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PM Yes 94%Rules differK Yes 94%

Will Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Kalshi: Will BC Greens finish 3rd in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

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Will CentreBC win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Kalshi: Will CentreBC finish 3rd in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

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PM Yes 3.3%Rules differK Yes 1%

Will NDP win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Kalshi: Will BC NDP finish 3rd in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

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PM Yes 3.2%Rules differK Yes 2%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC

Will New York tax QSBS gains?

Will legislation that decouples New York tax law from the federal Qualified Small Business Stock (QSBS) gain exclusion under IRC §1202 become law in New York before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 7.4%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes 14.5%

Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by October 31, 2026?Yes 5.1%

2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Utah governor winner? (2028)

Will the Republican party win the governorship in UtahYes 87.9%

Will the Democratic party win the governorship in UtahYes 11.2%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC

IEA asks France to release oil stocks by...?

Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by December 31?Yes 37%

Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by October 31?Yes 22%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Montana's 2nd District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana's 2nd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 92.8%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana's 2nd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?Yes 87.7%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana's 2nd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?Yes 74.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Sinaloa Congress Election Winner

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sinaloa Congress election?Yes 55%

Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Sinaloa Congress election?Yes 16.5%

Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Sinaloa Congress election?Yes 5.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC

Iowa Secretary of Agriculture winner?

Will Chris Jones win the 2026 Iowa Secretary of Agriculture election?Yes 55%

Will Mike Naig win the 2026 Iowa Secretary of Agriculture election?Yes 43%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Victoria Legislative Council Election Winner

Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?Yes 81%

Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?Yes 16.5%

Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?Yes 3%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC

Minnesota Senate election: Peggy Flanagan vote percent

Will Peggy Flanagan receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota Senate election?Yes 88.5%

Will Peggy Flanagan receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota Senate election?Yes 68%

Will Peggy Flanagan receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota Senate election?Yes 42.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte

Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?Yes 97%

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?Yes 2.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

WI-03 House election: Rebecca Cooke vote percent

Will Rebecca Cooke receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-03 House election?Yes 96%

Will Rebecca Cooke receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-03 House election?Yes 93.5%

Will Rebecca Cooke receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-03 House election?Yes 81.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2?

Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2?Yes 8.5%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

Iowa Governor election: Rob Sand vote percent

Will Rob Sand receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election?Yes 97%

Will Rob Sand receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election?Yes 97%

Will Rob Sand receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election?Yes 95%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

State of Mexico Congress Election Winner

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election?Yes 78.5%

Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election?Yes 5.5%

Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election?Yes 1.9%

+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC

Oklahoma Governor election: Mike Mazzei vote percent

Will Mike Mazzei receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election?Yes 90.5%

Will Mike Mazzei receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election?Yes 75.5%

Will Mike Mazzei receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election?Yes 54.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketClimate

Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?Yes 69.5%

1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC

Polk County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent

Will Josh Turek receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Polk County, Iowa?Yes 94%

Will Josh Turek receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Polk County, Iowa?Yes 80%

Will Josh Turek receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Polk County, Iowa?Yes 55%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Goiás

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Yes 97.4%

Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Yes 1.1%

2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Iowa's 3rd District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 3rd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 17%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 3rd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 12.3%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 3rd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 7.4%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Michigan Senate Election: Grand Traverse County Winner

Will the Democrats win Grand Traverse County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes 61.5%

Will the Republicans win Grand Traverse County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes 36.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

KalshiClimate and Weather

When will Northstar California Resort open for the 26/27 winter season?

Will Northstar California Resort open before Dec 27, 2026?Yes 98%

Will Northstar California Resort open before Dec 20, 2026?Yes 96%

Will Northstar California Resort open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 93.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC

2026 Denton County Judge Election Winner

Will Andy Eads win the 2026 Denton County Judge election?Yes 87.5%

Will Nick Pappas win the 2026 Denton County Judge election?Yes 8.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Texas Governor General Election: voter turnout

Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas Governor General Election be above 7500000?Yes 93.5%

Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas Governor General Election be above 8000000?Yes 91%

Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas Governor General Election be above 8400000?Yes 85%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Chiayi County Magistrate Election Winner

Will Tsai Yi-yu win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?Yes 90.5%

Will Wu Pin-jui win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?Yes 9.5%

Will Tsai Sung-yi win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?Yes 0.7%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC

IL-09 House winner?

Will Democratic win the House race for IL-09?Yes 97.5%

Will Republican win the House race for IL-09?Yes 1.9%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Cross River, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Will Otu Bassey Edet win the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election?Yes 80%

Will Arthur Jarvis win the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election?Yes 13%

2 mktsNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC

CA-13 House election: Kevin Lincoln vote percent

Will Kevin Lincoln receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?Yes 96.5%

Will Kevin Lincoln receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?Yes 96%

Will Kevin Lincoln receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?Yes 92%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Tamaulipas Congress Election Winner

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election?Yes 77.5%

Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election?Yes 9.5%

Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election?Yes 6.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC

SC-02 House election: Joe Wilson vote percent

Will Joe Wilson receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-02 House election?Yes 94%

Will Joe Wilson receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-02 House election?Yes 84.5%

Will Joe Wilson receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-02 House election?Yes 74%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Derwent Valley Mayoral Election Winner

Will Michelle Dracoulis win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?Yes 68%

Will Casey Farrell win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?Yes 34.5%

Will James Randall win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?Yes 3%

+1 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC

KalshiElections

Will Steve Hilton outperform the polls?

Will Steve Hilton outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 California governor election?Yes 48%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC

Zelenskyy # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 48.5%

Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 33%

Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 15.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC

Broward County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent

Will David Jolly receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Broward County, Florida?Yes 97.5%

Will David Jolly receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Broward County, Florida?Yes 96.5%

Will David Jolly receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Broward County, Florida?Yes 96%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?

Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?Yes 15%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama

Will Matt Damon be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 89%

Will Andrew Scott be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88%

Will Robert Pattinson be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 79.5%

+11 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC

Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 23?Yes 44.5%

Democratic Senate odds on October 23?

PM $5.6K

Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 23?Yes 32.5%

Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?Yes 18.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC

KalshiElections

Will Minnesota vote to increase school-fund distributions?

Will Constitutional Amendment pass?Yes 90.5%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC

Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?Yes 49%

Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

PM $5.6K

Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31?Yes 12.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

OH-04 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for OH-04?Yes 96.4%

Will Democratic win the House race for OH-04?Yes 3%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC