Browse prediction markets

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 93.5%

New York Governor margin of victory

K 33.2K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 88%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 80%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 45.5%

Iowa Senate margin of victory

K 33.2K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 27%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 14%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?Yes 2.6%

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

PM $70.0K

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiSports

Indiana Secretary of State winner?

K 33.1K contracts

Indiana Secretary of State winner? (Beau Bayh)Yes 52%

Indiana Secretary of State winner? (Max Engling)Yes 45%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?Yes 69.5%

FL-14 House Election Winner

PM $69.5K

Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?Yes 30.5%

Will Widow’s Bay be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 93.5%

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical

K 33.0K contracts

Will Only Murders in the Building be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88.5%

Will Hacks be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-50 House seat?Yes 96.3%

CA-50 House Election Winner

PM $69.4K

Will the Republican Party win the CA-50 House seat?Yes 3.1%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Arizona be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 85.5%

Arizona Governor margin of victory

K 33.0K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Arizona be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 71%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Arizona be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 50.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?Yes 95.5%

TX-21 House Election Winner

PM $69.4K

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-21 House seat?Yes 3.6%

PM $69.4K · K 326.5K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

NY-17 House winner?

Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for NY-17?

Related contracts

PM Yes 60.5%Rules differK Yes 60.5%

Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for NY-17?

Related contracts

PM Yes 40.5%Rules differK Yes 39.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will Trump say "United Kingdom / British" before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%

What countries will Trump say in October?

K 32.9K contracts

Will Trump say "Iceland / Icelandic" before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%

Will Trump say "Argentina / Argentinian" before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 93.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiCulture

Grand Theft Auto VI · The Album: First Week Streams

K 32.9K contracts

Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 10000000 streams during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?Yes 97.5%

Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 20000000 streams during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?Yes 97%

Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 15000000 streams during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?Yes 97%

+16 moreNext deadline Dec 3, 2026 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the FL-18 House seat?Yes 94%

FL-18 House Election Winner

PM $69.3K

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-18 House seat?Yes 4.5%

Will Christian McCaffrey record 6+ rushing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 95.5%

KalshiSports

Pro Football: 6+ Rushing Touchdowns Season

K 32.9K contracts

Will Kenneth Walker III record 6+ rushing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 89%

Will Bucky Irving record 6+ rushing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 71%

+44 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the IL-16 House seat?Yes 96%

IL-16 House Election Winner

PM $69.2K

Will the Democratic Party win the IL-16 House seat?Yes 4%

Will Big Walk win the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game?Yes 46.5%

KalshiSports

Game Awards: Best Independent Game

K 32.7K contracts

Will Mina the Hollower win the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game?Yes 33%

Will Mewgenics win the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game?Yes 10%

+11 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?Yes 77%

MO-02 House Election Winner

PM $69.1K

Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?Yes 22.5%

Will Democratic win the House race for LA-02?Yes 97.1%

LA-02 House winner?

K 32.5K contracts

Will Republican win the House race for LA-02?Yes 2.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?Yes 97.3%

Next Romania PM appointed by…?

PM $69.1K

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by October 31?Yes 96.4%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by law?

Will legislation that makes “Department of War” the official statutory name of the United States Department of Defense become law before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 34.5%

Will legislation that makes “Department of War” the official statutory name of the United States Department of Defense become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 26%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the MT-02 House seat?Yes 98.1%

MT-02 House Election Winner

PM $68.9K

Will the Democratic Party win the MT-02 House seat?Yes 0.7%

PM $68.8K · K 6.6K contracts

PolymarketKalshiEconomy

Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Brazil cut 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 90.5%Rules differK Yes 89%

Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Brazil maintain current rate at the November Monetary Policy Meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 8.6%Rules differK Yes 9%

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Brazil cut more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.4%Rules differK Yes 2%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

WA-04 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for WA-04?Yes 92.5%

Will Democratic win the House race for WA-04?Yes 7.1%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela?

Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 55.5%

Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 35.5%

Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 23%

3 mktsNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the VA-03 House seat?Yes 96.4%

VA-03 House Election Winner

PM $68.7K

Will the Republican Party win the VA-03 House seat?Yes 3%

KalshiEntertainment

Beyoncé Streams in 2026

Will Beyoncé have 5400000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 99.5%

Will Beyoncé have 5500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 98%

Will Beyoncé have 5750000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%

+12 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the KY-05 House seat?Yes 96.6%

KY-05 House Election Winner

PM $68.5K

Will the Democratic Party win the KY-05 House seat?Yes 3.6%

Will Trump recognize Somaliland?

Will Trump recognize Somaliland? (Before Jan 20, 2029)Yes 55%

Will Trump recognize Somaliland? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 33%

Will Trump recognize Somaliland? (Before Jan 1, 2027)Yes 7%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketCulture

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

PM $67.8K

Will Nigeria have an Ebola case in 2026?Yes 47.5%

Will Somalia have an Ebola case in 2026?Yes 39.5%

Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?Yes 28.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will a court find that Amazon has illegally maintained a monopoly?Yes 48%

Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?

K 32.2K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 2, 2030 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the AL-05 House seat?Yes 95.5%

AL-05 House Election Winner

PM $67.5K

Will the Democratic Party win the AL-05 House seat?Yes 4.8%