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Showing 6,193-6,240 of 7,170 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

NE-01 House election: Chris Backemeyer vote percent
K 75 contractsWill Chris Backemeyer receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 NE-01 House election?Yes 96%
Will Chris Backemeyer receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 NE-01 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Chris Backemeyer receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 NE-01 House election?Yes 80.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

OR-06 House election: David Russ vote percent
K 75 contractsWill David Russ receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 OR-06 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will David Russ receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 OR-06 House election?Yes 79%
Will David Russ receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 OR-06 House election?Yes 60%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New Hampshire 02 House General Election: voter turnout
K 74.4 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in New Hampshire 02 House General Election be above 250000?Yes 92.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Hampshire 02 House General Election be above 270000?Yes 84.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Hampshire 02 House General Election be above 290000?Yes 72.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

GA-11 House election: John Cowan vote percent (1st Round)
K 74 contractsWill John Cowan receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-11 House election?Yes 88%
Will John Cowan receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-11 House election?Yes 76.5%
Will John Cowan receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-11 House election?Yes 58.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Nebraska 02 House General Election: voter turnout
K 73.53 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Nebraska 02 House General Election be above 190000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Nebraska 02 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 84.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Nebraska 02 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 71.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

Conference USA Conference Championship Matchup
K 71.93 contracts2026 Conference USA College Football Conference Championship matchup: Jacksonville St. vs Liberty?Yes 51.5%
2026 Conference USA College Football Conference Championship matchup: Florida International vs Liberty?Yes 10.5%
2026 Conference USA College Football Conference Championship matchup: Liberty vs New Mexico St.?Yes 8.5%
+42 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NY-03 House election: Tom Suozzi vote percent
K 70 contractsWill Tom Suozzi receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-03 House election?Yes 95%
Will Tom Suozzi receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-03 House election?Yes 85.5%
Will Tom Suozzi receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-03 House election?Yes 69.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

IL-16 House election: Paul Nolley vote percent
K 69.37 contractsWill Paul Nolley receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Paul Nolley receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?Yes 89.5%
Will Paul Nolley receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?Yes 77.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

What will the tariff rate on Brazilian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
K 67.74 contractsWill the tariff rate on Brazil imports be at least 10% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 80%
Will the tariff rate on Brazil imports be at least 20% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 42.5%
Will the tariff rate on Brazil imports be at least 30% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 19.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Next Canadian federal election winner?
K 67.09 contractsWill Liberal Party win the next Canadian federal election for the House of Commons?Yes 59.5%
Will Conservative Party win the next Canadian federal election for the House of Commons?Yes 37.5%
Will New Democratic Party win the next Canadian federal election for the House of Commons?Yes 3%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 15, 2030 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NH-02 House election: Lily Tang Williams vote percent
K 67 contractsWill Lily Tang Williams receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 NH-02 House election?Yes 96%
Will Lily Tang Williams receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 NH-02 House election?Yes 90.5%
Will Lily Tang Williams receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 NH-02 House election?Yes 78.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How many House Democrats will lose reelection in 2026?
K 66 contractsWill at least 9 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will at least 10 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will at least 11 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?Yes 77.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Utah's 4th District margin of victory
K 66 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Utah's 4th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 83%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Utah's 4th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?Yes 77%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Utah's 4th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?Yes 70%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Maryland 02 House General Election: voter turnout
K 66 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Maryland 02 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 94.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Maryland 02 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 90.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Maryland 02 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 84.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Highest third-party vote share in a 2026 Senate race?
K 65.19 contractsWill a third-party Senate candidate win at least 2% of the vote in 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 4% of the vote in 2026?Yes 84%
Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 4.5% of the vote in 2026?Yes 51%
+6 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Arizona Corporation Commission party breakdown?
K 65.04 contractsWill Republicans win both Arizona Corporation Commission seats?Yes 87.5%
Will Republicans and Democrats each win one Arizona Corporation Commission seat?Yes 10.5%
Will Democrats win both Arizona Corporation Commission seats?Yes 3.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas 35 House General Election: voter turnout
K 63.74 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Texas 35 House General Election be above 148000?Yes 97.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas 35 House General Election be above 141000?Yes 97.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas 35 House General Election be above 134000?Yes 97.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will SCOTUS allow Arizona’s citizenship-proof and pre-election noncitizen-removal rules?
K 63.18 contractsWill the Supreme Court rule in favor of Republican National Committee in Republican National Committee v. Mi Familia VotaYes 65.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

North Carolina early voters: party registration margin?
K 62.78 contractsWill the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 2 and 3.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 4 and 5.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 22%
Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 0 and 1.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 22%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas's 19th District margin of victory
K 62.27 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 19th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?Yes 91%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 19th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?Yes 80%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 19th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?Yes 70%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Wisconsin's 5th District margin of victory
K 61 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 5th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 91.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 5th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 83%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 5th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 72%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

All-Rookie Second Team Selections
K 60.54 contractsAll-Rookie Second Team Selection: Zuby EjioforYes 49.5%
All-Rookie Second Team Selection: Yaxel LendeborgYes 49.5%
All-Rookie Second Team Selection: Thomas SorberYes 49.5%
+37 moreNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

PA-02 House winner?
K 60 contractsWill Democratic win the House race for PA-02?Yes 97.7%
Will Republican win the House race for PA-02?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
K 60 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 3rd District House election be at least 27 percentage points?Yes 93.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 3rd District House election be at least 36 percentage points?Yes 64%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 3rd District House election be at least 39 percentage points?Yes 50%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

OpenAI share of requests on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel)
K 59.47 contractsOpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 18.7%Yes 80%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 19.8%Yes 70.5%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 21.7%Yes 50%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

California's 3rd District margin of victory
K 59 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 96%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 94.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 92.6%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TX-21 House election: Mark Teixeira vote percent
K 57.97 contractsWill Mark Teixeira receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-21 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Mark Teixeira receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-21 House election?Yes 84.5%
Will Mark Teixeira receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-21 House election?Yes 69.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New Jersey's 12th District margin of victory
K 56.8 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 12th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?Yes 96.2%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 12th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?Yes 94%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 12th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?Yes 87.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

Will Paul Wilson be retained on the Missouri Supreme Court?
K 55.21 contractsWill Paul Wilson be retained on the Missouri Supreme Court?Yes 86%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Illinois 15 House General Election: voter turnout
K 55 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Illinois 15 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Illinois 15 House General Election be above 240000?Yes 95%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Illinois 15 House General Election be above 250000?Yes 91.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will New Mexico expand its FAIR Plan?
K 54 contractsWill New Mexico expand its FAIR Plan?Yes 39.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

Nevada's 3rd District margin of victory
K 52.7 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nevada's 3rd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame Finalists
K 52.48 contractsWill Blake Griffin be announced as a finalist for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class?Yes 80%
Will Andre Iguodala be announced as a finalist for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class?Yes 51%
Will Terry Stotts be announced as a finalist for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class?Yes 50%
+11 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How many House Republicans will lose reelection in 2026?
K 52 contractsWill at least 16 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026?Yes 96%
Will at least 20 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026?Yes 87%
Will at least 24 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026?Yes 66%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

GA-04 House election: Hank Johnson vote percent (1st Round)
K 51 contractsWill Hank Johnson receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-04 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Hank Johnson receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-04 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Hank Johnson receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-04 House election?Yes 96%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Campeche Governor winner?
K 50 contractsWill the candidate of the registered coalition that includes Morena win the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial election?Yes 65.5%
Will the candidate of the registered coalition that includes MC win the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial election?Yes 27.5%
Will the candidate of the registered coalition that includes PAN but not MC win the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial election?Yes 4.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jun 5, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Will Delaware franchise-tax revenue exceed its FY2027 forecast?
K 50 contractsWill Franchise Tax receipts for FY2027 be above $1.344 billion?Yes 54.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 6, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

Pro Football: All-Pro Second-Team Defense
K 50 contractsWill Will Anderson Jr. be selected to the Pro Football All-Pro Second-Team Defense in the 2026-27 season?Yes 48%
Will T.J. Watt be selected to the Pro Football All-Pro Second-Team Defense in the 2026-27 season?Yes 48%
Will Talanoa Hufanga be selected to the Pro Football All-Pro Second-Team Defense in the 2026-27 season?Yes 48%
+50 moreNext deadline Feb 22, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

GA-09 House election: Caitlyn Gegen vote percent (1st Round)
K 50 contractsWill Caitlyn Gegen receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-09 House election?Yes 95%
Will Caitlyn Gegen receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-09 House election?Yes 84.5%
Will Caitlyn Gegen receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-09 House election?Yes 68.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

What will the tariff rate on Mexican imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
K 49.95 contractsWill the tariff rate on Mexico imports be at least 10% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 80%
Will the tariff rate on Mexico imports be at least 20% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 30.5%
Will the tariff rate on Mexico imports be at least 30% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 20%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Rhode Island Senate election: Jack Reed vote percent
K 49.23 contractsWill Jack Reed receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election?Yes 92.5%
Will Jack Reed receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election?Yes 81.5%
Will Jack Reed receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election?Yes 64.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Prime Minister of Fiji after the next election?
K 45.52 contractsWill Sitiveni Rabuka become Prime Minister of Fiji following the next Fijian general election?Yes 75.5%
Will Inia Seruiratu become Prime Minister of Fiji following the next Fijian general election?Yes 14.5%
Will Tupou Draunidalo become Prime Minister of Fiji following the next Fijian general election?Yes 3.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 6, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Washington 10 House General Election: voter turnout
K 45 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Washington 10 House General Election be above 190000?Yes 95.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Washington 10 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 87.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Washington 10 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 72.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MA-03 House election: Gary Grossi vote percent
K 45 contractsWill Gary Grossi receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-03 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Gary Grossi receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-03 House election?Yes 42.5%
Will Gary Grossi receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-03 House election?Yes 36%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Vermont Governor election: Amanda Janoo vote percent
K 44.92 contractsWill Amanda Janoo receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will Amanda Janoo receive at least 33% of the popular vote in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will Amanda Janoo receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will an Atlantic Shores offshore wind lease be terminated?
K 41.18 contractsWill the U.S. Department of the Interior announce the relinquishment, cancellation, or other termination of at least one federal offshore wind lease held by Atlantic Shores Offshore Wind or one of its leaseholding subsidiaries before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 45.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

All-Defensive Second Team Selections
K 40.52 contractsAll-Defensive Second Team Selection: OG AnunobyYes 54%
All-Defensive Second Team Selection: Zach EdeyYes 49.5%
All-Defensive Second Team Selection: Walker KesslerYes 49.5%
+48 moreNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MD-06 House election: Robin Ficker vote percent
K 40 contractsWill Robin Ficker receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-06 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Robin Ficker receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-06 House election?Yes 88.5%
Will Robin Ficker receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-06 House election?Yes 74%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC