Politics prediction markets
6,946 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 1,777-1,824 of 6,946 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
New York Governor election: Kathy Hochul vote percent
K 13.7K contractsWill Kathy Hochul receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Kathy Hochul receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?Yes 90.5%
Will Kathy Hochul receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?Yes 75%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WI-04 House Election Winner
PM $37.3KWill the Democratic Party win the WI-04 House seat?Yes 95.9%
Will the Republican Party win the WI-04 House seat?Yes 3.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
ME-02 House winner?
PM $37.2K · K 150.2K contractsWill the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for ME-2?
Related contracts
PM Yes 62.5%Rules differK Yes 62.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for ME-2?
Related contracts
PM Yes 38.5%Rules differK Yes 37.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona State Senate winner?
K 13.6K contractsWho will win the Arizona State Senate? (Democratic party)Yes 69.5%
Who will win the Arizona State Senate? (Republican party)Yes 18%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia's 3rd District margin of victory
K 13.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 3rd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 93%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 3rd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 84.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 3rd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 74%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-10 House Election Winner
PM $37.1KWill the Republican Party win the TX-10 House seat?Yes 91.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-10 House seat?Yes 7.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Surrey mayoral election winner?
K 13.6K contractsWill Doug McCallum win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?Yes 70%
Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?Yes 29%
Will Troy Van Vliet win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-19 House Election Winner
PM $37.0KWill the Republican Party win the FL-19 House seat?Yes 94.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-19 House seat?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Animated Feature
K 13.6K contractsWill Toy Story 5 be on the list of nominees for Best Animated Feature at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 89.5%
Will Wildwood be on the list of nominees for Best Animated Feature at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 86%
Will Hoppers be on the list of nominees for Best Animated Feature at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 80%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Querétaro Governor Election Winner
PM $37.0KWill Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?Yes 56%
Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?Yes 4.5%
Will Santiago Nieto Castillo win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?Yes 2.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama
K 13.6K contractsWill Noah Wyle be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 91.5%
Will Gary Oldman be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 89.5%
Will Sterling K. Brown be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2026 Midterms: House Turnout
PM $36.9KWill there be between 115m and 120m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?Yes 31%
Will there be between 110m and 115m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?Yes 22.5%
Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?Yes 12%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027?
K 13.6K contractsWill Trump end the Federal Reserve before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 1.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MO-01 House Election Winner
PM $36.9KWill the Democratic Party win the MO-01 House seat?Yes 98%
Will the Republican Party win the MO-01 House seat?Yes 1.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California State Senate District 26 election winner
K 13.6K contractsWho will win the 2026 California State Senate District 26 election? (Sara Hernandez)Yes 84%
Who will win the 2026 California State Senate District 26 election? (Sarah Rascón)Yes 14%
Who will win the 2026 California State Senate District 26 election? (Wendy Carrillo)Yes 1%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which party will win white women in the midterms?
PM $36.8KWill Democrats win white women in the midterms?Yes 74.5%
Will Republicans win white women in the midterms?Yes 26.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
When will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store?
K 13.6K contractsWill a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 17.5%
Will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 15%
Will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 6%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
PM $36.8KWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?Yes 10%
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by October 31, 2026?Yes 2.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kelowna mayoral election winner?
K 13.5K contractsWill Tom Dyas win the 2026 election for Mayor of Kelowna, British Columbia?Yes 95.5%
Will Ron Cannan win the 2026 election for Mayor of Kelowna, British Columbia?Yes 24.5%
Will Tracy Gray win the 2026 election for Mayor of Kelowna, British Columbia?Yes 0.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
KS-01 House Election Winner
PM $36.8KWill the Republican Party win the KS-01 House seat?Yes 95.7%
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-01 House seat?Yes 1.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actor in a Limited Series
K 13.5K contractsWill Oscar Isaac be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 89%
Will Christopher Abbott be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 86.5%
Will Javier Bardem be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 79.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-09 House Election Winner
PM $36.7KWill the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?Yes 83.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat?Yes 16.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Billie Eilish Streams in 2026
K 13.5K contractsWill Billie Eilish have 9500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Billie Eilish have 9250000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Billie Eilish have 9750000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 79.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in October 2026?
PM $36.7KWill there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?Yes 66%
Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026?Yes 32%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?
K 13.5K contractsWill Republicans receive above 6% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 90%
Will Republicans receive above 8% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 71.5%
Will Republicans receive above 9% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 50%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 6, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-25 House Election Winner
PM $36.6KWill the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?Yes 81.5%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?Yes 18.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona's 9th District margin of victory
K 13.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 88.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 80%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 67%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?
PM $36.6KWill Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?Yes 6.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida Governor margin of victory
K 13.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Florida be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 7.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Florida be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 3.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by...?
PM $36.5KWill Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31?Yes 10%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas State House winner?
K 13.4K contractsWho will win the Texas House of Representatives? (Republican party)Yes 81.5%
Who will win the Texas House of Representatives? (Democratic party)Yes 17.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-26 House Election Winner
PM $36.5KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-26 House seat?Yes 96%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-26 House seat?Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Oregon Senate winner?
K 13.4K contractsWill Democratics win the Senate race in Oregon?Yes 98.5%
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Oregon?Yes 1.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MA-07 House Election Winner
PM $36.5KWill the Democratic Party win the MA-07 House seat?Yes 98.1%
Will the Republican Party win the MA-07 House seat?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will the PROMISE Act pass the Senate?
K 13.4K contractsWill legislation that requires the Social Security Advisory Board to develop legislative recommendations to achieve at least 50 years of Social Security Trust Fund solvency and establishes expedited congressional procedures for consideration of those recommendations passed the Senate before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 7%
Will legislation that requires the Social Security Advisory Board to develop legislative recommendations to achieve at least 50 years of Social Security Trust Fund solvency and establishes expedited congressional procedures for consideration of those recommendations passed the Senate before Nov 21, 2026?Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-02 House Election Winner
PM $36.4KWill the Democratic Party win the IL-02 House seat?Yes 95.9%
Will the Republican Party win the IL-02 House seat?Yes 1.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
K 13.3K contractsWill Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Yes 95.5%
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Yes 95.5%
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Yes 90%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IN-09 House Election Winner
PM $36.4KWill the Republican Party win the IN-09 House seat?Yes 96.4%
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-09 House seat?Yes 2.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Malaysian general election winner?
K 13.3K contractsWho will win the next Malaysian general election? (BN-anchored coalition)Yes 39.5%
Who will win the next Malaysian general election? (PH-anchored coalition)Yes 37%
Who will win the next Malaysian general election? (PN-anchored coalition)Yes 22%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 29, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Trujillo Mayoral Election Winner
PM $36.3KWill Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?Yes 96.4%
Will Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?Yes 2.7%
Will Víctor Julio León Álvarez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?Yes 0.4%
+13 more
KalshiPolitics
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?
K 13.2K contractsWhat states will redistrict before the 2028 Congressional elections? (New York)Yes 74.5%
What states will redistrict before the 2028 Congressional elections? (Illinois)Yes 74.5%
What states will redistrict before the 2028 Congressional elections? (Indiana)Yes 65%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Illinois Senate winner?
PM $36.3K · K 20.2K contractsWill the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Illinois?
Related contracts
PM Yes 98.5%Rules differK Yes 98.8%
Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Illinois?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.1%Rules differK Yes 1.4%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will a federal film or TV production tax credit become law?
K 13.2K contractsWill a federal film or TV production tax credit become law before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 45%
Will a federal film or TV production tax credit become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 38%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MN-07 House Election Winner
PM $36.3KWill the Republican Party win the MN-07 House seat?Yes 96.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-07 House seat?Yes 2.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
NY-19 House winner?
PM $36.0K · K 11.8K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the NY-19 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for NY-19?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.3%Rules differK Yes 96.2%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-19 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for NY-19?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.8%Rules differK Yes 3.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Prince George mayoral election winner?
K 13.2K contractsWill Garth Frizzell win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election?Yes 97.5%
Will Kyle Sampson win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election?Yes 12%
Will Marc Carrier win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election?Yes 7.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 17, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
K 13.2K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States and Mexico reach, as an outcome of the 2026 USMCA review negotiations, a written interim or framework agreement establishing at least one material new or revised commitment concerning the operation, implementation, or revision of USMCA, where the agreement is not limited to withdrawing, suspending, or avoiding unilateral tariffs or retaliatory measures before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 36.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States and Canada reach, as an outcome of the 2026 USMCA review negotiations, a written interim or framework agreement establishing at least one material new or revised commitment concerning the operation, implementation, or revision of USMCA, where the agreement is not limited to withdrawing, suspending, or avoiding unilateral tariffs or retaliatory measures before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 28%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States, Mexico, and Canada jointly announce, as an outcome of the 2026 USMCA review negotiations, an agreement in principle establishing at least one material new or revised commitment concerning the operation, implementation, or revision of USMCA while preserving it as a trilateral agreement, where the agreement is not limited to withdrawing, suspending, or avoiding unilateral tariffs or retaliatory measures before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 25.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Regional Board Chair of Västra Götaland?
PM $35.9KWill My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?Yes 89.8%
Will Lars Holmin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?Yes 2.4%
Will Helen Eliasson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?Yes 0.1%
+6 more