prediction markets
6,943 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 1,105-1,152 of 6,943 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
NRSC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
K 27.9K contractsWill the National Republican Senatorial Committee report more than $15M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 69%
Will the National Republican Senatorial Committee report more than $17.5M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 49.5%
Will the National Republican Senatorial Committee report more than $10M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 49.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MO-02 House Election Winner
PM $69.3KWill the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?Yes 77%
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?Yes 22.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which G7 leader will leave office next?
K 27.8K contractsWill President of France be the first to leave office?Yes 70%
Will Chancellor of Germany be the first to leave office?Yes 18%
Will Prime Minister of Italy be the first to leave office?Yes 9%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2045 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-16 House Election Winner
PM $69.2KWill the Republican Party win the IL-16 House seat?Yes 96%
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-16 House seat?Yes 3.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Delaware Senate winner?
K 27.7K contractsWill Democratics win the Senate race in Delaware?Yes 98.3%
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Delaware?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Romania PM appointed by…?
PM $69.1KWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?Yes 97.3%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by October 31?Yes 96.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November
PM $69.0K · K 6.6K contractsWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Brazil cut 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 90.5%Rules differK Yes 88%
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Brazil maintain current rate at the November Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 8.6%Rules differK Yes 9%
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Brazil hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.6%Rules differK Yes 2%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 27.6K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Texas Senate General Election be above 8200000?Yes 92%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas Senate General Election be above 8800000?Yes 86%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas Senate General Election be above 9400000?Yes 74%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Mississippi Senate margin of victory
K 27.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 80.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 54%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 38%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MT-02 House Election Winner
PM $68.9KWill the Republican Party win the MT-02 House seat?Yes 98%
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-02 House seat?Yes 0.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026
K 27.4K contractsMichael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026? (At least $1.0 billion)Yes 97.5%
Michael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026? (At least $1.5 billion)Yes 97.5%
Michael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026? (At least $2.0 billion)Yes 97.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
VA-03 House Election Winner
PM $68.7KWill the Democratic Party win the VA-03 House seat?Yes 96%
Will the Republican Party win the VA-03 House seat?Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Sweden rate decision in November
K 27.4K contractsWill Sveriges Riksbank maintain the current rate at the November monetary policy meeting?Yes 53.5%
Will Sveriges Riksbank hike 1-25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?Yes 46%
Will Sveriges Riksbank hike more than 25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?Yes 2.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
KY-05 House Election Winner
PM $68.5KWill the Republican Party win the KY-05 House seat?Yes 96.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-05 House seat?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy
K 27.3K contractsWill Jean Smart be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88.5%
Will Elle Fanning be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88.5%
Will Lisa Kudrow be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 75%
+10 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AL-05 House Election Winner
PM $67.5KWill the Republican Party win the AL-05 House seat?Yes 95.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-05 House seat?Yes 4.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will a Democratic Senator call for Schumer to step down as leader?
K 27.2K contractsWill any current member of the Democratic Senate caucus (including independents who caucus with Democrats) publicly states that Chuck Schumer should step down, resign, or be replaced as Senate Democratic Leader before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 49%
Will any current member of the Democratic Senate caucus (including independents who caucus with Democrats) publicly states that Chuck Schumer should step down, resign, or be replaced as Senate Democratic Leader before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 13.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-10 House Election Winner
PM $67.5KWill the Republican Party win the GA-10 House seat?Yes 96.3%
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat?Yes 2.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which central banks will hike before 2027?
K 27.1K contractsWill the Bank of England raise the Bank Rate before 2027?Yes 94.5%
Will the Bank of Canada raise its target for the overnight rate before 2027?Yes 54.5%
Will the Riksbank raise its policy rate before 2027?Yes 52.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
LA-05 Republican Primary Winner
PM $67.3KWill Michael Echols be the Republican nominee for LA-05?Yes 7.8%
Will Misti Cordell be the Republican nominee for LA-05?Yes 3.8%
Will Michael Mebruer be the Republican nominee for LA-05?Yes 1.8%
+4 more
KalshiPolitics
2028 U.S. Vice-Presidential Election winner
K 27.0K contractsWho will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez)Yes 12%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Marco Rubio)Yes 10%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Jon Ossoff)Yes 6%
+24 moreNext deadline Jan 6, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner
PM $67.1KWill Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Yes 81.5%
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Yes 18.2%
Will Hsu Chih-chieh win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Yes 0.1%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
TX-15 House winner?
PM $67.1K · K 2.39M contractsWill the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for TX-15?
Related contracts
PM Yes 82.5%Rules differK Yes 83.5%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for TX-15?
Related contracts
PM Yes 17.5%Rules differK Yes 16.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Connecticut's 5th District margin of victory
K 27.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 94.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 90.2%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 82.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
NY-18 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $67.0K · K 20.4K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the NY-18 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Democrat win the House race for NY-18?
Related contracts
PM Yes 95%Rules differK Yes 95%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-18 House election?
Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for NY-18?
Related contracts
PM Yes 4.8%Rules differK Yes 4.5%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-18 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for NY-18?
Related contracts
PM Yes 4.5%Rules differK Yes 4.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Top Fantasy D/ST
K 27.0K contractsWill MIN Vikings D/ST be the #1 ranked fantasy DST in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 42%
Will SEA Seahawks D/ST be the #1 ranked fantasy DST in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 25.5%
Will CLE Browns D/ST be the #1 ranked fantasy DST in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 20.5%
+29 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Oklahoma Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $66.9K · K 234.4K contractsWill the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Oklahoma
Related contracts
PM Yes 88.5%Rules differK Yes 89.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Oklahoma
Related contracts
PM Yes 8.3%Rules differK Yes 10.5%
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Oklahoma
Related contracts
PM Yes 9.5%Rules differK Yes 10.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Tocantins: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)
K 27.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Tocantins be at least 1%?Yes 92.5%
Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Tocantins be at least 4%?Yes 87.5%
Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Tocantins be at least 7%?Yes 74.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 23rd District margin of victory
K 26.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 23rd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 97.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 23rd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 96.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 23rd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 96.3%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?
PM $66.9KWill Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes 90.8%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes 7.8%
2 mkts
KalshiPolitics
Arkansas's 3rd District margin of victory
K 26.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 3rd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 50.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 3rd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 48.7%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 3rd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?Yes 43.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IA-04 House Election Winner
PM $66.7KWill the Republican Party win the IA-04 House seat?Yes 95.3%
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-04 House seat?Yes 0.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump go on SNL during his second term?
K 26.7K contractsWill Trump go on SNL during his second term?Yes 14.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
VA-09 House Election Winner
PM $66.7KWill the Republican Party win the VA-09 House seat?Yes 97%
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-09 House seat?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Trump bring back manufacturing?
K 26.7K contractsWill Trump bring back manufacturing?Yes 22.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?
PM $66.4KWill the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?Yes 28.5%
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Yes 6.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Bill Belichick leave North Carolina?
K 26.6K contractsBill Belichick out before Jan 1, 2028Yes 87%
Bill Belichick out before Feb 1, 2027Yes 48.5%
Bill Belichick out before Jan 1, 2027Yes 34%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-12 House Election Winner
PM $66.3KWill the Democratic Party win the NC-12 House seat?Yes 96.8%
Will the Republican Party win the NC-12 House seat?Yes 2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 9th District margin of victory
K 26.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 9th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 16%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 9th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 12.4%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 9th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 10.4%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by...?
PM $66.2KCuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by December 31?Yes 3.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?
K 26.5K contractsWho will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? (Charli xcx)Yes 3%
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? (Tyla)Yes 3%
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? (SZA)Yes 3%
+128 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-38 House Election Winner
PM $65.9KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-38 House seat?Yes 97.4%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-38 House seat?Yes 0.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will SCOTUS permit Missouri's HB 1 House map?
K 26.4K contractsWill SCOTUS permit Missouri's HB 1 House map?Yes 2%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-28 House Election Winner
PM $65.7KWill the Republican Party win the FL-28 House seat?Yes 94.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-28 House seat?Yes 5.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?
K 26.4K contractsWill 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law on Dec 10, 2026?Yes 93.5%
Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law on Nov 13, 2026?Yes 91%
Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law on Nov 19, 2027?Yes 85.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?
PM $65.6KWill there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes 33.9%
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes 1.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Kansas Governor winner?
PM $65.5K · K 167.3K contractsWill the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Kansas
Related contracts
PM Yes 76%Rules differK Yes 75.5%
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Kansas
Related contracts
PM Yes 23.5%Rules differK Yes 24.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Turkish presidential election: first round winner?
K 26.4K contractsWho will win the first round of the next Turkish presidential election? (Recep Tayyip Erdoğan)Yes 68%
Who will win the first round of the next Turkish presidential election? (Ekrem İmamoğlu)Yes 17.5%
Who will win the first round of the next Turkish presidential election? (Mansur Yavaş)Yes 3%
3 mktsNext deadline May 7, 2029 UTC