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Showing 3,937-3,984 of 29,131 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026
K 11.3K contractsWill the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 3%?Yes 88%
Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 7%?Yes 87.5%
Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 5%?Yes 87.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
PolymarketSports
Brazil Série A: Teams relegated (2026)
PM $18.6KWill Remo be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A?Yes 97.9%
Will Chapecoense be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A?Yes 97.5%
Will Grêmio be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A?Yes 61%
+17 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)
K 11.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 2%?Yes 40%
Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 4%?Yes 34.5%
Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 6%?Yes 22.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AR-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 26.9%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 18.9%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 12th District margin of victory
K 11.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 12th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 85.9%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 12th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 76%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 12th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 63%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
KY-02 House Election Winner
PM $18.6KWill the Republican Party win the KY-02 House seat?Yes 96.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-02 House seat?Yes 3.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Game Awards: Best Game Direction
K 11.3K contractsWill Grand Theft Auto VI win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction?Yes 70.5%
Will Control Resonant win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction?Yes 13%
Will Resident Evil Requiem win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction?Yes 6.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 34%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 16%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
GA-09 House winner?
K 11.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for GA-09?Yes 95.9%
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-09?Yes 2.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 30%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-01 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-01 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 23%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Who will be a part of the next government of British Columbia?
K 11.3K contractsWill BC Conservatives be a part of the next government in British Columbia?Yes 75.5%
Will BC NDP be a part of the next government in British Columbia?Yes 27.5%
Will BC Greens be a part of the next government in British Columbia?Yes 7.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US defaults on debt by 2027?
PM $18.5KUS defaults on debt by 2027?Yes 1.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
AZ-06 House winner?
PM $18.5K · K 54.0K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the AZ-06 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-6?
Related contracts
PM Yes 85%Rules differK Yes 85.5%
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for AZ-6?
Related contracts
PM Yes 15%Rules differK Yes 15.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Moody's Corporation say during their next earnings call?
K 11.3K contractsWhat will Moody's Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Private Credit)Yes 97.5%
What will Moody's Corporation say during their next earnings call? (AI / Artificial Intelligence (3+ times))Yes 97.5%
What will Moody's Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Retention)Yes 91%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 19, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Zangar Nurlanuly vs Tomas Machac: Set 1 Winner
K 11.3K contractsWill Tomas Machac win set 1 in the Zangar Nurlanuly vs Tomas Machac matchYes 84%
Will Zangar Nurlanuly win set 1 in the Zangar Nurlanuly vs Tomas Machac matchYes 15.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Massachusetts Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 30%-35%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 21%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 35%-40%?Yes 21%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
120th Congress: Who will be Senate Minority Leader?
K 11.3K contractsWho will win the U.S. Senate Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress? (John Thune)Yes 49%
Who will win the U.S. Senate Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress? (Chuck Schumer)Yes 40.5%
Who will win the U.S. Senate Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress? (John Barrasso)Yes 9%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MO-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 23.2%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 16.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 16%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Taiwan presidential election winner?
K 11.2K contractsWho will win the next Taiwanese presidential election? (William Lai)Yes 74%
Who will win the next Taiwanese presidential election? (Cheng Li-wun)Yes 10.5%
Who will win the next Taiwanese presidential election? (Terry Gou)Yes 4.3%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 30, 2029 UTC
PolymarketSports
Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 12 Scoring TEs
PM $18.5KWill Sam LaPorta finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes 74.5%
Will Travis Kelce finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes 74.5%
Will Isaiah Likely finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes 74.5%
+47 moreNext deadline Jan 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Zangar Nurlanuly vs Tomas Machac: Game Spread
K 11.2K contractsWill Tomas Machac win at least 3.5 more games than Zangar Nurlanuly?Yes 71.5%
Will Tomas Machac win at least 6.5 more games than Zangar Nurlanuly?Yes 24.5%
Will Tomas Machac win at least 9.5 more games than Zangar Nurlanuly?Yes 14.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
PM $18.5KWill Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Yes 22%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Jersey's 2nd District margin of victory
K 11.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the New Jersey's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 73%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New Jersey's 2nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 66%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New Jersey's 2nd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 49.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Tennessee Senate Election: Turnout
PM $18.5KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?Yes 41.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?Yes 24%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 1,800,000 and 2,000,000?Yes 16.1%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Playoff Runs Leader
K 11.2K contractsWill Yandy Díaz lead Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 postseason?Yes 33.5%
Will Brice Turang lead Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 postseason?Yes 23%
Will Junior Caminero lead Pro Baseball in runs for the 2026 postseason?Yes 8%
+12 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CNN flies with Trump by..?
PM $18.5KWill CNN fly with Trump by October 31?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Golden State vs Los Angeles L: Total Points
K 11.2K contractsFull Game: Over 207.5 points scoredYes 93.5%
Full Game: Over 209.5 points scoredYes 93%
Full Game: Over 211.5 points scoredYes 90.5%
+26 moreNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 29.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 16.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
AFC South: Exact Order
K 11.2K contractsWhat will be the exact order of standings for the AFC South at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? (1: Jacksonville / 2: Houston / 3: Indianapolis / 4: Tennessee)Yes 40%
What will be the exact order of standings for the AFC South at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? (1: Houston / 2: Jacksonville / 3: Indianapolis / 4: Tennessee)Yes 17%
What will be the exact order of standings for the AFC South at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? (1: Jacksonville / 2: Houston / 3: Tennessee / 4: Indianapolis)Yes 11.5%
+21 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketSports
Eredivisie: Teams relegated (2026-27)
PM $18.4KWill Willem II be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie?Yes 76.5%
Will PEC Zwolle be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie?Yes 44.5%
Will SC Cambuur be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie?Yes 43%
+15 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?
K 11.2K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that California’s 2026 billionaire tax will become legally operative before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 16%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketSports
NCAA Football: Louisville 2026 Win Total
PM $18.4KWill Louisville have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes 78.5%
Will Louisville have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes 49.5%
Will Louisville have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes 13.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 12, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Aaron Boone: Out by Date
K 11.2K contractsWill Aaron Boone be out before Mar 24, 2027?Yes 10%
Will Aaron Boone be out before Nov 15, 2026?Yes 8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 22, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by...?
PM $18.4KMarseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 31?Yes 99.6%
Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 24?Yes 97.5%
Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21?Yes 94.2%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actress
K 11.2K contractsWill Julianne Moore be on the list of nominees for Best Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 91.5%
Will Inde Navarrette be on the list of nominees for Best Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 79%
Will Ruth Madeley be on the list of nominees for Best Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 68%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...?
PM $18.4KAnthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Missouri's 4th District margin of victory
K 11.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 4th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 96.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 4th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 96.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 4th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 95%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 13.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
AZ-02 House winner?
PM $18.4K · K 85.3K contractsWill the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for AZ-2?
Same question, fine print differs
PM Yes 73.5%Rules differK Yes 74%
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-2?
Same question, fine print differs
PM Yes 27%Rules differK Yes 25.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
College Football Mountain West Championship Game Qualifiers
K 11.2K contractsWill North Dakota St. qualify for the College Football Mountain West Conference Championship Game?Yes 71.5%
Will New Mexico qualify for the College Football Mountain West Conference Championship Game?Yes 63.5%
Will UNLV qualify for the College Football Mountain West Conference Championship Game?Yes 25.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?
K 11.2K contractsWill AfD be a part of the next government in Saxony-Anhalt?Yes 61.5%
Will BSW be a part of the next government in Saxony-Anhalt?Yes 15.5%
Will CDU be a part of the next government in Saxony-Anhalt?Yes 13%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 15, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MN-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 14%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 11.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-28 House winner?
K 11.2K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-28?Yes 93.7%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-28?Yes 6.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-13 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-13 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-13 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-13 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 14.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Cinematography
K 11.1K contractsWill The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 91.5%
Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 80%
Will Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 75.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
LA-04 House Election Winner
PM $18.3KWill the Republican Party win the LA-04 House seat?Yes 94.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-04 House seat?Yes 5.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
K 11.1K contractsWill Alani Bankhead receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?Yes 83.5%
Will Alani Bankhead receive at least 13% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?Yes 65%
Will Alani Bankhead receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?Yes 56%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-08 House Election Winner
PM $18.3KWill the Republican Party win the OH-08 House seat?Yes 93.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-08 House seat?Yes 6.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC