
Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court?
PM $257.1K · K 17.9K contracts
3
6
Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court?

PM $257.1K · K 17.9K contracts
3
6
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, Yes is priced at 6.5% on Polymarket, and the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Before Jan 1, 2028 at 47.5%.
Polymarket
- Yes6.5%
Kalshi
- Before Jan 1, 202847.5%
- Before Jul 1, 202728.5%
- Before Jan 1, 20278.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $257.1K · K 17.9K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
6
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
Before Jan 1, 2028 If Alexandre de Moraes leaves as Justice of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. Alexandre de Moraes must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure and the natural expiration of a term. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If Alexandre de Moraes vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract shall settle on the initial vacation of the role. This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

