Politics prediction markets
6,953 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 2,113-2,160 of 6,953 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Spanish general election: voter turnout
K 10.4K contractsWill at least 22,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?Yes 96.5%
Will at least 22,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?Yes 96.5%
Will at least 23,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?Yes 95.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Dec 6, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-02 House Election Winner
PM $27.2KWill the Democratic Party win the GA-02 House seat?Yes 94.5%
Will the Republican Party win the GA-02 House seat?Yes 3.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?
K 10.3K contractsWho will win the U.S. Senate Majority Leader election for the 120th Congress? (Chuck Schumer)Yes 49%
Who will win the U.S. Senate Majority Leader election for the 120th Congress? (John Thune)Yes 29.5%
Who will win the U.S. Senate Majority Leader election for the 120th Congress? (Chris Van Hollen)Yes 7.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MA-06 House Election Winner
PM $27.2KWill the Democratic Party win the MA-06 House seat?Yes 96%
Will the Republican Party win the MA-06 House seat?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-04 House winner?
K 10.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-04?Yes 87%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-04?Yes 13.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which states will Trump visit before the midterms?
PM $27.2KWill Donald Trump visit North Carolina before the midterms?Yes >99.9%
Will Donald Trump visit Kansas before the midterms?Yes 99.4%
Will Donald Trump visit Iowa before the midterms?Yes 98.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California Attorney General winner?
K 10.3K contractsWho will win the 2026 California Attorney General election? (Rob Bonta)Yes 96.5%
Who will win the 2026 California Attorney General election? (Michael E. Gates)Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-16 House Election Winner
PM $27.2KWill the Democratic Party win the TX-16 House seat?Yes 96.7%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-16 House seat?Yes 1.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Minnesota Attorney General winner?
PM $27.2K · K 109.2K contractsWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Minnesota?
Related contracts
PM Yes 80%Rules differK Yes 79.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Minnesota?
Related contracts
PM Yes 20.5%Rules differK Yes 19.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)
K 10.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 2%?Yes 47.5%
Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 4%?Yes 43%
Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 6%?Yes 33%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
United States Grand Prix Main Race Winner
K 10.3K contractsMain Race: Max Verstappen winsYes 46.5%
Main Race: Andrea Kimi Antonelli winsYes 28%
Main Race: George Russell winsYes 9.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AR-01 House Election Winner
PM $27.1KWill the Republican Party win the AR-01 House seat?Yes 97.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-01 House seat?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-37 House election: Lauren Peña vote percent
K 10.3K contractsWill Lauren Peña receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-37 House election?Yes 92%
Will Lauren Peña receive at least 12% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-37 House election?Yes 85.5%
Will Lauren Peña receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-37 House election?Yes 74.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Oklahoma Senate Election Winner
PM $27.1KWill the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?Yes 97%
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-21 House election: Blake Gendebien vote percent
K 10.3K contractsWill Blake Gendebien receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?Yes 97%
Will Blake Gendebien receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?Yes 97%
Will Blake Gendebien receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?Yes 96%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Baja California Sur Governor Election Winner
PM $27.0KWill Manuel Cota Cárdenas win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?Yes 42.6%
Will Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?Yes 37.5%
Will Milena Quiroga Romero win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?Yes 22.9%
+13 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MN-05 House election: John Nagel vote percent
K 10.2K contractsWill John Nagel receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-05 House election?Yes 98%
Will John Nagel receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-05 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will John Nagel receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-05 House election?Yes 92.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Georgia Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $27.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 9%-12%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 6%-9%?Yes 20%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 12%-15%?Yes 15.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?
PM $26.9K · K 434.1K contractsSupreme Court vacancy in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Samuel Alito retires the Supreme Court in before 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 11.5%Rules differK Yes 8.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026?
K 10.2K contractsDemocratic trifecta in Minnesota?Yes 86%
Democratic trifecta in Michigan?Yes 79%
Democratic trifecta in Oregon?Yes 70%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
ND-AL House winner?
K 10.2K contractsWill Republican win the House race for ND-AL?Yes 97.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for ND-AL?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OR-06 House Election Winner
PM $26.9KWill the Democratic Party win the OR-06 House seat?Yes 95.9%
Will the Republican Party win the OR-06 House seat?Yes 2.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Chuck Edwards leave the House before the midterms?
K 10.2K contractsWill Chuck Edwards be out as U.S. representative before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 2%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-07 House Election Winner
PM $26.8KWill the Democratic Party win the IL-07 House seat?Yes 97%
Will the Republican Party win the IL-07 House seat?Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in Florida?
K 10.2K contractsWill Amendment 1 pass?Yes 69.5%
Will Amendment 2 pass?Yes 68%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump resign before 2027?
PM $26.8KWill Trump resign before 2027?Yes 2.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-16 House winner?
K 10.1K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CA-16?Yes 97.4%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-16?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-03 House Election Winner
PM $26.8KWill the Republican Party win the GA-03 House seat?Yes 96%
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-03 House seat?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
South Carolina Governor winner?
PM $26.7K · K 38.3K contractsWill the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in South Carolina
Related contracts
PM Yes 93.5%Rules differK Yes 93.8%
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in South Carolina
Related contracts
PM Yes 4.8%Rules differK Yes 5.3%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
WI-05 House winner?
K 10.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for WI-05?Yes 97.1%
Will Democratic win the House race for WI-05?Yes 1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
NV-04 House winner?
PM $26.7K · K 14.5K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the NV-04 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Democrat win the House race for NV-4?
Related contracts
PM Yes 97.5%Rules differK Yes 95.8%
Will the Republican Party win the NV-04 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for NV-4?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.4%Rules differK Yes 2.1%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MN-06 House election: Tom Emmer vote percent
K 10.1K contractsWill Tom Emmer receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-06 House election?Yes 96%
Will Tom Emmer receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-06 House election?Yes 88%
Will Tom Emmer receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-06 House election?Yes 76.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OH-06 House winner?
K 10.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for OH-06?Yes 97%
Will Democratic win the House race for OH-06?Yes 3.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Closest Governor's Race?
PM $26.7KWill Georgia be the closest Governor's race in 2026?Yes 17.5%
Will Nevada be the closest Governor's race in 2026?Yes 13.1%
Will Texas be the closest Governor's race in 2026?Yes 10.9%
+33 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-38 House election: Melissa McDonough vote percent
K 10.1K contractsWill Melissa McDonough receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-38 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Melissa McDonough receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-38 House election?Yes 95%
Will Melissa McDonough receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-38 House election?Yes 90%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Michigan Senate Election: Turnout
PM $26.7KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,600,000 and 4,800,000?Yes 28.1%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,800,000 and 5,000,000?Yes 28%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more?Yes 22.8%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MD-08 House election: Nancy Wallace vote percent
K 10.0K contractsWill Nancy Wallace receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-08 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Nancy Wallace receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-08 House election?Yes 72%
Will Nancy Wallace receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-08 House election?Yes 34%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Rhode Island Senate winner?
PM $26.6K · K 35.6K contractsWill the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Rhode Island?
Related contracts
PM Yes 98.3%Rules differK Yes 98.4%
Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Rhode Island?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.2%Rules differK Yes 1.1%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Israeli Knesset election: voter turnout
K 10.0K contractsWill at least 4,800,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?Yes 99%
Will at least 4,900,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?Yes 97%
Will at least 5,000,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?Yes 95.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $26.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 31%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 14.1%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)
K 10.0K contractsWill Republicans win the Senate race in South Carolina?Yes 79%
Will Democratics win the Senate race in South Carolina?Yes 19%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
SC-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $26.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 31%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 28.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 22%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will the next UK parliamentary by-election be called?
K 10.0K contractsWill it be reported by Clerk of the Crown in Chancery and the Clerk of the Crown for Northern Ireland that a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 90.5%
Will it be reported by Clerk of the Crown in Chancery and the Clerk of the Crown for Northern Ireland that a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 84%
Will it be reported by Clerk of the Crown in Chancery and the Clerk of the Crown for Northern Ireland that a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 51.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-25 House Election Winner
PM $26.6KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-25 House seat?Yes 95%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-25 House seat?Yes 4.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MI-02 House winner?
K 9.9K contractsWill Republican win the House race for MI-02?Yes 96.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for MI-02?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
PM $26.6KSusie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?Yes 36.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?
K 9.9K contractsWill Pierre Poilievre resign as the conservative party leader before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 18%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $26.5KWill Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?Yes 61.5%
Will Mohammed Ashiru Isa win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?Yes 24.5%
Will Shehu Bawa win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?Yes 5.1%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC