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Showing 4,801-4,848 of 7,129 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

North Carolina's 11th District margin of victory
K 2.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 11th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 75%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 11th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 45.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 11th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 31.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will the DOJ fine Nvidia over the Groq deal in 2026?
K 2.2K contractsWill the DOJ fine Nvidia over the Groq deal before 2027?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?
K 2.2K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law before Jan 1, 2033?Yes 18.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2033 UTC
KalshiWorld

When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal?
K 2.2K contractsEU long-term budget deal before September 2027?Yes 75.5%
EU long-term budget deal before July 2027?Yes 56.5%
EU long-term budget deal before April 2027?Yes 26%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Keiko Fujimori out as President of Peru?
K 2.2K contractsWill Keiko Fujimori be out as President of Peru before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 15%
Will Keiko Fujimori be out as President of Peru before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 7%
Will Keiko Fujimori be out as President of Peru before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Oregon Governor election: Christine Drazan vote percent
K 2.2K contractsWill Christine Drazan receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will Christine Drazan receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will Christine Drazan receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election?Yes 95.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Maine 02 House General Election: voter turnout
K 2.2K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Maine 02 House General Election be above 260000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Maine 02 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 85.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Maine 02 House General Election be above 300000?Yes 71.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Virginia Senate margin of victory
K 2.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 96%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 95.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Virginia be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 94.4%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

South Carolina Governor margin of victory
K 2.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in South Carolina be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 3.4%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

IN-01 House election: Barb Regnitz vote percent
K 2.2K contractsWill Barb Regnitz receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-01 House election?Yes 93%
Will Barb Regnitz receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-01 House election?Yes 86%
Will Barb Regnitz receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-01 House election?Yes 74%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New York's 16th District margin of victory
K 2.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?Yes 96.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?Yes 93.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 38 percentage points?Yes 89.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian?
K 2.2K contractsWill the US agree to or announce a substantive federal action arising from its Smithsonian pressure campaign before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 34%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CA-45 House election: Derek Tran vote percent
K 2.2K contractsWill Derek Tran receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?Yes 96%
Will Derek Tran receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?Yes 89%
Will Derek Tran receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?Yes 75%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Virginia 02 House General Election: voter turnout
K 2.2K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Virginia 02 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Virginia 02 House General Election be above 260000?Yes 86.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Virginia 02 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 74%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Louisiana Senate election: Jamie Davis vote percent
K 2.1K contractsWill Jamie Davis receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Louisiana Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Jamie Davis receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Louisiana Senate election?Yes 94.5%
Will Jamie Davis receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Louisiana Senate election?Yes 86%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

#1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Oct 31, 2026?
K 2.1K contractsWill Thriller be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Oct 31, 2026Yes 50%
Will I'm The Problem be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Oct 31, 2026Yes 50%
Will The Life of a Showgirl be #1 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Oct 31, 2026Yes 49%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas's 34th District margin of victory
K 2.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 34th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 80.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 34th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 69.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 34th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 53%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Florida Governor General Election: voter turnout
K 2.1K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Florida Governor General Election be above 6900000?Yes 86.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida Governor General Election be above 7300000?Yes 76.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida Governor General Election be above 7700000?Yes 64%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New Jersey Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 2.1K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 2100000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 2300000?Yes 89%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 2500000?Yes 76.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

North Carolina's 6th District margin of victory
K 2.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 87.7%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 75.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 6th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 60.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

US manufacturing construction spending in December 2026
K 2.1K contractsWill Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $130 billion?Yes 96%
Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $140 billion?Yes 93.5%
Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $150 billion?Yes 84%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

South Carolina Governor election: Alan Wilson vote percent
K 2.1K contractsWill Alan Wilson receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will Alan Wilson receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Alan Wilson receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election?Yes 95.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Taichung mayoral election winner?
K 2.1K contractsWill Chiang Chi-chen win the 2026 Taichung mayoral election?Yes 80%
Will Ho Hsin-chun win the 2026 Taichung mayoral election?Yes 22%
Will Hong Li-hua win the 2026 Taichung mayoral election?Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 28, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Illinois's 12th District margin of victory
K 2.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 12th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 96.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 12th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 84.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 12th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?Yes 72.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes?
K 2.1K contractsWill the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2034?Yes 30%
Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2032?Yes 20%
Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2030?Yes 8.3%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Michigan Governor General Election: voter turnout
K 2.1K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Governor General Election be above 3800000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Governor General Election be above 4000000?Yes 87.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Governor General Election be above 4200000?Yes 80.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MA-09 House election: Bill Keating vote percent
K 2.1K contractsWill Bill Keating receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-09 House election?Yes 98%
Will Bill Keating receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-09 House election?Yes 97%
Will Bill Keating receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-09 House election?Yes 93%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TN-09 House election: Brent Taylor vote percent
K 2.1K contractsWill Brent Taylor receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-09 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Brent Taylor receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-09 House election?Yes 85.5%
Will Brent Taylor receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-09 House election?Yes 63.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TN-06 House election: Johnny Garrett vote percent
K 2.1K contractsWill Johnny Garrett receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-06 House election?Yes 88%
Will Johnny Garrett receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-06 House election?Yes 73.5%
Will Johnny Garrett receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-06 House election?Yes 53.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Florida's 28th District margin of victory
K 2.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 28th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 92.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 28th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 87.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 28th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 78%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Pennsylvania's 8th District margin of victory
K 2.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 68%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 49%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 35%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Maine's 1st District margin of victory
K 2.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 1st District House election be at least 17 percentage points?Yes 91.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 1st District House election be at least 20 percentage points?Yes 82.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 1st District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 71%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

IN-04 House election: Jim Baird vote percent
K 2.1K contractsWill Jim Baird receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-04 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Jim Baird receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-04 House election?Yes 92%
Will Jim Baird receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-04 House election?Yes 82%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

KY-05 House winner?
K 2.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for KY-05?Yes 96.4%
Will Democratic win the House race for KY-05?Yes 3.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Brendan Carr departure announced?
K 2.1K contractsWill Brendan Carr leave chair of the Federal Communications Commission before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will the EFTA II discharge petition reach 218 signatures?
K 2.1K contractsWill Discharge Petition No. 27's highest official signature count be at least 218 before 12:00 PM ET on Jan 3, 2027?Yes 44%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New York Senate winner? (2028)
K 2.1K contractsWill Democratics win the Senate race in New York?Yes 95%
Will Republicans win the Senate race in New York?Yes 6.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics

OR-04 House winner?
K 2.1K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for OR-04?Yes 95%
Will Republican win the House race for OR-04?Yes 4.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CA-43 House winner?
K 2.1K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CA-43?Yes 97.2%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-43?Yes 2.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

When will Mamdani visit the White House?
K 2.1K contractsWill Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 43%
Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 25%
Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 8.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Trump visit the U.S. Capitol again?
K 2.1K contractsWill Donald Trump visit the U.S. Capitol before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 21%
Will Donald Trump visit the U.S. Capitol before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 18.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Mississippi Senate election: Cindy Hyde-Smith vote percent
K 2.1K contractsWill Cindy Hyde-Smith receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?Yes 92%
Will Cindy Hyde-Smith receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?Yes 80%
Will Cindy Hyde-Smith receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?Yes 60.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NY-23 House election: Nick Langworthy vote percent
K 2.1K contractsWill Nick Langworthy receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-23 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Nick Langworthy receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-23 House election?Yes 93%
Will Nick Langworthy receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-23 House election?Yes 84%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TN-01 House winner?
K 2.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TN-01?Yes 96.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for TN-01?Yes 3.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Which leaders will meet before 2027?
K 2.1K contractsWill Lula and Milei meet before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 64.5%
Will Takaichi and Xi meet before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 57.5%
Will Putin and Carney meet before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 12%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies

What will Mike Sicilia say during Oracle AI World keynote?
K 2.1K contractsWhat will Mike Sicilia say during Oracle AI World — Oracle: Where AI Means Business originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Fusion Claw)Yes 81%
What will Mike Sicilia say during Oracle AI World — Oracle: Where AI Means Business originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Health / Healthy)Yes 80.5%
What will Mike Sicilia say during Oracle AI World — Oracle: Where AI Means Business originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Oracle Cloud Infrastructure / OCI)Yes 71.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Pennsylvania ban Flock cameras?
K 2.1K contractsWill a Flock ban become law in Pennsylvania before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 46%
Will a flock ban become law in Pennsylvania before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 19.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Will China obtain an EUV machine?
K 2.1K contractsWill China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility be confirmed before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 68%
Will China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility be confirmed before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 53.5%
Will China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility be confirmed before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 33.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC