Politics prediction markets
6,975 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
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Showing 3,121-3,168 of 6,975 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election?
K 5.1K contractsWill it be reported by The Times of Israel that Avigdor Lieberman is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?Yes 21.5%
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that Naftali Bennett is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?Yes 20.5%
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that Israel Katz is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?Yes 20.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-36 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 16.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 13th District margin of victory
K 5.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 13th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 20%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 13th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 11.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-35 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 24.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 22%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 17.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 7th District margin of victory
K 5.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 7th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 27%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 7th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 15%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 7th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 6%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 20%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MN-05 House election: Ilhan Omar vote percent
K 5.1K contractsWill Ilhan Omar receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-05 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Ilhan Omar receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-05 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Ilhan Omar receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-05 House election?Yes 83.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 37.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 16.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois's 2nd District margin of victory
K 5.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House election be at least 28 percentage points?Yes 95.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House election be at least 31 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House election be at least 34 percentage points?Yes 74.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-19 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 14%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida State Senate winner?
K 5.1K contractsWho will win the Florida Senate? (Republican party)Yes 97.5%
Who will win the Florida Senate? (Democratic party)Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Iran releases Trump Hormuz voicemail by...?
PM $14.7KWill Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?Yes 3.7%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Hampshire Governor election: Kelly Ayotte vote percent
K 5.0K contractsWill Kelly Ayotte receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Kelly Ayotte receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election?Yes 96%
Will Kelly Ayotte receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election?Yes 91%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
West Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 30%-35%?Yes 31%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 35%-40%?Yes 15%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MT-02 House election: Brian Miller vote percent
K 5.0K contractsWill Brian Miller receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-02 House election?Yes 83.5%
Will Brian Miller receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-02 House election?Yes 69.5%
Will Brian Miller receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-02 House election?Yes 49.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-14 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 28.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 24%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 23%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Montana's 1st District margin of victory
K 5.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Montana's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 30%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Montana's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 21%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Montana's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 5.2%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 27%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Jon Ossoff outperform the polls?
K 5.0K contractsWill Jon Ossoff outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia?Yes 60.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MS-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 27.2%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 20.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nebraska Attorney General winner?
K 5.0K contractsWill the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Nebraska?Yes 92.3%
Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Nebraska?Yes 7.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 21%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in Oklahoma?
K 5.0K contractsWill State Question 847 pass?Yes 49.5%
Will State Question 845 pass?Yes 49.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Mayor of Plzeň
PM $14.6KWill Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?Yes 97.8%
Will Lukáš Hegner be the next Mayor of Plzeň?Yes 1.4%
Will Tomáš Morávek be the next Mayor of Plzeň?Yes 1.3%
+4 more
KalshiPolitics
MA-04 House election: Tom Stalcup vote percent
K 5.0K contractsWill Tom Stalcup receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-04 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Tom Stalcup receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-04 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Tom Stalcup receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-04 House election?Yes 81%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WI-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 25.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 18.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-36 House winner?
K 5.0K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CA-36?Yes 97.6%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-36?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
KY-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-05 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-05 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 19.2%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-05 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 15.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alaska Senate election: Mary Peltola vote percent (1st Round)
K 5.0K contractsWill Mary Peltola receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?Yes 96.5%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?Yes 92%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?Yes 78%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which Dems will underperform Kamala?
PM $14.6KWill Tina Kotek underperform Kamala in Oregon?Yes 93%
Will Troy Jackson underperform Kamala in Maine?Yes 79%
Will Peggy Flanagan underperform Kamala in Minnesota?Yes 67%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Missouri's 6th District margin of victory
K 5.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 6th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 97.4%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 6th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 96.6%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 6th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 95.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WI-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 27.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 21.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India?
K 5.0K contractsWill Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 25%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-24 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency?
K 5.0K contractsWill Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency?Yes 25.5%
Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 14.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AZ-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 16.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 14.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in North Dakota?
K 5.0K contractsWill Constitutional Measure 2 pass?Yes 57.5%
Will Constitutional Measure 1 pass?Yes 16.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 13%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OR-05 House election: Patti Adair vote percent
K 5.0K contractsWill Patti Adair receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 OR-05 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Patti Adair receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 OR-05 House election?Yes 87.5%
Will Patti Adair receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 OR-05 House election?Yes 75.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 21% or more?Yes 43%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 18%-21%?Yes 16.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 15%-18%?Yes 14.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Nancy Mace resign before the midterms?
K 4.9K contractsWill Nancy Mace resign before the midterms?Yes 4.1%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CO-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 36.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 33%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 17.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Connecticut Governor margin of victory
K 4.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Connecticut be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 94%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Connecticut be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 86.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Connecticut be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 74.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
PM $14.4KWill Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?Yes 97.7%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Meta family daily active people in 2026
K 4.9K contractsWill Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 3.66 billion family daily active people in 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 3.68 billion family daily active people in 2026?Yes 79.5%
Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 3.7 billion family daily active people in 2026?Yes 71.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Regional Board Chair of Uppsala?
PM $14.4KWill Helena Proos be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?Yes 96.8%
Will Emilie Orring be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?Yes 2.3%
Will Christer Olsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?Yes 0.8%
+9 more
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania Governor election: Josh Shapiro vote percent
K 4.9K contractsWill Josh Shapiro receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Yes 98%
Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-20 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 22.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC