Climate prediction markets
554 climate market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 49-96 of 554 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027?
K 51.5K contractsHow much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027? (Above 10 inches)Yes 87.5%
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027? (Above 15 inches)Yes 79.5%
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027? (Above 25 inches)Yes 77%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 18?
PM $65.0KWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 18?Yes 0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate and Weather
Florida Cat 4+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?
K 51.4K contractsFlorida Cat 4+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 16?
PM $61.2KWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 16?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on October 16?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 16?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate and Weather
8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
K 45.7K contractsWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?Yes 31.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 18?
PM $61.0KWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate and Weather
EV market share in 2030?
K 38.3K contractsEV market share in 2030? (Above 10%)Yes 85%
EV market share in 2030? (Above 20%)Yes 63.5%
EV market share in 2030? (Above 30%)Yes 46.5%
+1 moreNext deadline May 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?
PM $60.0KWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050?
K 35.4K contractsWhen will a supervolcano next erupt?Yes 33.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2050 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Munich on October 18?
PM $56.2KWill the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 18?Yes 36%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 18?Yes 32%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 18?Yes 17.5%
+8 more
KalshiTech
When will Aspen Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 35.2K contractsWill Aspen Mountain open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Aspen Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 88.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Beijing on October 18?
PM $55.7KWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?
K 34.7K contractsWill Olana be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?Yes 59%
Will Pena be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will Wale be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?Yes 12.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 18?
PM $50.5KWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Lala category?
K 34.3K contractsWill Lala become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 95%
Will Lala become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 94.5%
Will Lala become a Category 1 hurricane?Yes 93.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 18?
PM $50.0KWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 18?Yes 99.8%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 18?Yes 0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
What named storms will be hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific this year?
K 34.1K contractsWill Trudy be categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Vance be categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 62.5%
Will Zeke be categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 61.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chongqing on October 18?
PM $49.4KWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 18?Yes 99.7%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 18, 2026?
K 31.6K contractsWill the maximum temperature be >85° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 47.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 84-85° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 37.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 82-83° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 11.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Madrid on October 18?
PM $46.9KWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on October 18?Yes 73%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on October 18?Yes 21.5%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 18?Yes 6.3%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Where will it rain on Oct 19, 2026?
K 29.7K contractsWill it rain in West Palm Beach on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 43%
Will it rain in Miami on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 39.5%
Will it rain in Albuquerque on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 34%
+32 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How low will Lake Powell drop?
PM $46.2KWill Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?Yes 85%
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?Yes 14%
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,490 but below 3,500 ft?Yes 0.3%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 16, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
K 29.1K contractsWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 68.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?
PM $41.5KWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii by November 30, 2026?Yes 10%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Alabama by November 30, 2026?Yes 6.6%
Will a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina by November 30, 2026?Yes 6.2%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
K 28.9K contractsWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?Yes 30.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2036 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?
PM $40.9KWill the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?Yes 29.6%
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?Yes 26.5%
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30?Yes 24.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Rachel category?
K 28.4K contractsWill Rachel become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
Will Rachel become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
Will Rachel become a Category 1 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chengdu on October 18?
PM $40.5KWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 18?Yes 97.9%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 18?Yes 3%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 18?Yes 0.3%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 18, 2026?
K 26.9K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 56-57° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 47%
Will the maximum temperature be 58-59° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 39.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 60-61° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 8.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Taipei on October 18?
PM $39.2KWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate and Weather
Snow in Seattle in Dec 2026?
K 26.2K contractsSnow in Seattle in Dec 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 18%
Snow in Seattle in Dec 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 10.5%
Snow in Seattle in Dec 2026? (Above 12 inches)Yes 10%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Helsinki on October 18?
PM $38.3KWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 18?Yes 90.5%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 18?Yes 6.5%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 18?Yes 0.5%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Simon category?
K 25.9K contractsWill Simon become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
Will Simon become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
Will Simon become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on October 18?
PM $37.3KWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 18?Yes 99.8%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate and Weather
Lake Mead end-of-month water elevation in Dec 2026?
K 25.8K contractsWill Lake Mead's end-of-month water elevation be above 1033 feet in Dec 2026?Yes 69%
Will Lake Mead's end-of-month water elevation be above 1034 feet in Dec 2026?Yes 61.5%
Will Lake Mead's end-of-month water elevation be above 1035 feet in Dec 2026?Yes 50.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in London on October 18?
PM $36.4KWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 18?Yes 62.5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 18?Yes 23.5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 18?Yes 15%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 18, 2026?
K 22.5K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 82-83° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 52%
Will the maximum temperature be 84-85° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 27.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 80-81° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 16.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?
PM $36.2KWill the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft?Yes 80.5%
Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be below 4,189.3 ft?Yes 18.1%
Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.5 or 4,189.6 ft?Yes 2.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville?
K 21.3K contractsWhat will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Gainesville originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Elon / Musk)Yes 96%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Gainesville originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 95%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Gainesville originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Working Class)Yes 94.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Paris on October 18?
PM $35.5KWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 18?Yes 72.5%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 18?Yes 16%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 18?Yes 15%
+8 more
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
K 21.1K contractsWill the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?Yes 67%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2050 UTC
PolymarketClimate
First snow of the 2026 season
PM $34.2KWill it snow in Denver, CO by November 30?Yes 92.3%
Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by November 30?Yes 90.5%
Will it snow in Pittsburgh, PA by November 30?Yes 86%
+28 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Major volcano eruption in 2026?
K 20.0K contractsWill there be at least 1 VEI4 eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes 35%
Will there be at least 2 VEI4 eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes 14.5%
Will there be at least 3 VEI4 eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes 3%
3 mktsNext deadline Jun 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Singapore on October 18?
PM $30.8KWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will a Category 3 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?
K 18.3K contractsWill a Category 3 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on October 18?
PM $30.1KWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 18?Yes 57%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 18?Yes 41%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 18?Yes 1.8%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Rain in Dallas in Oct 2026?
K 17.8K contractsRain in Dallas in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 77%
Rain in Dallas in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 26.5%
Rain in Dallas in Oct 2026? (Above 10 inches)Yes 2.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Warsaw on October 18?
PM $29.8KWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 18?Yes 56.6%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 18?Yes 26.8%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 18?Yes 24%
+8 more