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Showing 1,345-1,392 of 5,188 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
California's 14th District margin of victory
K 450 contractsWill the margin of victory for Aisha Wahab in CA-14 be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 89.8%
Will the margin of victory for Aisha Wahab in CA-14 be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 77.5%
Will the margin of victory for Aisha Wahab in CA-14 be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 69.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...?
PM $1.7KNext Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 68.5%
Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 12%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
What will NYC’s average daily shelter census be in December 2026?
K 450 contractsWill the cover-page value New York City reports as “Average daily overnight census in all city-administered facilities for the reporting month” be above 86000 for December 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will the cover-page value New York City reports as “Average daily overnight census in all city-administered facilities for the reporting month” be above 88000 for December 2026?Yes 84%
Will the cover-page value New York City reports as “Average daily overnight census in all city-administered facilities for the reporting month” be above 90000 for December 2026?Yes 75.5%
+5 moreNext deadline May 30, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?
PM $1.6KOpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiSports
UEFA Nations League: Group A3 Qualifiers
K 448.73 contractsWill Spain qualify from UEFA Nations League Group A3?Yes 97.5%
Will England qualify from UEFA Nations League Group A3?Yes 95%
Will Croatia qualify from UEFA Nations League Group A3?Yes 24%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Bitcoin above ___ on October 25?
PM $1.6KWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 25?Yes 98.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 25?Yes 97.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 25?Yes 95.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto
ETH Up or Down - 15 minutes
K 437.79 contractsETH price up in next 15 mins?Yes 53.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?
PM $1.5KWill SpaceX have fewer than 14 launches in October 2026?Yes 85%
Will SpaceX have exactly 16 launches in October 2026?Yes 13%
Will SpaceX have exactly 15 launches in October 2026?Yes 12%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?
K 427.34 contractsWill all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2040?Yes 42%
Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2035?Yes 31%
Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2030?Yes 25%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above __?
PM $1.5KWill Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above $16.0B?Yes 85.5%
Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above $17.0B?Yes 71.5%
Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above $18.0B?Yes 33%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Wells Fargo say during their next earnings call?
K 418 contractsWhat will Wells Fargo & Company say during their next earnings call? (Credit Card)Yes 93%
What will Wells Fargo & Company say during their next earnings call? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 92.5%
What will Wells Fargo & Company say during their next earnings call? (Consecutive)Yes 88.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Apr 14, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
ChatGPT Dots on the free plan by...?
PM $1.5KWill ChatGPT Dots be available on the free plan by December 31, 2026?Yes 26.5%
Will ChatGPT Dots be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
SEC: Receiving Yards Leader
K 409.52 contractsAnthony Evans III records the most receiving yards in the SECYes 41.5%
Cayden Lee records the most receiving yards in the SECYes 35%
Chris Marshall records the most receiving yards in the SECYes 32.5%
+48 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026?
PM $1.5KWill fomo.family be acquired in 2026?Yes 28.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Number of data centers in Virginia this year?
K 406.35 contractsWill Virginia have at least 680 data centers this year?Yes 95.5%
Will Virginia have at least 700 data centers this year?Yes 72.5%
Will Virginia have at least 725 data centers this year?Yes 55.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Will fomo fees hit ___ in 2026?
PM $1.3KWill fomo fees hit $100M in 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will fomo fees hit $150M in 2026?Yes 39.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCrypto
How high will Starknet get before 2027?
K 400 contractsWill Starknet trade above $0.10 before 2027?Yes 35%
Will Starknet trade above $0.12 before 2027?Yes 34%
Will Starknet trade above $0.15 before 2027?Yes 16%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by...?
PM $1.3KNext Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027?Yes 34%
Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 31%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
What will Satya Nadella say during NYT DealBook Summit?
K 395 contractsWhat will Satya Nadella say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Agent / Agentic)Yes 82.5%
What will Satya Nadella say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Copilot)Yes 79.5%
What will Satya Nadella say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Compute)Yes 70.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above __?
PM $1.3KWill Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $33.5B?Yes 92%
Will Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $35.0B?Yes 79%
Will Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $36.5B?Yes 30%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Los Angeles in Nov 2026?
K 388.93 contractsRain in Los Angeles in Nov 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 74.5%
Rain in Los Angeles in Nov 2026? (Above 7 inches)Yes 50%
Rain in Los Angeles in Nov 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 45%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 21)
PM $1.3KWill "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes 98.1%
Will "Different" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes 97.3%
Will "Problem" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes 97.3%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
UEFA Nations League: Group A2 Winner
K 387.1 contractsWill Netherlands finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A2?Yes 52%
Will Serbia finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A2?Yes 47.5%
Will Greece finish first in UEFA Nations League Group A2?Yes 45%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?
PM $1.3KAnother Frontier Math Problem Solved by November 30, 2026?Yes 75.5%
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 31, 2026?Yes 45.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
What will Mark Carney say during NYT DealBook Summit?
K 386 contractsWhat will Mark Carney say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (NATO)Yes 80.5%
What will Mark Carney say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Tariff)Yes 79%
What will Mark Carney say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Defense / Defence)Yes 75.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by...?
PM $1.2KNext Mistral Small (4.1+) released by February 28, 2027?Yes 49.5%
Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 37%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
What will David Ellison say during NYT DealBook Summit?
K 386 contractsWhat will David Ellison say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 70.5%
What will David Ellison say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Warner Bros / Warner Brothers)Yes 65.5%
What will David Ellison say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Stream / Streaming)Yes 60.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by...?
PM $1.2KNext Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by January 31, 2027?Yes 83.5%
Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 73.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
What will Palmer Luckey say during NYT DealBook Summit?
K 376.37 contractsWhat will Palmer Luckey say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Drone)Yes 75.5%
What will Palmer Luckey say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 75.5%
What will Palmer Luckey say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (China / Chinese)Yes 71.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Solana price on October 21?
PM $1.2KWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 21?Yes 50%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on October 21?Yes 49.4%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on October 21?Yes 48.4%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Will Lai Ching-te visit the United States?
K 365 contractsWill Lai Ching-te visit the United States of America before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 20.5%
Will Lai Ching-te visit the United States of America before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 7%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
XRP above ___ on October 19?
PM $1.2KWill the price of XRP be above $0.90 on October 19?Yes 99.6%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on October 19?Yes 99.5%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on October 19?Yes 99.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Will Pennsylvania formally begin leaving PJM?
K 364.62 contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Pennsylvania formally initiates or completes a statewide withdrawal from PJM through binding governmental action directing implementation or coordinated filings by the affected Pennsylvania electric utilities to remove all or substantially all Pennsylvania retail load and associated transmission operations from PJM’s regional operational and wholesale-market footprint before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 41%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Pennsylvania formally initiates or completes a statewide withdrawal from PJM through binding governmental action directing implementation or coordinated filings by the affected Pennsylvania electric utilities to remove all or substantially all Pennsylvania retail load and associated transmission operations from PJM’s regional operational and wholesale-market footprint before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 18%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above __?
PM $1.2KWill Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above $20B?Yes 85%
Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above $21B?Yes 61%
Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above $22B?Yes 54%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 10, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Spotify headcount in 2026
K 362.48 contractsWill Spotify Technology S.A. report above 7100 full-time employees globally in 2026?Yes 82.5%
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report above 7150 full-time employees globally in 2026?Yes 69.5%
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report above 7200 full-time employees globally in 2026?Yes 54.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which flavors will JUUL relaunch in 2026?
PM $1.2KWill JUUL relaunch Mint flavor by 2027?Yes 52.5%
Will JUUL relaunch Cucumber flavor by 2027?Yes 51%
Will JUUL relaunch Mango flavor by 2027?Yes 44%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Big 12: Rushing Yards Leader
K 359.35 contractsCam Cook records the most rushing yards in the Big 12Yes 48.5%
Caleb Hawkins records the most rushing yards in the Big 12Yes 47%
LJ Martin records the most rushing yards in the Big 12Yes 33.5%
+47 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Solana price on October 24?
PM $1.1KWill the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on October 24?Yes 48.9%
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on October 24?Yes 46.7%
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on October 24?Yes 46.7%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
College Football: Teams to Join the Big 12
K 353.41 contractsWill Washington St. join the Big 12 before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 4.5%
Will UNLV join the Big 12 before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 4.5%
Will San Diego St. join the Big 12 before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 4.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?
PM $1.1KWill OpenAI retract its Navier-Stokes solution by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in San Francisco in Nov 2026?
K 351.93 contractsRain in San Francisco in Nov 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 50%
Rain in San Francisco in Nov 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 46%
Rain in San Francisco in Nov 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 44.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
New MAI thinking model released by...?
PM $1.1KWill Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by December 31, 2026?Yes 66.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Chicago in Nov 2026?
K 345.74 contractsRain in Chicago in Nov 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 85%
Rain in Chicago in Nov 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 75%
Rain in Chicago in Nov 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 39%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
XRP above ___ on October 20?
PM $1.1KWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on October 20?Yes 99%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on October 20?Yes 99%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on October 20?Yes 98.9%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will CMS release any deferred Medicaid funds to California or Minnesota?
K 338.18 contractsWill the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) or the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) announce a definitive decision to lift, in whole or in part, either federal Medicaid payment deferral announced for California or Minnesota on July 21, 2026, or otherwise make any amount covered by either deferral available to the applicable state before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 52.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Solana above ___ on October 24?
PM $1.1KWill the price of Solana be above $80 on October 24?Yes 97.3%
Will the price of Solana be above $85 on October 24?Yes 96.9%
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on October 24?Yes 94.4%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will JD Vance say during NYT DealBook Summit?
K 337.83 contractsWhat will JD Vance say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Economy / Economic)Yes 69%
What will JD Vance say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 66%
What will JD Vance say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Trump (3+ times))Yes 62.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
What price will XRP hit on October 18?
PM $1.1KWill XRP dip to $1.25 on October 18?Yes 14.3%
Will XRP reach $1.35 on October 18?Yes 14.2%
Will XRP reach $1.45 on October 18?Yes 1%
+6 more