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Showing 385-432 of 818 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 18, 2026?
K 9.6K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 61-62° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 63-64° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 2%
Will the maximum temperature be >64° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Qingdao on October 20?
PM $3.1KWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 20?Yes 30.5%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 20?Yes 27.5%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 20?Yes 18.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will Anthropic release Claude 6?
K 9.6K contractsWill Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 89.5%
Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Sep 30, 2027?Yes 80.5%
Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Jun 30, 2027?Yes 64%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on October 20?
PM $3.1KWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 20?Yes 57.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 20?Yes 37%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 20?Yes 4%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 9.6K contractsWill the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.61 by Dec 31?Yes 52%
Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.46 by Dec 31?Yes 45.5%
Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.76 by Dec 31?Yes 12.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on October 18?
PM $3.0KWill the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 2°C on October 18?Yes 52.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 1°C on October 18?Yes 34.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -1°C on October 18?Yes 17%
+8 more
KalshiHealth
When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
K 9.3K contractsWhen will COMPASS Pathways plc submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA? (before April 2027)Yes 83%
When will COMPASS Pathways plc submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA? (before 2027)Yes 71.5%
When will COMPASS Pathways plc submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA? (before December)Yes 57.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in NYC on October 20?
PM $2.9KWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 20?Yes 51.5%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 20?Yes 31.5%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 20?Yes 13.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA H100 SXM compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 9.2K contractsWill the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $3.68 by Dec 31?Yes 49.5%
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $3.38 by Dec 31?Yes 48.5%
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $3.23 by Dec 31?Yes 45%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Busan on October 20?
PM $2.9KWill the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 20?Yes 35.5%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 20?Yes 27.5%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 20?Yes 22%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Big Ten: Rushing Yards Leader
K 9.1K contractsCam Edwards records the most rushing yards in the Big TenYes 48.5%
Wayne Knight records the most rushing yards in the Big TenYes 34%
Jordan Marshall records the most rushing yards in the Big TenYes 32%
+47 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?
PM $2.8KWill 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?Yes 13.7%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
K 9.1K contractsWhich AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? (OpenAI)Yes 82%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? (Anthropic)Yes 80%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? (Xiaomi)Yes 57%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
All-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?
PM $2.7KAll-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?Yes 17.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?
K 9.1K contractsWill OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?Yes 53%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 20?
PM $2.7KWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 20?Yes 48.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?Yes 28%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 20?Yes 18%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in San Antonio on Oct 18, 2026?
K 8.8K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 73-74° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 75-76° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 2.5%
Will the maximum temperature be >78° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 20?
PM $2.6KWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 20?Yes 51.5%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?Yes 37%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 20?Yes 8.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Chicago in Oct 2026?
K 8.5K contractsRain in Chicago in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 39.5%
Rain in Chicago in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 16%
Rain in Chicago in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 7%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on October 19?
PM $2.5KWill the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 13°C on October 19?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 14°C on October 19?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 19?Yes 50%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
K 8.4K contractsTop coding AI on October 31, 2026 (Arena.ai)? (Claude)Yes 53%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (Arena.ai)? (ChatGPT)Yes 13%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (Arena.ai)? (Gemini)Yes 2.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Cape Town on October 20?
PM $2.4KWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 20?Yes 39.5%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 20?Yes 38.5%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 20?Yes 15.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Columbus vs Minnesota: Assists
K 8.3K contractsQuinn Hughes: 1+ assistsYes 67.5%
Zach Werenski: 1+ assistsYes 49%
Kirill Kaprizov: 1+ assistsYes 48.5%
+30 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
October 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
PM $2.3KWill global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026?Yes 44.5%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026?Yes 29.5%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026?Yes 23%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
How many major Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
K 8.2K contractsWill there be more than 6 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will there be more than 7 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 72.5%
Will there be more than 8 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 37.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in London on October 19?
PM $2.2KWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 19?Yes 48%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 19?Yes 30%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 19?Yes 13%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 18, 2026?
K 8.1K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 41-42° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 37-38° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 1.5%
Will the minimum temperature be >42° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Dallas on October 20?
PM $2.2KWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 20?Yes 55.5%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 20?Yes 25%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 20?Yes 16.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026
K 8.0K contractsWill WTF GOIN rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will Todo Lo Fue rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will The Live Footage That Launched Van Halen on MTV | Oakland Coliseum 1981 rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on October 19?
PM $2.2KWill the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 13°C on October 19?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 14°C on October 19?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 19?Yes 50%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
K 8.0K contractsWhen will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before April 2027)Yes 72%
When will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before 2027)Yes 51.5%
When will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before December)Yes 33%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Beijing on October 19?
PM $2.1KWill the lowest temperature in Beijing be 2°C or below on October 19?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 3°C on October 19?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 4°C on October 19?Yes <0.1%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Number of data centers in California this year?
K 7.9K contractsWill California have at least 300 data centers this year?Yes 84%
Will California have at least 305 data centers this year?Yes 68%
Will California have at least 315 data centers this year?Yes 39.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on October 20?
PM $2.0KWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 20?Yes 48.5%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 20?Yes 42%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 20?Yes 6.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season?
K 7.7K contractsWill the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season be at least 2.5°C?Yes 85%
Will the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season be between 1.5°C and 1.9°C?Yes 6.5%
Will the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season be between 2.0°C and 2.4°C?Yes 5.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Karachi on October 20?
PM $1.8KWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 20?Yes 43.5%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 20?Yes 37.5%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 20?Yes 6.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 18, 2026?
K 7.7K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 77-78° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 72%
Will the maximum temperature be 79-80° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 24.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 75-76° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 4%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on October 18?
PM $1.7KWill the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on October 18?Yes 50.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 24°C or below on October 18?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C on October 18?Yes 46%
+8 more
KalshiTech
When will OpenAI release GPT-7?
K 7.7K contractsWill OpenAI release GPT-7 before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 82.5%
Will OpenAI release GPT-7 before Sep 1, 2027?Yes 58.5%
Will OpenAI release GPT-7 before Jun 1, 2027?Yes 33.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Mar 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Lucknow on October 20?
PM $1.7KWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 20?Yes 57.5%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 20?Yes 27.5%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 20?Yes 13%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Google share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 7.6K contractsGoogle Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 12.9%Yes 70%
Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 13.9%Yes 53.5%
Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 13.3%Yes 53.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on October 19?
PM $1.6KWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 19?Yes 72.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 19?Yes 29%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 19?Yes 3.6%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 19, 2026?
K 7.5K contractsWill the maximum temperature be >78° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 83.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 77-78° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 11.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 75-76° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 2.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Paris on October 19?
PM $1.5KWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on October 19?Yes 46%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on October 19?Yes 32%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 19?Yes 18.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many human H5N1 cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 7.2K contractsAbove 0 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026Yes 68.5%
Above 1 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026Yes 53.5%
Above 2 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026Yes 43.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Helsinki on October 18?
PM $1.5KWill the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 0°C on October 18?Yes 58%
Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be -2°C on October 18?Yes 9.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be -3°C or below on October 18?Yes 5.5%
+8 more
KalshiEntertainment
Who will perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?
K 7.0K contractsWill Drake perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?Yes 49.5%
Will Fred again.. perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?Yes 49%
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?Yes 44.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Mexico City on October 20?
PM $1.4KWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 20?Yes 34.5%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 20?Yes 33%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 20?Yes 19.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC