Science prediction markets
231 science market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 145-192 of 231 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiHealth
When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
K 8.0K contractsWhen will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before April 2027)Yes 72%
When will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before 2027)Yes 51.5%
When will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before December)Yes 34.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Number of data centers in California this year?
K 7.9K contractsWill California have at least 300 data centers this year?Yes 84%
Will California have at least 305 data centers this year?Yes 68%
Will California have at least 315 data centers this year?Yes 39.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will OpenAI release GPT-7?
K 7.7K contractsWill OpenAI release GPT-7 before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 82.5%
Will OpenAI release GPT-7 before Sep 1, 2027?Yes 58.5%
Will OpenAI release GPT-7 before Jun 1, 2027?Yes 33.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Mar 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many human H5N1 cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 7.1K contractsAbove 0 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026Yes 68.5%
Above 1 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026Yes 52.5%
Above 2 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026Yes 43.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Who will perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?
K 7.0K contractsWill Drake perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?Yes 49.5%
Will Fred again.. perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?Yes 49%
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?Yes 44.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC
KalshiScience
Forever: First Week Album Equivalent Units
K 6.7K contractsWill Forever by The Big Moon have above 2000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 37.5%
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 5000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 12.5%
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 7000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 6.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 12, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
K 6.6K contractsWhen will the FDA approve Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema? (Before 2028)Yes 90.5%
When will the FDA approve Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema? (Before October 2027)Yes 88.5%
When will the FDA approve Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema? (Before July 2027)Yes 88%
3 mktsNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience
Forever: First Week Streams
K 6.5K contractsWill Forever by The Big Moon have above 50000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 48%
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 100000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 32.5%
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 250000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 27%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 12, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?
K 5.9K contractsWill it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2030?Yes 66.5%
Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2029?Yes 61%
Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2028?Yes 40%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
How many locally acquired dengue cases will be reported in Florida in 2026?
K 5.3K contracts250 or more locally acquired dengue cases in Florida during 2026Yes 96.5%
500 or more locally acquired dengue cases in Florida during 2026Yes 72.5%
750 or more locally acquired dengue cases in Florida during 2026Yes 19.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Near room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?
K 5.2K contractsWill near room-temp Meissner effect be reported by a major peer-reviewed journal?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will AI score above 65 on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index?
K 5.1K contractsAA Intelligence Index above 65 before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 80.5%
AA Intelligence Index above 65 before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 72.5%
AA Intelligence Index above 65 before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 66%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Lollapalooza Chicago 2027: Who will perform
K 5.1K contractsWill Billie Eilish perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027?Yes 75.5%
Will Ella Langley perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027?Yes 48%
Will KATSEYE perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027?Yes 41%
+130 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech
OpenAI share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 4.9K contractsOpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 20.4%Yes 48.5%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 19.4%Yes 46%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 16.5%Yes 41.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved?
K 4.8K contractsWill the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved before 2040?Yes 71%
Will the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved before 2035?Yes 60%
Will the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved before 2030?Yes 42%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
K 4.6K contractsWill the FDA approve CagriSema before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 95%
Will the FDA approve CagriSema before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 91.5%
Will the FDA approve CagriSema before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 70.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
How many launches will Rocket Lab have before 2027?
K 4.5K contractsHow many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027? (Above 6)Yes 98.5%
How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027? (Above 7)Yes 96.5%
How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027? (Above 8)Yes 91%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
OpenAI share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 4.2K contractsOpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 18.6%Yes 79.5%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 26.8%Yes 49%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 26.0%Yes 49%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Dallas vs Green Bay: Fantasy Points
K 3.6K contractsGeorge Pickens: Over 13.6 fantasy pointsYes 50.5%
Brandon Aubrey: Over 8.8 fantasy pointsYes 47%
MarShawn Lloyd: Over 12.2 fantasy pointsYes 46.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Dallas vs Green Bay: Player Longest Reception
K 3.1K contractsMatthew Golden: longest reception over 24.5 yardsYes 51.5%
MarShawn Lloyd: longest reception over 7.5 yardsYes 50.5%
George Pickens: longest reception over 23.5 yardsYes 50.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Number of data centers in Arizona this year?
K 3.0K contractsWill Arizona have at least 162 data centers this year?Yes 70.5%
Will Arizona have at least 166 data centers this year?Yes 55%
Will Arizona have at least 172 data centers this year?Yes 37%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Anthropic vs Google: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026
K 2.9K contractsWill Anthropic have a higher Arena Score than Google at the end of 2026?Yes 46%
Will Google have a higher Arena Score than Anthropic at the end of 2026?Yes 41.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Columbus vs Minnesota: Assists
K 2.9K contractsQuinn Hughes: 1+ assistsYes 68%
Kirill Kaprizov: 1+ assistsYes 47.5%
Zach Werenski: 1+ assistsYes 46.5%
+28 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
NYC Health sewer-entry warning before Nov 1, 2026?
K 2.8K contractsNYC Health sewer-entry warning before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
K 2.8K contractsWill Hodge be solved next before 2045?Yes 44.5%
Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be solved next before 2045?Yes 27%
Will Yang–Mills be solved next before 2045?Yes 23%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2045 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
K 2.7K contractsWill the Hodge Conjecture be resolved before 2032?Yes 69%
Will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved before 2031?Yes 60.5%
Will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved before 2030?Yes 54%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Alibaba vs Xiaomi: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026
K 2.2K contractsWill Alibaba have a higher Arena Score than Xiaomi at the end of 2026?Yes 51.5%
Will Xiaomi have a higher Arena Score than Alibaba at the end of 2026?Yes 47%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157)?
K 2.0K contractsWill the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment of completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 94.5%
Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment of completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 87.5%
Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment of completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 65%
+2 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience
Dallas vs Green Bay: Rushing + Receiving Yards
K 1.9K contractsPierre Strong Jr.: 30+ rushing and receiving yards combinedYes 50%
MarShawn Lloyd: 60+ rushing and receiving yards combinedYes 47%
Javonte Williams: 90+ rushing and receiving yards combinedYes 46%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?
K 1.9K contractsWhich country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade? (United States)Yes 61.5%
Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade? (China)Yes 26.5%
Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade? (France)Yes 5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2030 UTC
KalshiSports
RB Fantasy Football Week 6 Top 5?
K 1.7K contractsTyler Badie: Top 5 RB in fantasy points for Week 6?Yes 49.5%
Velus Jones Jr.: Top 5 RB in fantasy points for Week 6?Yes 49.5%
George Holani: Top 5 RB in fantasy points for Week 6?Yes 49.5%
+30 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102?
K 1.7K contractsWill the FDA approve VERVE-102 before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 83%
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102 before Jan 1, 2034?Yes 79.5%
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102 before Jan 1, 2033?Yes 75%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
KalshiSports
Dallas vs Green Bay: Receiving Yards Escalator
K 1.7K contractsCeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards EscalatorYes 12.5%
Christian Watson Receiving Yards EscalatorYes 12%
George Pickens Receiving Yards EscalatorYes 9.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Top Coding AI this week
K 1.7K contractsTop Coding AI this week? (Claude)Yes 89.5%
Top Coding AI this week? (Gemini)Yes 47%
Top Coding AI this week? (ChatGPT)Yes 25%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience
Columbus vs Minnesota: Points
K 1.6K contractsKirill Kaprizov: 1+ pointsYes 70%
Quinn Hughes: 1+ pointsYes 69%
Matt Boldy: 1+ pointsYes 66%
+43 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?
K 1.5K contractsWill Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2032?Yes 70%
Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2031?Yes 63%
Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2030?Yes 56.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience
Dallas vs Green Bay: Rushing Attempts
K 1.5K contractsMarShawn Lloyd: 9+ rushing attemptsYes 77%
Javonte Williams: 14+ rushing attemptsYes 72.5%
Dak Prescott: 3+ rushing attemptsYes 53.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Next LandSpace Zhuque-3 launch
K 1.4K contractsWhen will LandSpace launch Zhuque-3? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 95%
When will LandSpace launch Zhuque-3? (Before Sep 1, 2027)Yes 92.5%
When will LandSpace launch Zhuque-3? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 88%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation?
K 1.4K contractsWill the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 39%
Will the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Columbus vs Minnesota: Goals
K 1.3K contractsKirill Kaprizov: 1+ goalsYes 41%
Matt Boldy: 1+ goalsYes 39.5%
Joel Eriksson Ek: 1+ goalsYes 31%
+57 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
K 1.2K contractsBest LLM at the end of the decade? (Anthropic)Yes 17.5%
Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Google)Yes 15.5%
Best LLM at the end of the decade? (OpenAI)Yes 14.5%
+31 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2030 UTC
KalshiSports
New Orleans vs New York G: Player Longest Reception
K 1.1K contractsIsaiah Likely: longest reception over 19.5 yardsYes 50.5%
Bryce Lance: longest reception over 10.5 yardsYes 50%
Darnell Mooney: longest reception over 14.5 yardsYes 50%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Number of data centers in Florida this year?
K 1.0K contractsWill Florida have at least 112 data centers this year?Yes 87%
Will Florida have at least 115 data centers this year?Yes 67%
Will Florida have at least 120 data centers this year?Yes 51%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Top 10 DJ’s: 2027
K 651.14 contractsWill Alok be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?Yes 55%
Will Zedd be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?Yes 50%
Will W&W be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's?Yes 50%
+48 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Google share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 571.21 contractsGoogle Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 12.9%Yes 76%
Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 13.0%Yes 63.5%
Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 13.9%Yes 59.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Most popular AI this week
K 558 contractsMost popular AI this week? (DeepSeek)Yes 99%
Most popular AI this week? (OpenAI)Yes 1.5%
Most popular AI this week? (Google)Yes 1.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will P vs NP be resolved?
K 460.24 contractsWill P vs NP be resolved before 2040?Yes 43.5%
Will P vs NP be resolved before 2035?Yes 35%
Will P vs NP be resolved before 2030?Yes 22.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?
K 427.34 contractsWill all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2040?Yes 41.5%
Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2035?Yes 30.5%
Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2030?Yes 24.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC