Politics prediction markets
6,975 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 3,169-3,216 of 6,975 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Victorian state election winner?
K 4.9K contractsWill Liberals and Nationals win the 2026 Victorian state election?Yes 71%
Will Australian Labor Party win the 2026 Victorian state election?Yes 15.5%
Will One Nation win the 2026 Victorian state election?Yes 11.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-37 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 20.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Mexico Senate margin of victory
K 4.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 95.2%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 92.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 87.8%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in New Jersey?
PM $14.4KWill Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 71%
Will Democrats win 11 or more House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 17.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 5.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Connecticut's 3rd District margin of victory
K 4.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 3rd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 91.2%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 3rd District House election be at least 17 percentage points?Yes 89.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 3rd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?Yes 79.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kebbi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $14.4KWill Nasir Idris win the 2027 Kebbi State gubernatorial election?Yes 86.5%
Will Abubakar Malami win the 2027 Kebbi State gubernatorial election?Yes 10%
2 mktsNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-22 House winner?
K 4.9K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TX-22?Yes 94.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-22?Yes 4.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 33.9%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 26%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kamloops mayoral election winner?
K 4.9K contractsWill Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Yes 61%
Will Nelly Dever win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Yes 42%
Will Ray Dhaliwal win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Yes 41.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
West Virginia Senate Election: Turnout
PM $14.3KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 450,000 and 500,000?Yes 39.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 500,000 and 550,000?Yes 26%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 400,000 and 450,000?Yes 10.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actress in a Drama Series
K 4.9K contractsWill Keri Russell be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 80.5%
Will Emmy Rossum be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 68%
Will Zendaya be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 60.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 30.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 25.7%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 11%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-22 House election: David Valadao vote percent
K 4.9K contractsWill David Valadao receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-22 House election?Yes 96%
Will David Valadao receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-22 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will David Valadao receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-22 House election?Yes 78.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-26 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 29%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-41 House election: Linda Sánchez vote percent
K 4.9K contractsWill Linda Sánchez receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-41 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Linda Sánchez receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-41 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Linda Sánchez receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-41 House election?Yes 84.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
PM $14.3KIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes 94.8%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-03 House election: Ami Bera vote percent
K 4.9K contractsWill Ami Bera receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-03 House election?Yes 98%
Will Ami Bera receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-03 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Ami Bera receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-03 House election?Yes 94.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?
PM $14.3KWill Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
PM $14.3K · K 47.3K contractsWill Andrey Gyurov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Kalshi: Will Andrey Gyurov finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 95%Rules differK Yes 94%
Will Andrey Gyurov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Kalshi: Will Andrey Gyurov finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3%Rules differK Yes 94%
Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Kalshi: Will Kostadin Kostadinov finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 88%Rules differK Yes 2%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats win in Florida?
K 4.9K contractsWill Democrats win 7 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Florida?Yes 16.5%
Will Democrats win more than 10 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Florida?Yes 15.5%
Will Democrats win 8 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Florida?Yes 12.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the U.S. commit $15 billion to Sunnyside Yard?
K 4.9K contractsWill the U.S. federal government announce commitments totaling at least $15 billion in federal financial assistance toward construction of the Sunnyside Yard deck in New York City before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 22%
Will the U.S. federal government announce commitments totaling at least $15 billion in federal financial assistance toward construction of the Sunnyside Yard deck in New York City before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 9.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
RI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 29%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 13.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan State House winner?
K 4.9K contractsWho will win the Michigan State House? (Democratic party)Yes 74.5%
Who will win the Michigan State House? (Republican party)Yes 17%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-15 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-15 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-15 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 26%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-15 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 24.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OH-03 House winner?
K 4.9K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for OH-03?Yes 97.6%
Will Republican win the House race for OH-03?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 23.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 21%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 21%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania State House winner?
K 4.9K contractsWho will win the Pennsylvania State House election? (Democratic party)Yes 92.5%
Who will win the Pennsylvania State House election? (Republican party)Yes 7.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Senate Three-Way Combo: Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire
PM $14.2KWill Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?Yes 66.5%
Will Republicans win the Michigan Senate seat, and Democrats win Minnesota and New Hampshire?Yes 21.3%
Will Democrats win the Michigan and New Hampshire Senate seats, and Republicans win Minnesota?Yes 6.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AR-04 House winner?
K 4.9K contractsWill Republican win the House race for AR-04?Yes 97.9%
Will Democratic win the House race for AR-04?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Epstein storage units raided in 2026?
PM $14.2KEpstein storage units raided in 2026?Yes 4.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump talk to a sitting Supreme Court justice?
K 4.9K contractsWill Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) any sitting Supreme Court justice before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 75%
Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) any sitting Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 56.5%
Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) any sitting Supreme Court justice before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 48%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 33%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 27.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 20.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alabama Governor election: Doug Jones vote percent
K 4.9K contractsWill Doug Jones receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Doug Jones receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Doug Jones receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election?Yes 95.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by...?
PM $14.1KSaudi troops enter Marib Governorate by December 31, 2026?Yes 15%
Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by October 31, 2026?Yes 1.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Chile rate decision in October
PM $14.1K · K 31.4K contractsWill the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Chile maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.4%Rules differK Yes 96.5%
Will the Central Bank of Chile increase the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Chile hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.1%Rules differK Yes 1%
Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Chile cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.8%Rules differK Yes 1.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Rhode Island 02 House General Election: voter turnout
K 4.8K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island 02 House General Election be above 191000?Yes 73.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island 02 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 61%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island 02 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 47%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MO-05 House election: Emanuel Cleaver vote percent
K 4.8K contractsWill Emanuel Cleaver receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-05 House election?Yes 98%
Will Emanuel Cleaver receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-05 House election?Yes 97%
Will Emanuel Cleaver receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-05 House election?Yes 97%
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?
PM $14.1KWill Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 43%
Will J.D. Vance be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 39.5%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 20.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida Governor election: David Jolly vote percent
K 4.8K contractsWill David Jolly receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will David Jolly receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will David Jolly receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actress in a Comedy Series
K 4.8K contractsWill Jean Smart be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 94.5%
Will Elle Fanning be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 73%
Will Quinta Brunson be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 71.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
DE-AL House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 25%-30%?Yes 52%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 20%-25%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 30%-35%?Yes 18.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MT-02 House election: Troy Downing vote percent
K 4.8K contractsWill Troy Downing receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-02 House election?Yes 82.5%
Will Troy Downing receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-02 House election?Yes 65.5%
Will Troy Downing receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-02 House election?Yes 46.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
ID-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 37.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 21.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
VA-03 House election: Bobby Scott vote percent
K 4.8K contractsWill Bobby Scott receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-03 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Bobby Scott receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-03 House election?Yes 96%
Will Bobby Scott receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-03 House election?Yes 94%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WI-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 15.3%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas's 15th District margin of victory
K 4.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 9.4%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 7.4%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 4%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?
PM $14.0KWill Josh Shapiro be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 34.8%
Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 17.2%
Will Pete Buttigieg be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 16.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC