Politics prediction markets
6,953 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 2,257-2,304 of 6,953 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Montana's 1st District margin of victory
K 9.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 57%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 40.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 24%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff Election Winner
PM $24.6KWill Robert Luna win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?Yes 96.9%
Will Alex Villanueva win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-27 House winner?
K 9.2K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TX-27?Yes 95.3%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-27?Yes 4.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AR-04 House Election Winner
PM $24.6KWill the Republican Party win the AR-04 House seat?Yes 96.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-04 House seat?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Johnson County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent
K 9.2K contractsWill Josh Turek receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Johnson County, Iowa?Yes 95%
Will Josh Turek receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Johnson County, Iowa?Yes 88%
Will Josh Turek receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Johnson County, Iowa?Yes 66%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Miaoli County Magistrate Election Winner
PM $24.5KWill Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?Yes 95.5%
Will Chen Pin-an win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Obamacare be repealed?
K 9.2K contractsWill Obamacare be repealed before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $24.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 18.1%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 18%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
CA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $24.5K · K 6.5K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the CA-09 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for CA-9?
Related contracts
PM Yes 97.4%Rules differK Yes 95%
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-09 House election?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for CA-9?
Related contracts
PM Yes 35%Rules differK Yes 3.8%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-09 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for CA-9?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 3.8%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 334?
K 9.2K contractsWill Donald Trump attend UFC 334?Yes 29.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?
K 9.2K contractsWill it be reported that Joe Biden Using Ambien before debates?Yes 6.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MD-07 House Election Winner
PM $24.5KWill the Democratic Party win the MD-07 House seat?Yes 96.4%
Will the Republican Party win the MD-07 House seat?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
GTA VI · In-game radio artist(s) at launch
K 9.1K contractsWill Tate McRae perform as an in-game radio artist at launch in GTA VI?Yes 94%
Will Charli xcx perform as an in-game radio artist at launch in GTA VI?Yes 93%
Will Cardi B perform as an in-game radio artist at launch in GTA VI?Yes 85%
+24 moreNext deadline Nov 26, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $24.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election?Yes 16.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Missouri's 5th District margin of victory
K 9.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 3%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $24.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 12.2%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AR-03 House winner?
K 9.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for AR-03?Yes 96.1%
Will Democratic win the House race for AR-03?Yes 3.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?
PM $24.4KHouse favorite on November 2 wins the election?Yes 89%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump pull CBP from a sanctuary city airport?
K 9.1K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the federal government withdraws CBP officers from a U.S. international airport in response to sanctuary-jurisdiction noncooperation before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?
PM $24.4KWill Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 39.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 28.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 20.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?
K 9.1K contractsWhat cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2029?Yes 7.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MD-05 House Election Winner
PM $24.4KWill the Democratic Party win the MD-05 House seat?Yes 96.5%
Will the Republican Party win the MD-05 House seat?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will SCOTUS let USPS enforce ballot-mail rules?
K 9.0K contractsWill SCOTUS let USPS enforce ballot-mail rules?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Iran target Kuwait by...?
PM $24.4KWill Iran target Kuwait by October 31, 2026?Yes 16%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
VA-09 House winner?
K 9.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for VA-09?Yes 96.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for VA-09?Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Markham, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $24.4KWill Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?Yes 97%
Will Martin Ross win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?Yes 0.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Mexico's 2nd District margin of victory
K 9.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 87.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 78%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 68.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
UT-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $24.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 25.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election by 5%-15%?Yes 23.1%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 22.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Kimberly Greenwood be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Barbados?
K 9.0K contractsWill Kimberly Greenwood be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Barbados before Jun 1, 2027?Yes 56.5%
Will Kimberly Greenwood be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Barbados before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 28.5%
Will Kimberly Greenwood be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Barbados before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MD-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $24.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 80%-85%?Yes 31%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 85%-90%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 75%-80%?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
IN-01 House winner?
PM $24.3K · K 31.5K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Democrat win the House race for IN-1?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.6%Rules differK Yes 97%
Will the Republican Party win the IN-01 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for IN-1?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.9%Rules differK Yes 1.8%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
K 9.0K contractsWill John Malkovich be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 90.5%
Will Tom Cruise be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 82.5%
Will Seth Rogen be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 82.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
PA-11 House winner?
K 9.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for PA-11?Yes 96.2%
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-11?Yes 3.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Mississauga Mayoral Election Winner
PM $24.3KWill Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Yes 42%
Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Yes 36.5%
Will Alvin Tedjo win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Yes 19.6%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Maryland Governor winner?
PM $24.3K · K 67.6K contractsWill the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Maryland
Related contracts
PM Yes 97.6%Rules differK Yes 97.4%
Will the Republicans win the Maryland governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Maryland
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.1%Rules differK Yes 2.6%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will France declare a state of emergency?
K 9.0K contractsWill France declare a state of emergency before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 29.5%
Will France declare a state of emergency before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 13%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NC-06 House winner?
K 9.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for NC-06?Yes 89.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-06?Yes 10%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $24.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 9%-12%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 12%-15%?Yes 25.1%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 6%-9%?Yes 21.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-30 House election: Frederick Haynes vote percent
K 8.9K contractsWill Frederick Haynes receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-30 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Frederick Haynes receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-30 House election?Yes 84%
Will Frederick Haynes receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-30 House election?Yes 75%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
LA Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory?
PM $24.1KWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?Yes 21%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?Yes 16%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 8%-12%?Yes 15.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 10th District margin of victory
K 8.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 10th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?Yes 97.4%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 10th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 95.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 10th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 95.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-05 House Election Winner
PM $24.1KWill the Republican Party win the CA-05 House seat?Yes 93%
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-05 House seat?Yes 6.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania's 8th District margin of victory
K 8.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 22%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 13.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 5.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NZ Election: National Party # of seats?
PM $24.0KWill the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 33.5%
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 33.5%
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 31.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ohio's 9th District margin of victory
K 8.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 9th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 68.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 9th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 64.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 9th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 56.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-01 House Election Winner
PM $24.0KWill the Republican Party win the MI-01 House seat?Yes 87.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-01 House seat?Yes 10.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona's 6th District margin of victory
K 8.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 6th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 80%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 6th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 62%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 6th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 43%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-06 House Election Winner
PM $24.0KWill the Democratic Party win the GA-06 House seat?Yes 96%
Will the Republican Party win the GA-06 House seat?Yes 3.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC