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Politics prediction markets

6,946 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Showing 1,681-1,728 of 6,946 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiPolitics
Louisville Mayor Election winner?

Louisville Mayor Election winner?

K 15.0K contracts
Who will win the 2026 Louisville, KY mayoral election? (Craig Greenberg)Yes 93%
Who will win the 2026 Louisville, KY mayoral election? (Shameka Parrish-Wright)Yes 6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AZ-04 House Election Winner

AZ-04 House Election Winner

PM $40.4K
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-04 House seat?Yes 95.7%
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-04 House seat?Yes 4.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#3 song on Spotify in 2026?

#3 song on Spotify in 2026?

K 15.0K contracts
Will Beauty and a Beat be the #3 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 70.5%
Will Babydoll be the #3 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will SWIM be the #3 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 6%
+24 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

PM $40.4K
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
WY-AL House winner?

WY-AL House winner?

K 14.9K contracts
Will Republican win the House race for WY-AL?Yes 93.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for WY-AL?Yes 6.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-02 House Election Winner

PA-02 House Election Winner

PM $40.3K
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-02 House seat?Yes 96.4%
Will the Republican Party win the PA-02 House seat?Yes 1.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Which ballot measures will pass in Rhode Island?

Which ballot measures will pass in Rhode Island?

K 14.8K contracts
Will Environment & Water Bond pass?Yes 89%
Will Economic & Infrastructure Bond pass?Yes 88%
Will Housing & Homeownership Bond pass?Yes 87.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Arkansas Senate Election Winner

Arkansas Senate Election Winner

PM $40.3K
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?Yes 94.7%
Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?Yes 5.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Philippines rate decision in October

Philippines rate decision in October

K 14.8K contracts
Will Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas hike 1-25bps at the October Meeting of the Monetary Board on the Monetary Policy Stance?Yes 81.5%
Will Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas maintain the current rate at the October Meeting of the Monetary Board on the Monetary Policy Stance?Yes 14.5%
Will Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas hike more than 25bps at the October Meeting of the Monetary Board on the Monetary Policy Stance?Yes 1.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-13 House Election Winner

NY-13 House Election Winner

PM $40.3K
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-13 House seat?Yes 96.3%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-13 House seat?Yes 3.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?

Will NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?

K 14.8K contracts
Will NJ TRANSIT's systemwide monthly rail on-time performance, all causes (not the Amtrak-adjusted figure) be above 90 in November 2026?Yes 22.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Chiclayo Mayoral Election Winner

Chiclayo Mayoral Election Winner

PM $40.2K
Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?Yes 99.3%
Will César Aurelio Rodríguez Valderrama win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?Yes 0.8%
Will Agustín Villarreal Granados win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?Yes 0.7%
+15 more
KalshiSports
Pro Football: 12+ Rushing Touchdowns Season

Pro Football: 12+ Rushing Touchdowns Season

K 14.7K contracts
Will Derrick Henry record 12+ rushing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 71.5%
Will Jahmyr Gibbs record 12+ rushing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 49.5%
Will TreVeyon Henderson record 12+ rushing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 49%
+34 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?

Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?

PM $40.1K
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?Yes 10%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
LA-06 Republican nominee?

LA-06 Republican nominee?

K 14.7K contracts
Will Monique Appeaning be the Republican nominee for LA-06?Yes 7.5%
Will Larry Davis be the Republican nominee for LA-06?Yes 2.2%
Will Chris Johnson be the Republican nominee for LA-06?Yes 1.6%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-20 House Election Winner

TX-20 House Election Winner

PM $39.9K
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-20 House seat?Yes 95.9%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-20 House seat?Yes 3.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Call Her Daddy: Guests this year

Call Her Daddy: Guests this year

K 14.7K contracts
Will Miley Cyrus go on Call Her Daddy?Yes 21%
Will Jennifer Lopez go on Call Her Daddy?Yes 20.5%
Will Sydney Sweeney go on Call Her Daddy?Yes 20%
+38 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

PM $39.9K
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes 4.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (10/18 - 10/24)

Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (10/18 - 10/24)

K 14.7K contracts
Will Mamdani sign above 0 executive orders between Oct 18, 2026 and Oct 24, 2026?Yes 24.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 22, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
San Luis Potosí Governor Election Winner

San Luis Potosí Governor Election Winner

PM $39.9K
Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?Yes 63%
Will Enrique Galindo Ceballos win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?Yes 12.4%
Will Aid Ávila Covarrubias win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?Yes 5.3%
+17 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many times will Trump be impeached in his second term?

How many times will Trump be impeached in his second term?

K 14.7K contracts
Will the number of times the U.S. House of Representatives impeaches Donald Trump be at least 1 during his second term as President?Yes 72.5%
Will the number of times the U.S. House of Representatives impeaches Donald Trump be at least 2 during his second term as President?Yes 28%
Will the number of times the U.S. House of Representatives impeaches Donald Trump be at least 3 during his second term as President?Yes 10.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 21, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-12 House Election Winner

OH-12 House Election Winner

PM $39.9K
Will the Republican Party win the OH-12 House seat?Yes 94.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-12 House seat?Yes 4.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
FL-23 House Election Margin of Victory

FL-23 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $39.8K · K 18.1K contracts

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-23 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for FL-23?

Related contracts

PM Yes 95.8%Rules differK Yes 94.2%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-23 House election?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for FL-23?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.2%Rules differK Yes 4.8%

Will the Republican Party win the FL-23 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for FL-23?

Related contracts

PM Yes 4.4%Rules differK Yes 4.8%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Serbian parliamentary election: Student List vote share?

Serbian parliamentary election: Student List vote share?

K 14.7K contracts
Will Student List - Students Win receive at least 30% of valid votes in Serbia's 2026 parliamentary election?Yes 95.5%
Will Student List - Students Win receive at least 34% of valid votes in Serbia's 2026 parliamentary election?Yes 76.5%
Will Student List - Students Win receive at least 38% of valid votes in Serbia's 2026 parliamentary election?Yes 56%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 25, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
SC-05 House winner?

SC-05 House winner?

K 14.7K contracts
Will Republican win the House race for SC-05?Yes 93%
Will Democratic win the House race for SC-05?Yes 7.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AZ-07 House Election Winner

AZ-07 House Election Winner

PM $39.8K
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-07 House seat?Yes 96.7%
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-07 House seat?Yes 0.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
PA-01 House winner?

PA-01 House winner?

PM $39.7K · K 284.8K contracts

Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for PA-1?

Related contracts

PM Yes 62.5%Rules differK Yes 64.5%

Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for PA-1?

Related contracts

PM Yes 38.5%Rules differK Yes 35.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
WA-01 House winner?

WA-01 House winner?

K 14.7K contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for WA-01?Yes 96.9%
Will Republican win the House race for WA-01?Yes 2.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the Kennedy Center be demolished in 2026?

Will the Kennedy Center be demolished in 2026?

K 14.7K contracts
Will the Kennedy Center be demolished before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
ID-02 House Election Winner

ID-02 House Election Winner

PM $39.7K
Will the Republican Party win the ID-02 House seat?Yes 95.3%
Will the Democratic Party win the ID-02 House seat?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-15 House winner?

FL-15 House winner?

K 14.6K contracts
Will Republican win the House race for FL-15?Yes 93.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-15?Yes 4.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ilhan Omar arrested by...?

Ilhan Omar arrested by...?

PM $39.6K
Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?Yes 9%
Ilhan Omar arrested by October 31, 2026?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?

How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?

K 14.5K contracts
Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 4 in 2026?Yes 68%
Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 5 in 2026?Yes 45.5%
Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 6 in 2026?Yes 20.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-13 House Election Winner

GA-13 House Election Winner

PM $39.5K
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-13 House seat?Yes 96.8%
Will the Republican Party win the GA-13 House seat?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Tennessee's 8th District margin of victory

Tennessee's 8th District margin of victory

K 14.5K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 8th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 94%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 8th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 87.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 8th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 77%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-02 House Election Winner

NJ-02 House Election Winner

PM $39.4K
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?Yes 83.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?Yes 16%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the U.S.–Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement enter into force?

Will the U.S.–Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement enter into force?

K 14.5K contracts
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the bilateral U.S.–Saudi agreement for peaceful nuclear cooperation under Section 123 of the Atomic Energy Act has entered into force and become legally operative between the two governments before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-27 House Election Winner

FL-27 House Election Winner

PM $39.4K
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?Yes 66.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?Yes 32.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
NC-01 House winner?

NC-01 House winner?

PM $39.3K · K 193.1K contracts

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for NC-1?

Related contracts

PM Yes 72%Rules differK Yes 70.5%

Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for NC-1?

Related contracts

PM Yes 27.5%Rules differK Yes 28.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TN-03 House winner?

TN-03 House winner?

K 14.5K contracts
Will Republican win the House race for TN-03?Yes 96.3%
Will Democratic win the House race for TN-03?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?

Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?

K 14.5K contracts
Will Kim Jong-Un visit the United States during Trump's term?Yes 16.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-06 House Election Winner

PA-06 House Election Winner

PM $39.2K
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-06 House seat?Yes 97.6%
Will the Republican Party win the PA-06 House seat?Yes 2.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Philippine presidential election winner?

Philippine presidential election winner?

K 14.5K contracts
Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Sara Duterte)Yes 59.5%
Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Leni Robredo)Yes 12%
Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? (Win Gatchalian)Yes 4.5%
+2 moreNext deadline May 31, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place

Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place

PM $39.2K
Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 68.5%
Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 30.5%
Will Together win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 1.1%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?

Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?

PM $39.1K · K 1.19M contracts

Trump on $250 bill this year?

Kalshi: Will bill that mandates the creation and issuance of a $250 U.S. bill featuring Donald J. Trump's likeness becomes law before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.5%Rules differK Yes 2.7%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
WA-09 House winner?

WA-09 House winner?

K 14.4K contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for WA-09?Yes 97%
Will Republican win the House race for WA-09?Yes 2.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nuevo León Governor winner?

Nuevo León Governor winner?

K 14.4K contracts
Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial election?Yes 25.5%
Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial election?Yes 20%
Will Clara Luz Flores Carrales win the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial election?Yes 14.5%
+21 moreNext deadline Jun 6, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Colima Governor Election Winner

Colima Governor Election Winner

PM $39.1K
Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?Yes 82.5%
Will Joel Padilla Peña win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?Yes 6.3%
Will Gabriela Benavides Cobos win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?Yes 5.1%
+19 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC