Tech prediction markets
1,156 tech market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 289-336 of 1,156 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
Meta headcount in 2026
K 49.3K contractsWill Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 65000 Headcount in 2026?Yes 91%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 68000 Headcount in 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 71000 Headcount in 2026?Yes 64%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?
PM $43.7KWill Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Yes 80.7%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Yes 1.8%
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Yes 0.6%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?
K 48.8K contractsWill Yisrael Beiteinu be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 62.5%
Will Together be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 60.5%
Will Religious Zionist Party be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 55.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?
PM $42.4KUS Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Yes 14.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
K 48.3K contractsWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2040)Yes 61.5%
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2035)Yes 51.3%
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2030)Yes 37.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?
PM $41.2KWill OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 89.5%
Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 4.3%
Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 1%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Merriam-Webster Word of the Year 2026?
K 48.2K contractsWill larping be in the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026?Yes 13.5%
Will Brainrot be in the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026?Yes 11.5%
Will Looksmaxxing be in the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026?Yes 4%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
PM $40.9KAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Yes 5.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
K 47.8K contractsWill Apple release a Mac with cellular connectivity before 2027?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
PM $40.4KWill Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 52.9%
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 32.5%
Will Meta be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 5.6%
+15 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
South Carolina ports total container volume in 2026
K 47.6K contractsWill South Carolina total container volume for 2026 be above 2.2 million TEUs?Yes 93.5%
Will South Carolina total container volume for 2026 be above 2.3 million TEUs?Yes 87.5%
Will South Carolina total container volume for 2026 be above 2.4 million TEUs?Yes 36.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Top 5 Most Searched People on Google 2026
PM $40.0KWill Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Yes 73%
Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Yes 37%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th
K 47.3K contractsTop Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Xiaomi)Yes 76%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Alibaba)Yes 12%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Moonshot)Yes 3%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
PM $39.4KWill Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes 34%
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes 33.5%
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes 19%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?
K 47.3K contractsWill Tina Kotek underperform Kamala Harris in Oregon?Yes 95%
Will Troy Jackson underperform Kamala Harris in Maine?Yes 84%
Will Kathy Hochul underperform Kamala Harris in New York?Yes 45%
+6 moreNext deadline Apr 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Claude 6 released by...?
PM $38.6KClaude 6 released by December 31, 2027?Yes 92.5%
Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?Yes 72.5%
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?Yes 41.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Who will be the three wealthiest people in the world?
K 46.9K contractsWill Jeff Bezos be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?Yes 90.5%
Will Larry Page be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?Yes 85%
Will Elon Musk be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?Yes 82.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)
PM $38.6KWill Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 46%
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 24.5%
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 19.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
K 46.9K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 38.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2033?Yes 31%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2031?Yes 27%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)
PM $38.2KWill Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 33.5%
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 21.3%
Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 19.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: Hits + Runs + RBIs
K 46.6K contractsChandler Simpson: 1+ hits + runs + RBIs?Yes 71.5%
Yandy Díaz: 1+ hits + runs + RBIs?Yes 69%
Steven Kwan: 1+ hits + runs + RBIs?Yes 67.5%
+75 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?
PM $38.0KNext Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
United Airlines passengers flown in 2026
K 44.9K contractsWill United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 180 million passengers flown in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 178 million passengers flown in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 182 million passengers flown in 2026?Yes 95.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
PM $37.7KWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026?Yes 33.5%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes 25.5%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes 24.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Adapted Screenplay
K 44.1K contracts2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 92%
2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations? (Project Hail Mary)Yes 77%
2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations? (The Black Ball)Yes 73.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?
PM $37.6KWill Polymarket mindshare hit 65% by December 31?Yes 90%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70% by December 31?Yes 73%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?Yes 47%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1 (Longest 2026 Streak)
K 43.4K contractsHow many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1? (More than 2 weeks)Yes 3%
How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1? (More than 3 weeks)Yes 2.5%
How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1? (More than 7 weeks)Yes 2%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 30, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)
PM $35.9KWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 50%
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 31.5%
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 11.2%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Heisman Trophy Finalists
K 43.3K contractsWill Jeremiah Smith be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Yes 87%
Will Trinidad Chambliss be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Yes 56%
Will CJ Carr be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Yes 50.5%
+29 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Best AI model on October 19?
PM $34.8KWill gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?Yes 98.6%
Will any other model be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?Yes 1%
Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?Yes <0.1%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Maine lobster landings in 2026
K 43.1K contractsWill Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 55 million pounds?Yes 97.5%
Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 60 million pounds?Yes 96.5%
Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 65 million pounds?Yes 83.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?
PM $34.4KWill the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?Yes 91.8%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?Yes 73%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?Yes 67%
+2 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
NASCAR Freeway Insurance 500: Top 10 Finishers
K 43.0K contractsCup Series: Ryan Blaney to finish in the top 10Yes 79%
Cup Series: Christopher Bell to finish in the top 10Yes 73%
Cup Series: Denny Hamlin to finish in the top 10Yes 71.5%
+34 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?
PM $33.8KWill the Ornn H200 Index be at least $7.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes 25.9%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes 19%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes 18.1%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in July 2027
K 42.9K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $3.00 in July 2027?Yes 65.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $3.50 in July 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.50 in July 2027?Yes 50.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Aug 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
PM $33.7KWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?Yes 77.5%
Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?Yes 60%
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?Yes 58%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Olivia Rodrigo: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 42.8K contractsWill Olivia Rodrigo have above 4M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Olivia Rodrigo have above 4.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98%
Will Olivia Rodrigo have above 5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 97%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
PM $32.5KWill Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in January 2027
K 42.7K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $1.50 in January 2027?Yes 94%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.50 in January 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.00 in January 2027?Yes 50.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?
PM $32.1KWill Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Yes 4%
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Yes 1.4%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Who will acquire Pinterest this year?
PM $32.0K · K 259.3K contractsWill OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
Kalshi: Will OpenAI announce acquisition of Pinterest before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.1%Rules differK Yes 3.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
K 42.7K contractsAbove 14000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026Yes 99.5%
Above 4000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026Yes 98.5%
Above 18000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026Yes 98.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Where will it rain on Oct 19, 2026?
K 42.4K contractsWill it rain in Miami on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 45%
Will it rain in West Palm Beach on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 41%
Will it rain in Albuquerque on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 32.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?
PM $31.4KWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 57.8%
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 26.5%
Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 7.3%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
K 42.2K contractsWill SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida this year?Yes 25%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?
PM $30.9KWill OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 58%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 21%
Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 3.7%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Who will be the world's second trillionaire?
K 42.1K contractsWill Jeff Bezos be the world's second trillionaire?Yes 21%
Will Mark Zuckerberg be the world's second trillionaire?Yes 18.5%
Will Jensen Huang be the world's second trillionaire?Yes 9.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2033 UTC
PolymarketTech
Kimi K4 released by…?
PM $30.6KKimi K4 released by March 31, 2027?Yes 26.1%
Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?Yes 7.5%
Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026?Yes 1.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC