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Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
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Showing 865-912 of 1,662 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in July 2027
K 8.7K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $7.00 in July 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $12.00 in July 2027?Yes 50%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $11.50 in July 2027?Yes 50%
+16 moreNext deadline Aug 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?
PM $5.8KNext GPT Luna (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 87.5%
Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 51%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will AI be the #1 reason for job cuts in October?
K 8.5K contractsWill “Artificial Intelligence” be the #1 reason for job cuts in Challenger’s October 2026 report?Yes 17%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 12, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?
PM $5.8KOpenAI announces a full training pause in 2026?Yes 7%
Anthropic announces a full training pause in 2026?Yes 6%
Google announces a full training pause in 2026?Yes 5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Chicago in Oct 2026?
K 8.5K contractsRain in Chicago in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 39.5%
Rain in Chicago in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 16%
Rain in Chicago in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 7%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?
PM $5.6KWill the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?Yes 74.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in January 2027
K 8.5K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $4.00 in January 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $3.00 in January 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.75 in January 2027?Yes 50.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Panama City on October 19?
PM $5.6KWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 19?Yes 36%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 19?Yes 26%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 19?Yes 21.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
EPL: Managers out before 2027
K 8.4K contractsWill Michael Carrick cease to be manager of Manchester United before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 59.5%
Will Álvaro Arbeloa cease to be manager of Fulham before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 41.5%
Will Pierre Sage cease to be manager of Crystal Palace before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 31.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PM $5.4KUS government bans an open source AI model in 2026?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
K 8.4K contractsTop coding AI on October 31, 2026 (Arena.ai)? (Claude)Yes 53%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (Arena.ai)? (ChatGPT)Yes 13%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (Arena.ai)? (Gemini)Yes 2.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
America.gov removed by October 31?
PM $5.4KAmerica.gov removed by October 31?Yes 2.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Columbus vs Minnesota: Assists
K 8.3K contractsQuinn Hughes: 1+ assistsYes 67.5%
Zach Werenski: 1+ assistsYes 49%
Kirill Kaprizov: 1+ assistsYes 48.5%
+30 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Muse on Meta glasses by...?
PM $5.2KWill Muse be available on Meta glasses by December 31, 2026?Yes 45%
Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by October 31, 2026?Yes 16.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Titled Tuesday Top 5: Oct 20
K 8.3K contractsTitled Tuesday Oct 20, 2026 Top 5 Finishers: Hikaru NakamuraYes 37%
Titled Tuesday Oct 20, 2026 Top 5 Finishers: Dmitry AndreikinYes 26.5%
Titled Tuesday Oct 20, 2026 Top 5 Finishers: Vladislav ArtemievYes 25%
+68 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in London on October 18?
PM $5.1KWill the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 18?Yes 93.7%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on October 18?Yes 29.5%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on October 18?Yes 15%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
How many major Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
K 8.2K contractsWill there be more than 6 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will there be more than 7 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 72.5%
Will there be more than 8 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 37.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?
PM $5.1KWill Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?Yes 10%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 12, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 18, 2026?
K 8.1K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 41-42° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 37-38° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 1.5%
Will the minimum temperature be >42° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
How many Codex resets week of October 12?
PM $5.1KWill there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?Yes 83.5%
Will there be 4 or more Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?Yes 16.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of 2026?
K 8.1K contractsWill BTS be #1 on the IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of the Year in 2026?Yes 57.5%
Will Taylor Swift be #1 on the IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of the Year in 2026?Yes 43%
Will Bad Bunny be #1 on the IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of the Year in 2026?Yes 5.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Singapore on October 20?
PM $5.0KWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 20?Yes 51.5%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 20?Yes 30%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 20?Yes 13%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How high will the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index be at EOY 2026?
K 8.1K contractsWill Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 1,500?Yes 90.5%
Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 2,000?Yes 86%
Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 2,500?Yes 74.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 20?
PM $5.0KWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 20?Yes 31.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 20?Yes 22.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 20?Yes 19%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Dopamine Chamber: First Week Streams
K 8.0K contractsWill Dopamine Chamber by Fontaines D.C. have above 50000 streams during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week?Yes 99%
Will Dopamine Chamber by Fontaines D.C. have above 1000000 streams during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week?Yes 97.5%
Will Dopamine Chamber by Fontaines D.C. have above 2000000 streams during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week?Yes 91%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest sea level in San Diego this winter?
PM $4.9KWill the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.70 ft MLLW or more?Yes 69.5%
Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.90 ft MLLW or more?Yes 50%
Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 8.10 ft MLLW or more?Yes 26%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCompanies
Which companies will be acquired this year?
PM $4.9K · K 102.4K contractsOpenAI acquired before 2027?
Kalshi: Will any company announce acquisition of OpenAI before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 3%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026
K 8.0K contractsWill WTF GOIN rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will Todo Lo Fue rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will The Live Footage That Launched Van Halen on MTV | Oakland Coliseum 1981 rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
K 8.0K contractsWhen will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before April 2027)Yes 72%
When will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before 2027)Yes 51.5%
When will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before December)Yes 33%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?
PM $4.9KFrontier AI labs announce new joint pacing agreement in 2026?Yes 30.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
MacBook base model price on Black Friday
K 7.9K contractsWill the lowest price of any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $750 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 97%
Will the lowest price of any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $700 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 96%
Will the lowest price of any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $650 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 16%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Wuhan on October 20?
PM $4.8KWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 20?Yes 57%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 20?Yes 27.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on October 20?Yes 14%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Number of data centers in California this year?
K 7.9K contractsWill California have at least 300 data centers this year?Yes 84%
Will California have at least 305 data centers this year?Yes 68%
Will California have at least 315 data centers this year?Yes 39.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 19?
PM $4.8KWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 19?Yes 50%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 19?Yes 34%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 19?Yes 10%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Will Anthropic and the Vatican meet?
PM $4.7K · K 1.5K contractsAnother Vatican x Anthropic meeting by December 31?
Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Anthropic and the Holy See hold an in-person meeting before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 34%Rules differK Yes 36.5%
Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by October 31?
Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Anthropic and the Holy See hold an in-person meeting before Dec 1, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 12%Rules differK Yes 13.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Will Anthropic sign the Open Weights and American AI Leadership letter?
K 7.8K contractsWill Anthropic announce signing of the Open Weights and American AI Leadership letter before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season?
K 7.7K contractsWill the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season be at least 2.5°C?Yes 85%
Will the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season be between 1.5°C and 1.9°C?Yes 6.5%
Will the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season be between 2.0°C and 2.4°C?Yes 5.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on October 20?
PM $4.7KWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 20?Yes 44.5%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 20?Yes 31.5%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 20?Yes 14%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 18, 2026?
K 7.7K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 77-78° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 72%
Will the maximum temperature be 79-80° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 24.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 75-76° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 4%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in October
PM $4.6KWill the peak wind gust in Wellington be 86 to 95 km/h in October?Yes 62.5%
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 96 km/h or above in October?Yes 36.5%
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 85 km/h or below in October?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will OpenAI release GPT-7?
K 7.7K contractsWill OpenAI release GPT-7 before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 82.5%
Will OpenAI release GPT-7 before Sep 1, 2027?Yes 58.5%
Will OpenAI release GPT-7 before Jun 1, 2027?Yes 33.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Mar 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?
PM $4.6KNext GPT Sol (6.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 82%
Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 43%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Camille Pissarro: La Place du Théâtre-Français sale price?
K 7.6K contractsWill the lot sold price of the La Place du Théâtre-Français et l’avenue de l’Opéra, soleil d’après-midi en hiver by Camille Pissarro on Sotheby's be above $25000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?Yes 96%
Will the lot sold price of the La Place du Théâtre-Français et l’avenue de l’Opéra, soleil d’après-midi en hiver by Camille Pissarro on Sotheby's be above $20000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?Yes 96%
Will the lot sold price of the La Place du Théâtre-Français et l’avenue de l’Opéra, soleil d’après-midi en hiver by Camille Pissarro on Sotheby's be above $30000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?Yes 88.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Feb 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Toronto on October 20?
PM $4.5KWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 20?Yes 44%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 20?Yes 33.5%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 20?Yes 7.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Google share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 7.6K contractsGoogle Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 12.9%Yes 70%
Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 13.9%Yes 53.5%
Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 13.3%Yes 53.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?
PM $4.5KDario Amodei arrested by December 31?Yes 3.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 19, 2026?
K 7.5K contractsWill the maximum temperature be >78° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 83.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 77-78° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 11.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 75-76° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 2.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Qingdao on October 19?
PM $4.4KWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 19?Yes 47.5%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 19?Yes 24%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 19?Yes 22.1%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC