Market snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

Reported volume

PM $7.0K

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Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

Vol

PM $7.0K

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Markets

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Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Gadi Eizenkot at 55%.

Polymarket

Gadi Eizenkot55%
Benjamin Netanyahu30%
Ayelet Shaked8%
Yossi Cohen5%
Yair Lapid4.5%

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Price ChartContract price history

19 markets tracked

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Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(19)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Poly	55.0%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Poly	30.0%
Will Ayelet Shaked receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Poly	8.0%
Will Yossi Cohen receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Poly	5.0%
Will Yair Lapid receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Poly	4.5%
Will Israel Katz receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Poly	4.5%
Will Naftali Bennett receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Poly	4.5%
Will Gideon Sa’ar receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Poly	3.7%
Will Yair Golan receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Poly	3.5%
Will Yoaz Hendel receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Poly	3.3%
Will Avigdor Lieberman receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Poly	3.0%
Will Yariv Levin receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Poly	3.0%
Will Moshe Feiglin receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Poly	2.5%
Will Amir Ohana receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Poly	1.8%
Will Itamar Ben Gvir receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Poly	1.7%
Will Ofer Winter receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Poly	1.5%
Will Benny Gantz receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Poly	1.3%
Will Gilad Erdan receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Poly	0.6%
Will Nir Barkat receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Poly	0.5%

Rules & Resolution

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AI Analysis

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PM $7.0K

Reported volume · provider units

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?
Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $7.0K
Coverage: 19 of 19 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5939176; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-benjamin-netanyahu-receive-the-first-mandate-to-form-a-government-after-the-2026-israeli-election-20261019144924877
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $454.42
Outcome Yes: 30.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 70.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Naftali Bennett receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5939177; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-naftali-bennett-receive-the-first-mandate-to-form-a-government-after-the-2026-israeli-election-20261019144924877
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $257.89
Outcome Yes: 4.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Yair Lapid receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5939178; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-yair-lapid-receive-the-first-mandate-to-form-a-government-after-the-2026-israeli-election-20261019144924877
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $302.89
Outcome Yes: 4.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5939179; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-gadi-eizenkot-receive-the-first-mandate-to-form-a-government-after-the-2026-israeli-election-20261019144924877
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.1K
Outcome Yes: 55.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 45.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Benny Gantz receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5939180; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-benny-gantz-receive-the-first-mandate-to-form-a-government-after-the-2026-israeli-election-20261019144924877
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $324.78
Outcome Yes: 1.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.7%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Avigdor Lieberman receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5939181; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-avigdor-lieberman-receive-the-first-mandate-to-form-a-government-after-the-2026-israeli-election-20261019144924877
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $282.89
Outcome Yes: 3.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Yossi Cohen receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5939182; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-yossi-cohen-receive-the-first-mandate-to-form-a-government-after-the-2026-israeli-election-20261019144924877
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $304.78
Outcome Yes: 5.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Yair Golan receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5939183; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-yair-golan-receive-the-first-mandate-to-form-a-government-after-the-2026-israeli-election-20261019144924877
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $317.89
Outcome Yes: 3.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Itamar Ben Gvir receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5939184; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-itamar-ben-gvir-receive-the-first-mandate-to-form-a-government-after-the-2026-israeli-election-20261019144924877
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $394.55
Outcome Yes: 1.7%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Gideon Sa’ar receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5939185; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-gideon-saar-receive-the-first-mandate-to-form-a-government-after-the-2026-israeli-election-20261019144924877
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $302.89
Outcome Yes: 3.7%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Yariv Levin receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5939186; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-yariv-levin-receive-the-first-mandate-to-form-a-government-after-the-2026-israeli-election-20261019144924877
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $352.99
Outcome Yes: 3.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Moshe Feiglin receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5939187; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-moshe-feiglin-receive-the-first-mandate-to-form-a-government-after-the-2026-israeli-election-20261019144924877
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $303.07
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Ayelet Shaked receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5939188; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ayelet-shaked-receive-the-first-mandate-to-form-a-government-after-the-2026-israeli-election-20261019144924877
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $282.89
Outcome Yes: 8.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Yoaz Hendel receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5939189; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-yoaz-hendel-receive-the-first-mandate-to-form-a-government-after-the-2026-israeli-election-20261019144924877
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $282.89
Outcome Yes: 3.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.7%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Israel Katz receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5939190; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-katz-receive-the-first-mandate-to-form-a-government-after-the-2026-israeli-election-20261019144924877
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $322.89
Outcome Yes: 4.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Nir Barkat receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5939191; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-nir-barkat-receive-the-first-mandate-to-form-a-government-after-the-2026-israeli-election-20261019144924877
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $398.79
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Amir Ohana receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5939192; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-amir-ohana-receive-the-first-mandate-to-form-a-government-after-the-2026-israeli-election-20261019144924877
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $307.81
Outcome Yes: 1.8%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Gilad Erdan receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5939193; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-gilad-erdan-receive-the-first-mandate-to-form-a-government-after-the-2026-israeli-election-20261019144924877
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $398.8
Outcome Yes: 0.6%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.4%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Ofer Winter receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5939194; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ofer-winter-receive-the-first-mandate-to-form-a-government-after-the-2026-israeli-election-20261019144924877
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $282.89
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETWorld

Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

Volume$7.02K

Markets19

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Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

polymarket

Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

Yes: 55.0¢
No: 45.0¢

Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

polymarket

Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

Yes: 30.0¢
No: 70.0¢

Will Ayelet Shaked receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

polymarket

Will Ayelet Shaked receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

Yes: 8.0¢
No: 92.0¢

Will Yossi Cohen receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

polymarket

Will Yossi Cohen receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

Yes: 5.0¢
No: 95.0¢

Will Yair Lapid receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

polymarket

Will Yair Lapid receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

Yes: 4.5¢
No: 95.5¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiWorld

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Kalshi: Will Gadi Eisenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

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PM Yes 50%Rules differK Yes 58.5%

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

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PM Yes 12.5%Rules differK Yes 17%

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

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PM Yes 3.6%Rules differK Yes 6.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

10 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiWorld

AfD in a German state government?

PM $55.8K · K 4.6K contracts

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Alternative fuer Deutschland has entered a German state government before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 44.5%Rules differK Yes 42.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketWorld

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

PM $74.6K

Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government?Yes 62%

Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?Yes 58.5%

Will Yisrael Beiteinu be in the next Israeli government?Yes 53.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC

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Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC

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Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

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