Politics prediction markets

Will the SCOTUS hear a case about AI and copyright law before 2027?

Will the Supreme Court hear a case about AI and copyright law before 2027?Yes 9.8%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

WI-07 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for WI-07?Yes 94.8%

Will Democratic win the House race for WI-07?Yes 4.9%

Will Haniff Hoosen be the next mayor of eThekwini?Yes 67.5%

Next Mayor of eThekwini (Durban)?

PM $34.2K

Will Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi be the next mayor of eThekwini?Yes 13.5%

Will Thabani Nyawose be the next mayor of eThekwini?Yes 10.7%

+10 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC

PA-16 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for PA-16?Yes 96.2%

Will Democratic win the House race for PA-16?Yes 4%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 22.1%

VA-03 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $34.1K

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 20.4%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 19.9%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiEntertainment

Bill Belichick and Jordon Hudson: Married before 2027?

Will Bill Belichick and Jordon Hudson be married in 2026?Yes 9%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?Yes 30.9%

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?

PM $34.1K

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Rhode Island Governor margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Rhode Island be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 74.4%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Rhode Island be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 52.3%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Rhode Island be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 46.6%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the KS-03 House seat?Yes 95.5%

KS-03 House Election Winner

PM $33.9K

Will the Republican Party win the KS-03 House seat?Yes 4.5%

PA-15 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for PA-15?Yes 95.9%

Will Democratic win the House race for PA-15?Yes 4.1%

Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?Yes 77.5%

Next Regional Board Chair of Jönköping?

PM $33.9K

Will Tommie Ekered be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?Yes 21.2%

Will Håkan Karlsson-Nyborg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?Yes 7.1%

+4 more

KalshiElections

Which ballot measures will pass in Georgia?

Will Amendment 1 pass?Yes 83.5%

Will Amendment 2 pass?Yes 82.5%

Will Amendment 3 pass?Yes 70%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC

Will Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?Yes 71.8%

Nayarit Governor Election Winner

PM $33.8K

Will Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?Yes 9.7%

Will Héctor Santana García win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?Yes 4.7%

+19 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC

How many House seats will Democrats win in Alabama?

Will Democrats win exactly 1 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Alabama?Yes 73%

Will Democrats win exactly 2 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Alabama?Yes 25%

Will Democrats win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Alabama?Yes 3%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the OK-02 House seat?Yes 97.9%

OK-02 House Election Winner

PM $33.8K

Will the Democratic Party win the OK-02 House seat?Yes 2.2%

South Dakota Senate margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 82%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 75%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 65.5%

+14 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the PA-03 House seat?Yes 97.5%

PA-03 House Election Winner

PM $33.7K

Will the Republican Party win the PA-03 House seat?Yes 2%

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Costume Design

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Costume Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 88.5%

Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Costume Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 81%

Will Sense and Sensibility be on the list of nominees for Best Costume Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 80%

+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,800,000 and 4,950,000?Yes 24.6%

Ohio Senate Election: Turnout

PM $33.7K

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,650,000 and 4,800,000?Yes 22.5%

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be 5,100,000 or more?Yes 12.6%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

When will Trump and Mamdani meet?

Will Trump and Mamdani meet in person before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 51%

Will Trump and Mamdani meet in person before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 29.5%

Will Trump and Mamdani meet in person before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 16%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the IL-10 House seat?Yes 96.9%

IL-10 House Election Winner

PM $33.7K

Will the Republican Party win the IL-10 House seat?Yes 2.3%

Who will win the 2026 Idaho Official State Gun advisory vote? (Winchester Model 1873 (.44-40))Yes 60%

Which firearm will receive the most votes in Idaho's State Gun advisory question?

K 12.3K contracts

Who will win the 2026 Idaho Official State Gun advisory vote? (1873 Colt Single Action Army Revolver (.45 Colt))Yes 17.5%

Who will win the 2026 Idaho Official State Gun advisory vote? (Colt M1911 .45 automatic Colt pistol (.45 ACP))Yes 10%

+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 33.5%

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?

PM $33.6K

Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 22%

Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 20%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will Joseph Oddo receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-06 House election?Yes 8%

SC-06 House election: Joseph Oddo vote percent

K 12.3K contracts

Will Joseph Oddo receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-06 House election?Yes 7%

Will Joseph Oddo receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-06 House election?Yes 7%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?Yes 18.5%

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

PM $33.5K

1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Will Republican win the House race for FL-05?Yes 92.9%

FL-05 House winner?

K 12.3K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for FL-05?Yes 6%

Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Yes 85%

Winnipeg Mayoral Election

PM $33.5K

Will Kevin Klein win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Yes 8.6%

Will Michael Vogiatzakis win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Yes 5.3%

+8 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

CA-34 House winner?

PM $33.5K · K 72.3K contracts

Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat?

Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 CA-34 House election? (Angela Gonzales-Torres)

Related contracts

PM Yes 79%Rules differK Yes 79.5%

Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?

Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 CA-34 House election? (Jimmy Gomez)

Related contracts

PM Yes 18.5%Rules differK Yes 19.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 1st District House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 84%

Alabama's 1st District margin of victory

K 12.2K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 1st District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 73%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 1st District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 59.5%

+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $80‎ billion?Yes 94.5%

US tariff revenue for 2026

K 12.2K contracts

Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $100‎ billion?Yes 93.5%

Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $125‎ billion?Yes 91.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Jun 1, 2027 UTC

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Yes 40%

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

PM $33.4K

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Wild Horse Nine be on the list of nominees for Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 91%

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Original Screenplay

K 12.2K contracts

Will The Debut be on the list of nominees for Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 90%

Will Club Kid be on the list of nominees for Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 72%

+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC

Will Retief Odendaal be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?Yes 26.5%

Next Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay (Port Elizabeth)?

PM $33.3K

Will Babalwa Lobishe be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?Yes 20.3%

Will Wandisile Jikeka be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?Yes 4%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC

Will Trump visit China?

Will Donald Trump visit China before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 93%

Will Donald Trump visit China before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 91.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 31%

OR-06 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $33.1K

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 21.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 13.8%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

TX-23 House election: Brandon Herrera vote percent

Will Brandon Herrera receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-23 House election?Yes 97.5%

Will Brandon Herrera receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-23 House election?Yes 96%

Will Brandon Herrera receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-23 House election?Yes 91%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?Yes 80.5%

IN-05 House Election Winner

PM $33.1K

Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?Yes 20.5%

PM $33.0K · K 39.3K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister?

Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?

Kalshi: Will Andy Burnham announce their departure as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.7%Rules differK Yes 6.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Alabama Senate margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabama be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 85%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabama be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 79%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabama be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 69%

+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

MI-05 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for MI-05?Yes 94.1%

Will Democratic win the House race for MI-05?Yes 5.6%

Will the Republican Party win the AR-03 House seat?Yes 95%

AR-03 House Election Winner

PM $32.9K

Will the Democratic Party win the AR-03 House seat?Yes 4%