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Showing 1,345-1,392 of 2,515 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Will a New York Times reporter be federally charged over Air Force One reporting?
K 11.7K contractsWill any New York Times reporter whose alleged offense arises from newsgathering, publication, source protection, or compliance with investigative demands concerning the Times’s July 2026 reporting on the security of the Qatari-donated aircraft used as Air Force One be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Base iPhone 18 released by...?
PM $2.7KBase iPhone 18 released by April 30, 2027?Yes 92%
Base iPhone 18 released by March 31, 2027?Yes 47.5%
Base iPhone 18 released by February 28, 2027?Yes 11.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Which banks will take OpenAI public?
K 11.7K contractsWill Stifel Financial take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 40%
Will Raymond James take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 37.5%
Will Needham & Company take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 35%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q3 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP)?
PM $2.7KThermo Fisher (TMO) Q3 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 4% to 6%?Yes 60.5%
Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q3 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 2% to 4%?Yes 13.5%
Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q3 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 6% to 8%?Yes 13.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto
OpenRouter AI token usage in October
K 11.6K contractsWill OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 500T tokens?Yes 99.5%
Will OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 450T tokens?Yes 99%
Will OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 550T tokens?Yes 98.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Central Bank of Colombia decision in December
PM $2.6KWill the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the December meeting?Yes 59.5%
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Yes 23.5%
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?Yes 8.4%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 18, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
How many companies will go bankrupt this year?
K 11.6K contractsHow many corporate bankruptcies will there be this year? (Above 550)Yes 97.5%
How many corporate bankruptcies will there be this year? (Above 600)Yes 96.5%
How many corporate bankruptcies will there be this year? (Above 650)Yes 91.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Mar 13, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?
PM $2.6KWill Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?Yes 6.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Datadog customer over$100k ARR in fiscal 2026
K 11.6K contractsWill Datadog, Inc. report Above 5040 customers with arr over $100k in fiscal 2026?Yes 93%
Will Datadog, Inc. report Above 5060 customers with arr over $100k in fiscal 2026?Yes 82%
Will Datadog, Inc. report Above 5080 customers with arr over $100k in fiscal 2026?Yes 74%
+4 moreNext deadline May 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?
PM $2.6KEpic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Which countries will officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?
K 11.6K contractsWill United Kingdom officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?Yes 95%
Will Ukraine officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?Yes 95%
Will Sweden officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?Yes 95%
+35 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPad revenue be above __?
PM $2.5KWill Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPad revenue be above $6B?Yes 39%
Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPad revenue be above $6.5B?Yes 31%
Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPad revenue be above $7B?Yes 20.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Wyndham Hotels total rooms in fiscal 2026
K 11.5K contractsWill Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc. report Above 880 thousand total rooms in fiscal 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc. report Above 885 thousand total rooms in fiscal 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc. report Above 890 thousand total rooms in fiscal 2026?Yes 62%
+5 moreNext deadline May 12, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Western Digital (WDC) Q1 exabytes shipped be above __?
PM $2.5KWill Western Digital (WDC) Q1 exabytes shipped be above 235?Yes 83%
Will Western Digital (WDC) Q1 exabytes shipped be above 240?Yes 76.5%
Will Western Digital (WDC) Q1 exabytes shipped be above 245?Yes 64%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will the Dow Jones Industrial Average get in 2026?
K 11.5K contractsWill the Dow Jones Industrial Average be at least $54,000 in 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be at least $55,000 in 2026?Yes 23.5%
Will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be at least $56,000 in 2026?Yes 11%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Take-Two Q2 net bookings be above __?
PM $2.5KWill Take-Two Q2 net bookings be above $1.60B?Yes 85.5%
Will Take-Two Q2 net bookings be above $1.65B?Yes 74.5%
Will Take-Two Q2 net bookings be above $1.70B?Yes 46%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Austin in Oct 2026?
K 11.4K contractsRain in Austin in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 70%
Rain in Austin in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 21.5%
Rain in Austin in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 21.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will General Motors say during their next earnings call?
PM $2.5KWill General Motors say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call?Yes 98.1%
Will General Motors say "Tariff" during earnings call?Yes 97.9%
Will General Motors say "Inventory" during earnings call?Yes 97.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
South Dakota gas prices tomorrow
K 11.4K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.2150?Yes 98.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2100?Yes 98.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2200?Yes 97.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?
PM $2.5KWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois pension debt in 2026?
K 11.4K contractsWill the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $140 billion?Yes 95%
Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $145 billion?Yes 78.5%
Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $150 billion?Yes 10.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Tradeweb (TW) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $2.4KWill Tradeweb (TW) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 24.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026
K 11.3K contractsWill the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 3%?Yes 88%
Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 4%?Yes 87.5%
Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 7%?Yes 87%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 19?
PM $2.4KSPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Lyft App Downloads in October
K 11.3K contractsWill Lyft App Downloads for October 2026 be above 80 ?Yes 98.5%
Will Lyft App Downloads for October 2026 be above 60 ?Yes 98.5%
Will Lyft App Downloads for October 2026 be above 85 ?Yes 97.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio?
PM $2.3KAllstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%?Yes 72.5%
Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio <86%?Yes 18%
Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 92%+?Yes 4.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will O’Hare set a new passenger record in 2026?
K 11.3K contractsWill O’Hare International Airport’s total passenger volume for 2026 be above 84,856,018 passengers?Yes 96.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?
PM $2.3KJones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will South Dakota cattle inventory rise YoY?
K 11.1K contractsWill South Dakota’s inventory of all cattle and calves for January 1, 2027 be above 3,550,000 head?Yes 27.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth?
PM $2.3KWill Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be below 0%?Yes 35%
Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be between 0.5% and 1%?Yes 33%
Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be between 0% and 0.5%?Yes 21.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Global remittances received in 2026
K 11.1K contractsWill global personal remittances received in 2026 be above $750 billion?Yes 95%
Will global personal remittances received in 2026 be above $800 billion?Yes 94.5%
Will global personal remittances received in 2026 be above $850 billion?Yes 88%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2029 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Starbucks (SBUX) Q4 global comparable store sales growth?
PM $2.3KStarbucks (SBUX) Q4 global comparable store sales growth 7% to 9%?Yes 34.5%
Starbucks (SBUX) Q4 global comparable store sales growth 5% to 7%?Yes 26%
Starbucks (SBUX) Q4 global comparable store sales growth 9% to 11%?Yes 23%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Government spending increase in 2026
K 11.1K contractsWill government spending increase by 100000000000 before 2027?Yes 97.8%
Will government spending increase by 1000000000 before 2027?Yes 97.5%
Will government spending increase by 50000000000 before 2027?Yes 97.4%
+6 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Lyft (LYFT) Q3 rides be above __?
PM $2.3KWill Lyft (LYFT) Q3 rides be above 265M?Yes 81%
Will Lyft (LYFT) Q3 rides be above 255M?Yes 76%
Will Lyft (LYFT) Q3 rides be above 275M?Yes 53%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in December
K 11.1K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.00 in December 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $3.00 in December 2026?Yes 67%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $3.75 in December 2026?Yes 50%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth?
PM $2.2KYum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth -0.5% to 0.5%?Yes 51.5%
Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth 0.5% to 1.5%?Yes 31%
Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth 1.5% to 2.5%?Yes 19.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026
K 11.0K contractsWill Training Season (Live) rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will TRALALA rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will Shararat rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 48.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Analog Devices' Q4 Industrial revenue be above __?
PM $2.2KWill Analog Devices' Q4 Industrial revenue be above $2.0B?Yes 85%
Will Analog Devices' Q4 Industrial revenue be above $2.1B?Yes 82%
Will Analog Devices' Q4 Industrial revenue be above $2.2B?Yes 30.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Apple headcount in 2026
K 11.0K contractsWill Apple Inc. report above 164000 total full-time equivalent employees in 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will Apple Inc. report above 166000 total full-time equivalent employees in 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will Apple Inc. report above 168000 total full-time equivalent employees in 2026?Yes 69%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $2.2KWill WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 52%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Indiana corn yield exceed 205 bushels per acre in 2027?
K 11.0K contractsWill Indiana’s corn for grain yield per harvested acre in 2027 be above 205 bu/acre?Yes 47.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q3 total service revenues be above __?
PM $2.2KWill T-Mobile (TMUS) Q3 total service revenues be above $19.1B?Yes 57%
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q3 total service revenues be above $19.3B?Yes 55.5%
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q3 total service revenues be above $19.2B?Yes 54%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
K 10.9K contractsTop coding AI on October 31, 2026 (Arena.ai)? (Claude)Yes 51.5%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (Arena.ai)? (ChatGPT)Yes 10%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (Arena.ai)? (Qwen)Yes 1.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $2.1KWill Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 96.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
2027 Toyota 4Runner starting MSRP
K 10.9K contracts2027 Toyota 4Runner starting MSRP above $42,000?Yes 95%
2027 Toyota 4Runner starting MSRP above $42,500?Yes 70.5%
2027 Toyota 4Runner starting MSRP above $43,000?Yes 13.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?
PM $2.1KUS imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Meta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026
K 10.8K contractsWill Meta have a higher Arena Score than OpenAI at the end of 2026?Yes 88%
Will OpenAI have a higher Arena Score than Meta at the end of 2026?Yes 11.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $2.1KWill Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 50%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC