Politics prediction markets
6,972 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 2,689-2,736 of 6,972 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
CO-01 House election: Shimon Blau vote percent
K 6.8K contractsWill Shimon Blau receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 94%
Will Shimon Blau receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 64.5%
Will Shimon Blau receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 40.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Massachusetts Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 30%-35%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 22%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 35%-40%?Yes 21%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Major news story in Oct 2026?
K 6.8K contractsWill the number of full-width New York Times front page headlines be at least 1 in Oct 2026?Yes 13%
Will the number of full-width New York Times front page headlines be at least 2 in Oct 2026?Yes 5.5%
Will the number of full-width New York Times front page headlines be at least 3 in Oct 2026?Yes 3%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 30, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-12 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 30%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-12 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 20.2%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-12 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 9.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
RI-02 House election: Seth Magaziner vote percent
K 6.8K contractsWill Seth Magaziner receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 RI-02 House election?Yes 98%
Will Seth Magaziner receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 RI-02 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Seth Magaziner receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 RI-02 House election?Yes 97%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
PM $18.5KWill Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Yes 23%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NJ-04 House election: Chris Smith vote percent
K 6.8K contractsWill Chris Smith receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-04 House election?Yes 96%
Will Chris Smith receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-04 House election?Yes 94%
Will Chris Smith receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-04 House election?Yes 84.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?
PM $18.5KWill the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?Yes 84.5%
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 12, 2026?Yes 70%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Harris County Judge winner?
K 6.7K contractsWho will win the 2026 Harris County Judge general election? (Letitia Plummer)Yes 90.5%
Who will win the 2026 Harris County Judge general election? (Orlando Sanchez)Yes 9.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 35.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 19.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 8.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OH-05 House winner?
K 6.7K contractsWill Republican win the House race for OH-05?Yes 94.9%
Will Democratic win the House race for OH-05?Yes 4.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?
PM $18.5KWill Democrats win exactly 12 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 23%
Will Democrats win exactly 13 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 22.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 19%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Tennessee's 5th District margin of victory
K 6.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 4.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CNN flies with Trump by..?
PM $18.5KWill CNN fly with Trump by October 31?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
UT-04 House election: Steven Burt vote percent
K 6.7K contractsWill Steven Burt receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will Steven Burt receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?Yes 70%
Will Steven Burt receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?Yes 43.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-21 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 36%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 16.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
New York Attorney General winner?
PM $18.4K · K 535.2K contractsWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in New York?
Related contracts
PM Yes 89.1%Rules differK Yes 90.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in New York?
Related contracts
PM Yes 11.1%Rules differK Yes 9.3%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Ottawa's Trump Avenue be renamed?
K 6.7K contractsWill it be reported by CBC, CTV, Global News, The Globe and Mail, Ottawa Citizen, or Ottawa Sun that Trump Avenue in Ottawa, Canada has been officially renamed before Sep 1, 2027?Yes 24.5%
Will it be reported by CBC, CTV, Global News, The Globe and Mail, Ottawa Citizen, or Ottawa Sun that Trump Avenue in Ottawa, Canada has been officially renamed before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 9%
Will it be reported by CBC, CTV, Global News, The Globe and Mail, Ottawa Citizen, or Ottawa Sun that Trump Avenue in Ottawa, Canada has been officially renamed before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Greek general election winner?
K 6.7K contractsWho will win the next Greek general election? (New Democracy)Yes 91.5%
Who will win the next Greek general election? (PASOK-KINAL)Yes 6.8%
Who will win the next Greek general election? (SYRIZA)Yes 3.9%
3 mktsNext deadline Jul 30, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TN-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump or the U.S. government sue Jerome Powell in 2026?
K 6.7K contractsWill Donald Trump or the U.S. government sue Jerome Powell before 2027?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-01 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-01 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 23%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
AZ-02 House winner?
PM $18.4K · K 84.7K contractsWill the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for AZ-2?
Related contracts
PM Yes 74%Rules differK Yes 76.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-2?
Related contracts
PM Yes 26%Rules differK Yes 25.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-33 House winner?
K 6.7K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CA-33?Yes 96.8%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-33?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Illinois Governor winner?
PM $18.4K · K 220.4K contractsWill the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Illinois
Related contracts
PM Yes 97.5%Rules differK Yes 95.8%
Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Illinois
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.2%Rules differK Yes 4%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will DOJ formally investigate Watergate prosecutorial misconduct in 2026?
K 6.7K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Department of Justice opens a formal investigation into alleged professional misconduct by Watergate prosecutors before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Hawaii Senate winner? (2028)
K 6.7K contractsWill Democratics win the Senate race in Hawaii?Yes 88.3%
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Hawaii?Yes 11.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
LA-04 House Election Winner
PM $18.3KWill the Republican Party win the LA-04 House seat?Yes 94.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-04 House seat?Yes 5.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
VA-08 House election: Tony Sabio vote percent
K 6.7K contractsWill Tony Sabio receive at least 12% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Tony Sabio receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Tony Sabio receive at least 8% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Yes 96.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-08 House Election Winner
PM $18.3KWill the Republican Party win the OH-08 House seat?Yes 93.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-08 House seat?Yes 6.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nevada Governor election: Aaron Ford vote percent
K 6.7K contractsWill Aaron Ford receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Aaron Ford receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Aaron Ford receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election?Yes 94%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $18.3KWill Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?Yes 40.5%
Will Yakubu Adamu win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?Yes 20.5%
Will Umar Shehu Buba win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?Yes 5.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-15 House election: Bobby Pulido vote percent
K 6.7K contractsWill Bobby Pulido receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-15 House election?Yes 97%
Will Bobby Pulido receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-15 House election?Yes 97%
Will Bobby Pulido receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-15 House election?Yes 96.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-27 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 14%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MT-02 House winner?
K 6.7K contractsWill Republican win the House race for MT-02?Yes 97.2%
Will Democratic win the House race for MT-02?Yes 0.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-13 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-13 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-13 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-13 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 14.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Honolulu Charter Question 4 pass?
K 6.7K contractsWill Honolulu Charter Question 4 pass?Yes 77%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...?
PM $18.2KAnthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? Yes 4.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Vermont Senate winner? (2028)
K 6.7K contractsWill Democratics win the Senate race in Vermont?Yes 94.1%
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Vermont?Yes 5.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-01 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 14.2%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-01 House election by 12% or more?Yes 13.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats win in Tennessee?
K 6.7K contractsWill Democrats win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Tennessee?Yes 83.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 1 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Tennessee?Yes 14%
Will Democrats win exactly 2 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Tennessee?Yes 3%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner
PM $18.2KWill John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election?Yes 37%
Will Bill Harvey win the next Hobart mayoral election?Yes 12.1%
Will Marti Zucco win the next Hobart mayoral election?Yes 11.3%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Colorado Senate margin of victory
K 6.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Colorado be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 96.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Colorado be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 95.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Colorado be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 94.9%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Barrie, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $18.2KWill Alex Nuttall win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election?Yes 93.5%
Will Tanya Saari win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election?Yes 3.5%
Will Russell Tighe win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election?Yes 0.3%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nanaimo mayoral election winner?
K 6.7K contractsWill Leonard Krog win the 2026 Nanaimo mayoral election?Yes 56%
Will Sarah Lovegrove win the 2026 Nanaimo mayoral election?Yes 11.5%
Will Anne Marie Dryden win the 2026 Nanaimo mayoral election?Yes 7.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 34.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 31.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 16%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Roy Cooper outperform the polls?
K 6.6K contractsWill Roy Cooper outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina?Yes 43.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AR-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 26.1%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 16.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC