Politics prediction markets
6,946 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 1,729-1,776 of 6,946 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
AL-07 House winner?
K 14.4K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for AL-07?Yes 99.1%
Will Republican win the House race for AL-07?Yes 0.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-11 House Election Winner
PM $39.1KWill the Democratic Party win the OH-11 House seat?Yes 99.2%
Will the Republican Party win the OH-11 House seat?Yes 0.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
CA-21 House winner?
PM $39.1K · K 28.3K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the CA-21 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Democrat win the House race for CA-21?
Related contracts
PM Yes 95.7%Rules differK Yes 94.6%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-21 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for CA-21?
Related contracts
PM Yes 4%Rules differK Yes 5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York City mayoral election winner?
K 14.4K contractsWho will win the next New York City mayoral election? (Zohran Mamdani)Yes 87%
Who will win the next New York City mayoral election? (Eric Adams)Yes 4.5%
Who will win the next New York City mayoral election? (Jessica Tisch)Yes 4%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 6, 2030 UTC
KalshiSports
Will the New York Pro Basketball team visit the White House?
K 14.3K contractsWill the New York Pro Basketball team visit the White House before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 36.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MO-07 House Election Winner
PM $39.0KWill the Republican Party win the MO-07 House seat?Yes 96.4%
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-07 House seat?Yes 3.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
UT-02 House winner?
K 14.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for UT-02?Yes 92.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for UT-02?Yes 6.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?
PM $38.9KUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by October 31?Yes 10%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Colorado's 3rd District margin of victory
K 14.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Colorado's 3rd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 65%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Colorado's 3rd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 49.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Colorado's 3rd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 26%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IN-02 House Election Winner
PM $38.9KWill the Republican Party win the IN-02 House seat?Yes 96.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-02 House seat?Yes 3.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ohio's 13th District margin of victory
K 14.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 13th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 90.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 13th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 84.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 13th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 77.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Regional Board Chair of Värmland?
PM $38.9KWill Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Yes 84.4%
Will Elisabeth Björk be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Yes 2.3%
Will Sara Gunnarsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Yes 2.2%
+6 more
KalshiElections
Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?
K 14.2K contractsWill Nigel Farage announce their departure as Leader of Reform UK before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 12%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AL-04 House Election Winner
PM $38.8KWill the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat?Yes 97.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-04 House seat?Yes <0.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-24 House winner?
K 14.1K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CA-24?Yes 97.6%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-24?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?
PM $38.8KWill Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?Yes 11.5%
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Etsy marketplace gross merchandise sales in fiscal 2026
K 14.1K contractsWill Etsy, Inc. report Above $10.7 billion etsy marketplace gms in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $10.85 billion etsy marketplace gms in fiscal 2026?Yes 76%
Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $11 billion etsy marketplace gms in fiscal 2026?Yes 56%
+2 moreNext deadline May 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
PM $38.7KPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?Yes 3.6%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many people will Trump pardon in 2026?
K 14.0K contractsWill Trump pardon between 100 and 499 people before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 53%
Will Trump pardon between 500 and 999 people before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 19%
Will Trump pardon above 999 people before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 14.3%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-05 House Election Winner
PM $38.7KWill the Democratic Party win the PA-05 House seat?Yes 98.2%
Will the Republican Party win the PA-05 House seat?Yes 1.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
MI-07 House winner?
PM $38.4K · K 87.4K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for MI-7?
Related contracts
PM Yes 63%Rules differK Yes 63.5%
Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for MI-7?
Related contracts
PM Yes 35.5%Rules differK Yes 35.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?
K 14.0K contractsWill Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Argentina)Yes 12%
Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (Taiwan)Yes 9.5%
Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027? (United Kingdom)Yes 9%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
VA-08 House winner?
K 14.0K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for VA-08?Yes 97.8%
Will Republican win the House race for VA-08?Yes 1.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Regional Board Chair of Västerbotten?
PM $38.3KWill Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Yes 96.9%
Will Anton Bergström Nord be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Yes 2.6%
Will Ewa-May Karlsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Yes 1.9%
+6 more
KalshiPolitics
Idaho Senate margin of victory
K 14.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Idaho be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 94.4%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Idaho be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 91.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Idaho be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 84.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-09 House Election Winner
PM $38.1KWill the Republican Party win the MI-09 House seat?Yes 95.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-09 House seat?Yes 4.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Montgomery County, TX Judge winner?
K 13.9K contractsWho will win the 2026 Montgomery County, Texas, County Judge general election? (Mark Keough)Yes 95.5%
Who will win the 2026 Montgomery County, Texas, County Judge general election? (James Graf)Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AZ-09 House Election Winner
PM $38.0KWill the Republican Party win the AZ-09 House seat?Yes 94.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-09 House seat?Yes 3.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OK-03 House winner?
K 13.8K contractsWill Republican win the House race for OK-03?Yes 97%
Will Democratic win the House race for OK-03?Yes 2.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by...?
PM $37.8KWill Ilhan Omar be deported by June 30, 2027Yes 9.5%
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?
K 13.8K contractsWill the number of Trump rallies be above 35 from January 1 to November 3, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will the number of Trump rallies be above 40 from January 1 to November 3, 2026?Yes 92%
Will the number of Trump rallies be above 45 from January 1 to November 3, 2026?Yes 72%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IN-06 House Election Winner
PM $37.8KWill the Republican Party win the IN-06 House seat?Yes 96%
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-06 House seat?Yes 4.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump try to leave the USMCA?
K 13.8K contractsWill Trump try to leave the USMCA before 2029?Yes 50.5%
Will Trump try to leave the USMCA before 2028?Yes 50.5%
Will Trump try to leave the USMCA before 2027?Yes 18%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-14 House Election Winner
PM $37.8KWill the Republican Party win the TX-14 House seat?Yes 96.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-14 House seat?Yes 2.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CO-06 House election: Edwardo Quinonez vote percent
K 13.8K contractsWill Edwardo Quinonez receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-06 House election?Yes 4%
Will Edwardo Quinonez receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-06 House election?Yes 4%
Will Edwardo Quinonez receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-06 House election?Yes 4%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Regional Board Chair of Blekinge?
PM $37.5KWill Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?Yes 94.5%
Will Hanna Ekblad be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?Yes 5.3%
Will Björn Tenland Nurhadi be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?Yes 3.6%
+4 more
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Hawaii Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $37.5K · K 11.9K contractsWill the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Hawaii
Related contracts
PM Yes 98.7%Rules differK Yes 98.1%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Hawaii
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.3%Rules differK Yes 1.2%
Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Hawaii
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.9%Rules differK Yes 1.2%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will run for president in 2028?
K 13.8K contractsWill Thomas Massie announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?Yes 41%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?Yes 28.5%
Will Kanye West announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?Yes 25%
+16 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nigerian presidential election winner?
K 13.8K contractsWho will win the next Nigerian presidential election? (Bola Tinubu)Yes 73%
Who will win the next Nigerian presidential election? (Peter Obi)Yes 23.5%
Who will win the next Nigerian presidential election? (Atiku Abubakar)Yes 3.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MA-05 House Election Winner
PM $37.5KWill the Democratic Party win the MA-05 House seat?Yes 96.9%
Will the Republican Party win the MA-05 House seat?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Norway rate decision in November
K 13.8K contractsWill Norges Bank maintain the current rate at the November monetary policy meeting?Yes 84.5%
Will Norges Bank hike 1-25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?Yes 14%
Will Norges Bank hike more than 25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?Yes 1.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 12, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WA-10 House Election Winner
PM $37.5KWill the Democratic Party win the WA-10 House seat?Yes 97.3%
Will the Republican Party win the WA-10 House seat?Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei?
K 13.7K contractsDonald Trump and Mojtaba Khamenei meet before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
SD-AL House Election Winner
PM $37.4KWill the Republican Party win the SD-AL House seat?Yes 95%
Will the Democratic Party win the SD-AL House seat?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Which referendum questions will pass in Alberta?
K 13.7K contractsWill Question 5 pass?Yes 95%
Will Question 1 pass?Yes 94.5%
Will Question 3 pass?Yes 90.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-06 House Election Winner
PM $37.4KWill the Republican Party win the FL-06 House seat?Yes 95.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-06 House seat?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-13 House election: Bob Cohen vote percent
K 13.7K contractsWill Bob Cohen receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 House election?Yes 6%
Will Bob Cohen receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 House election?Yes 5%
Will Bob Cohen receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 House election?Yes 4%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kentucky Senate Election Winner
PM $37.4KWill the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?Yes 96.9%
Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?Yes 3.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC