Climate prediction markets
597 climate market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 337-384 of 597 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in San Antonio on Oct 19, 2026?
K 712.24 contractsWill the maximum temperature be 77-78° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 43.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 75-76° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 24.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 79-80° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 18.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?
PM $3.2KWill the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?Yes 23.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 19, 2026?
K 705.51 contractsWill the maximum temperature be 88-89° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 43.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 86-87° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 37.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 90-91° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 13.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Qingdao on October 20?
PM $3.1KWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 20?Yes 31%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 20?Yes 29.5%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 20?Yes 16.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 19, 2026?
K 659.73 contractsWill the maximum temperature be 63-64° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 47.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 65-66° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 32.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 61-62° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 11.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Toronto on October 20?
PM $3.0KWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 20?Yes 46%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 20?Yes 28%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 20?Yes 11.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in New Orleans on Oct 19, 2026?
K 638.78 contractsWill the maximum temperature be 74-75° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 63%
Will the maximum temperature be 76-77° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 19.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 72-73° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 17.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on October 18?
PM $3.0KWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
1 mkt
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 19, 2026?
K 624.2 contractsWill the minimum temperature be 43-44° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 45%
Will the minimum temperature be >44° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 39-40° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 8.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 20?
PM $3.0KWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 20?Yes 44.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 20?Yes 41%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 20?Yes 7%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Snow in Detroit in Dec 2026?
K 608.67 contractsSnow in Detroit in Dec 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 55.5%
Snow in Detroit in Dec 2026? (Above 8 inches)Yes 51%
Snow in Detroit in Dec 2026? (Above 10 inches)Yes 50%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on October 20?
PM $2.9KWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 20?Yes 55.5%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 20?Yes 31.5%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 20?Yes 7%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Newark on Oct 19, 2026?
K 606.64 contractsWill the maximum temperature be 64-65° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 41%
Will the maximum temperature be 62-63° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 6.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on October 18?
PM $2.9KWill the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 2°C on October 18?Yes 95.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -1°C on October 18?Yes 8.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 1°C on October 18?Yes 5.3%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Boston on Oct 19, 2026?
K 598.65 contractsWill the maximum temperature be 57-58° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 52%
Will the maximum temperature be 55-56° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 28.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 59-60° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 11.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on October 20?
PM $2.9KWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 20?Yes 44.5%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 20?Yes 43%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 20?Yes 10%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Dallas on Oct 19, 2026?
K 591.47 contractsWill the minimum temperature be 50-51° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 45.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 52-53° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 41%
Will the minimum temperature be >53° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 8%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on October 20?
PM $2.8KWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 20?Yes 54.5%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 20?Yes 27%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 20?Yes 9.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Snow in Minneapolis in Dec 2026?
K 588.36 contractsSnow in Minneapolis in Dec 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 56%
Snow in Minneapolis in Dec 2026? (Above 8 inches)Yes 53%
Snow in Minneapolis in Dec 2026? (Above 24 inches)Yes 48%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on October 18?
PM $2.8KWill the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C on October 18?Yes 51%
Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 21°C on October 18?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 20°C on October 18?Yes 11%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 19, 2026?
K 588.01 contractsWill the minimum temperature be 62-63° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 47.5%
Will the minimum temperature be >63° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 30.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 60-61° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 11.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?
PM $2.8KWill 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?Yes 10.2%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Wilfred category?
K 532.64 contractsWill Wilfred become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 2.5%
Will Wilfred become a Category 1 hurricane?Yes 2.5%
Will Wilfred become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 1%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Busan on October 20?
PM $2.8KWill the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 20?Yes 34.5%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 20?Yes 27.5%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 20?Yes 21.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Austin on Oct 19, 2026?
K 530.55 contractsWill the minimum temperature be 48-49° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 29%
Will the minimum temperature be 46-47° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 21.5%
Will the minimum temperature be <46° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 18.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 19?
PM $2.7KWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 19?Yes 36.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 19?Yes 27%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 19?Yes 22%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will a Category 5 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?
K 500 contractsWill a Category 5 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
All-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?
PM $2.7KAll-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?Yes 22%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 19, 2026?
K 472.17 contractsWill the maximum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 46.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 68-69° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 36.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 64-65° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 10%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 20?
PM $2.7KWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 20?Yes 48.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?Yes 28.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 20?Yes 18.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Trenton on Oct 19, 2026?
K 464 contractsWill the minimum temperature be 38-39° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 46%
Will the minimum temperature be 36-37° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 35%
Will the minimum temperature be >39° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 15%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 20?
PM $2.4KWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 20?Yes 50%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?Yes 27%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 20?Yes 14%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Houston on Oct 19, 2026?
K 417.5 contractsWill the maximum temperature be 80-81° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 47.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 78-79° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 37%
Will the maximum temperature be 82-83° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 7.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
October 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
PM $2.3KWill global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026?Yes 42%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026?Yes 34.5%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026?Yes 23%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Will the average minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span?
K 405.24 contractsWill the average daily minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 64%
Will the average daily minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 39%
Will the average daily minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Beijing on October 20?
PM $2.3KWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 20?Yes 34.5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 20?Yes 24.5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 20?Yes 20%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Denver on Oct 19, 2026?
K 399.89 contractsWill the minimum temperature be <40° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 40%
Will the minimum temperature be 40-41° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 28%
Will the minimum temperature be 42-43° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 23%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on October 20?
PM $2.2KWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 20?Yes 62%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 20?Yes 31.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 20?Yes 6.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
When will Mt. Bachelor open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 392.34 contractsWill Mt. Bachelor open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 89.5%
Will Mt. Bachelor open before Dec 27, 2026?Yes 54%
Will Mt. Bachelor open before Dec 20, 2026?Yes 51.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 12, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Beijing on October 18?
PM $2.1KWill the lowest temperature in Beijing be 5°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 6°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 7°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+3 more
KalshiTech
Rain in Los Angeles in Nov 2026?
K 386.93 contractsRain in Los Angeles in Nov 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 74.5%
Rain in Los Angeles in Nov 2026? (Above 7 inches)Yes 50%
Rain in Los Angeles in Nov 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 45%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in London on October 19?
PM $2.0KWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 19?Yes 57%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 19?Yes 32%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on October 19?Yes 21.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Seattle on Oct 19, 2026?
K 384.64 contractsWill the minimum temperature be 46-47° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 54%
Will the minimum temperature be 44-45° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 27%
Will the minimum temperature be >47° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 23.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on October 20?
PM $2.0KWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 20?Yes 48.5%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 20?Yes 42%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 20?Yes 7%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Louisville on Oct 19, 2026?
K 383.03 contractsWill the maximum temperature be 72-73° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 70-71° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 32.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 74-75° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 11.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in NYC on October 20?
PM $1.9KWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 20?Yes 48%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 20?Yes 29%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 20?Yes 14.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 19, 2026?
K 382.23 contractsWill the minimum temperature be 43-44° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 42%
Will the minimum temperature be 41-42° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 30.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 45-46° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 27.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Karachi on October 20?
PM $1.8KWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 20?Yes 43.5%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 20?Yes 41%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 20?Yes 8%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC