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Showing 1,681-1,728 of 2,515 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics

When will Big Bend border construction resume?
K 5.9K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that physical construction work on federal border security infrastructure inside Big Bend National Park resumes before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 14%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that physical construction work on federal border security infrastructure inside Big Bend National Park resumes before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 8%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that physical construction work on federal border security infrastructure inside Big Bend National Park resumes before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 3%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?
PM $577.18Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Tesla energy deployment in Q4
K 5.9K contractsWill Tesla report Above 8 GWh energy storage deployments (GWh) in Q4 2026?Yes 97%
Will Tesla report Above 10 GWh energy storage deployments (GWh) in Q4 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will Tesla report Above 12 GWh energy storage deployments (GWh) in Q4 2026?Yes 83%
+6 moreNext deadline May 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $567.02Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 46.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?
K 5.9K contractsWill it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2030?Yes 67%
Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2029?Yes 61.5%
Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2028?Yes 40.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?
PM $565.4Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Yes 88.5%
Will Shadowrocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Yes 5%
Will Procreate Pocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Yes 4.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Neptune Insurance policies in force in fiscal 2026
K 5.9K contractsWill Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. report Above 360000 policies in force in fiscal 2026?Yes 75.5%
Will Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. report Above 380000 policies in force in fiscal 2026?Yes 40%
Will Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. report Above 370000 policies in force in fiscal 2026?Yes 29%
+2 moreNext deadline May 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Mistral Medium (3.6+) released by...?
PM $564.63Next Mistral Medium (3.6+) released by January 31, 2027?Yes 59%
Next Mistral Medium (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 47%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

What will inflation in Brazil be in Dec 2026?
K 5.9K contractsWill inflation in Brazil be above 3.75% in Dec 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will inflation in Brazil be above 3.50% in Dec 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will inflation in Brazil be above 3.25% in Dec 2026?Yes 97.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

DOJ fines Nvidia over Groq deal in 2026?
PM $558.85DOJ fines Nvidia over Groq deal in 2026?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Featherweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?
K 5.9K contractsMovsar Evloev to be Featherweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027Yes 38%
Ilia Topuria to be Featherweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027Yes 31.5%
Alexander Volkanovski to be Featherweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027Yes 26.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will Palo Alto Networks Q1 Next-Generation Security ARR be above __?
PM $554.5Will Palo Alto Networks Q1 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $9.25B?Yes 74%
Will Palo Alto Networks Q1 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $9.75B?Yes 63.5%
Will Palo Alto Networks Q1 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $10.25B?Yes 15%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

US unemployment rate at year-end 2030
K 5.7K contractsWill the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 be above 3.0%?Yes 91%
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 be above 3.5%?Yes 82%
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 be above 4.0%?Yes 77%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 17, 2031 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Netflix (NFLX) closes week of Oct 19 at ___?
PM $549.4Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $70-$80 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Yes 41.5%
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $60-$70 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Yes 41%
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $80-$90 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Yes 9%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials

S&P 500 Daily Up/Down
K 5.7K contractsWill the S&P 500 be above 7659.41 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 85.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance

NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on October 19?
PM $548.64Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on October 19?Yes 86%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on October 19?Yes 83.5%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on October 19?Yes 73.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

DoorDash App Downloads in October
K 5.7K contractsWill DoorDash App Downloads for October 2026 be above 95 ?Yes 92.5%
Will DoorDash App Downloads for October 2026 be above 99 ?Yes 82.5%
Will DoorDash App Downloads for October 2026 be above 101 ?Yes 70.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Wintrust Financial (WTFC) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $539.91Will Wintrust Financial (WTFC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 55.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Canada Nominal GDP in 2026
K 5.7K contractsCanada Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $2.1 trillion)Yes 95.5%
Canada Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $2.2 trillion)Yes 94.5%
Canada Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $2.3 trillion)Yes 93%
+9 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of October?
PM $539.28Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 end of October?Yes 92.9%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $190 end of October?Yes 92.7%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 end of October?Yes 91.3%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Edmonton home price below C$440K in 2026?
K 5.6K contractsWill the average selling price across all residential property types in the Greater Edmonton Area in 2026 fall below C$440,000?Yes 25.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 12, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Wingstop (WING) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $538.1Will Wingstop (WING) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 59%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

SOFR for October 16, 2026
K 5.6K contractsWill the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 16, 2026 be exactly 3.87%?Yes 58.5%
Will the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 16, 2026 be exactly 3.88%?Yes 41%
Will the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 16, 2026 be exactly 3.86%?Yes 41%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Netflix (NFLX) close above ___ end of October?
PM $518.55Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $10 end of October?Yes 93%
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $20 end of October?Yes 93%
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $40 end of October?Yes 89.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

When will Bald Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 5.6K contractsWill Bald Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 55%
Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 20, 2026?Yes 53%
Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?Yes 51.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Another Codex outage in 2026?
PM $516.16Another Codex outage in 2026?Yes 52%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

Dallas vs Green Bay: Rushing Yards Ladder
K 5.6K contractsJavonte Williams rushing yards ladderYes 12%
MarShawn Lloyd rushing yards ladderYes 6.5%
Dak Prescott rushing yards ladderYes 3.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will O'Reilly (ORLY) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $495.62Will O'Reilly (ORLY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 59%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

Which wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?
K 5.5K contractsWill the United Kingdom agree to or announce an increase in any main rate of capital gains tax before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 32%
Will the United Kingdom agree to or announce an increase in any rate of inheritance tax, or a revenue-raising restriction of an inheritance tax relief or exemption before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 26.5%
Will the United Kingdom agree to or announce an increase in the High Value Council Tax Surcharge or a reduction in its £2 million entry threshold before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 10%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Aptiv (APTV) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $493.73Will Aptiv (APTV) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 70%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Will Wyoming's unemployment rate remain below 3.5% in 2026?
K 5.5K contractsWill Wyoming's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for every month from July through December 2026 be below 3.5%?Yes 77.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Google (GOOGL) close above ___ end of October?
PM $490.31Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of October?Yes 94%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 end of October?Yes 93.5%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of October?Yes 89.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

CAVA total restaurants in fiscal 2026
K 5.4K contractsWill CAVA Group Inc. report Above 500 total restaurants in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will CAVA Group Inc. report Above 505 total restaurants in fiscal 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will CAVA Group Inc. report Above 510 total restaurants in fiscal 2026?Yes 89.5%
+4 moreNext deadline May 26, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Moog (MOG.A) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $482.3Will Moog (MOG.A) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 78.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in fiscal 2026
K 5.4K contractsWill Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 100 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?Yes 96%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 110 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?Yes 91%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 120 f-35 aircraft deliveries in fiscal 2026?Yes 82.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Apr 26, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Ford (F) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $477.94Will Ford (F) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 52%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

Lollapalooza Chicago 2027: Who will perform
K 5.4K contractsWill Billie Eilish perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027?Yes 75.5%
Will KATSEYE perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027?Yes 40.5%
Will Addison Rae perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027?Yes 40%
+130 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Halliburton (HAL) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $474.95Will Halliburton (HAL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 56%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

2027 Toyota Tacoma starting MSRP
K 5.4K contracts2027 Toyota Tacoma starting MSRP above $32,000?Yes 87.5%
2027 Toyota Tacoma starting MSRP above $32,500?Yes 85%
2027 Toyota Tacoma starting MSRP above $33,000?Yes 22.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will MarketAxess (MKTX) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $462.97Will MarketAxess (MKTX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 25.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2027?
K 5.4K contractsWill the 30-Yr FRM in 2027 go above 9.50%?Yes 58%
Will the 30-Yr FRM in 2027 go above 9.75%?Yes 50%
Will the 30-Yr FRM in 2027 go above 9.25%?Yes 50%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 6, 2028 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Boeing (BA) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $459.6Will Boeing (BA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 37.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Rain in San Francisco in Oct 2026?
K 5.4K contractsRain in San Francisco in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 25%
Rain in San Francisco in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 10.5%
Rain in San Francisco in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 10%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $457.03Will Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 24%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

How many locally acquired dengue cases will be reported in Florida in 2026?
K 5.3K contracts250 or more locally acquired dengue cases in Florida during 2026Yes 97.5%
500 or more locally acquired dengue cases in Florida during 2026Yes 72.5%
750 or more locally acquired dengue cases in Florida during 2026Yes 19.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will JetBlue (JBLU) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $456.55Will JetBlue (JBLU) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 33.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in August 2027
K 5.3K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $2.50 in August 2027?Yes 51%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $2.00 in August 2027?Yes 51%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.00 in August 2027?Yes 50.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Sep 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Royal Caribbean (RCL) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $443.29Will Royal Caribbean (RCL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 62.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC