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Showing 2,161-2,208 of 2,761 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics
Fed funds rate at end of 2034
K 2.2K contractsWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 1.25%?Yes 75.5%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 1.00%?Yes 75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 1.75%?Yes 70%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2035 UTC
KalshiPolitics
US manufacturing construction spending in December 2026
K 2.1K contractsWill Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $130 billion?Yes 96%
Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $140 billion?Yes 93.5%
Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $150 billion?Yes 84%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
PPI YoY in October
K 2.1K contractsWill the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for October 2026 be above 6.0%?Yes 93%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for October 2026 be above 6.1%?Yes 88.5%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for October 2026 be above 6.2%?Yes 86%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
DraftKings average monthly unique payers in fiscal 2026
K 2.1K contractsWill DraftKings Inc. report Above 3.8 million average monthly unique payers in fiscal 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will DraftKings Inc. report Above 4 million average monthly unique payers in fiscal 2026?Yes 67%
Will DraftKings Inc. report Above 4.2 million average monthly unique payers in fiscal 2026?Yes 42.5%
+3 moreNext deadline May 14, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Reddit daily active uniques in Q3
K 2.1K contractsWill Reddit Inc. report Above 132 million daily active uniques in Q3 2026?Yes 93%
Will Reddit Inc. report Above 133 million daily active uniques in Q3 2026?Yes 83%
Will Reddit Inc. report Above 134 million daily active uniques in Q3 2026?Yes 73.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Feb 25, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Neptune Insurance policies in force in Q3
K 2.1K contractsWill Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. report Above 330000 policies in force in Q3 2026?Yes 90%
Will Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. report Above 335000 policies in force in Q3 2026?Yes 67%
Will Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. report Above 340000 policies in force in Q3 2026?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 26, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Brendan Carr departure announced?
K 2.1K contractsWill Brendan Carr leave chair of the Federal Communications Commission before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 16, 2026
K 2.1K contractsWill U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 410 million barrels?Yes 73.5%
Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 412 million barrels?Yes 68.5%
Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 411 million barrels?Yes 66.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Nu Holdings customers in 2026
K 2.1K contractsWill Nu Holdings Ltd. report above 143 million Number of Customers in 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will Nu Holdings Ltd. report above 144 million Number of Customers in 2026?Yes 84.5%
Will Nu Holdings Ltd. report above 145 million Number of Customers in 2026?Yes 78%
+9 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will wages beat inflation in 2026?
K 2.1K contractsWill U.S. real average hourly earnings growth (all private employees, YoY, seasonally adjusted) for December 2026 be above 0.0%?Yes 51.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Delivery app downloads array index in October 2026
K 2.1K contractsWill Delivery app downloads array index for October 2026 be above 135?Yes 50.5%
Will Delivery app downloads array index for October 2026 be above 145?Yes 50.2%
Will Delivery app downloads array index for October 2026 be above 140?Yes 50.2%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Will China obtain an EUV machine?
K 2.1K contractsWill China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility be confirmed before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 68%
Will China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility be confirmed before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 53.5%
Will China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility be confirmed before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 32%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Webull funded accounts in fiscal 2026
K 2.0K contractsWill Webull CORP report Above 5.25 million funded accounts in fiscal 2026?Yes 78.5%
Will Webull CORP report Above 5.3 million funded accounts in fiscal 2026?Yes 58.5%
Will Webull CORP report Above 5.35 million funded accounts in fiscal 2026?Yes 32.5%
+6 moreNext deadline May 26, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in March 2027
K 2.0K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $4.00 in March 2027?Yes 50%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $3.75 in March 2027?Yes 50%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $3.50 in March 2027?Yes 50%
+6 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Which leaders will meet before 2027?
K 2.0K contractsWill Lula and Milei meet before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 64%
Will Takaichi and Xi meet before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 57.5%
Will Putin and Carney meet before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 12%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Titled Tuesday Top 3: Oct 20
K 2.0K contractsTitled Tuesday Oct 20, 2026 Top 3 Finishers: Hikaru NakamuraYes 30%
Titled Tuesday Oct 20, 2026 Top 3 Finishers: Denis LazavikYes 19.5%
Titled Tuesday Oct 20, 2026 Top 3 Finishers: Maxime Vachier-LagraveYes 16.5%
+68 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Bleach: First Week Album Equivalent Units
K 2.0K contractsWill Bleach by Haiden Henderson have above 3K Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 80.5%
Will Bleach by Haiden Henderson have above 5K Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 55.5%
Will Bleach by Haiden Henderson have above 8K Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 38%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 12, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157)?
K 2.0K contractsWill the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment of completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 95%
Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment of completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 87.5%
Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment of completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 65%
+2 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will FERC move to break up PJM in 2026?
K 2.0K contractsWill the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) announce a decision to pursue the division of PJM Interconnection into two or more independently governed regional grid operators before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
DC Circuit rules for AP on Oval Office access before 2028?
K 2.0K contractsWill the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit rule affirms the April 8, 2025 preliminary injunction as it applies to the Oval Office, Air Force One or Mar-a-Lago?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech
Meta ad impressions growth in Q3
K 2.0K contractsWill Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 8% ad impressions growth in Q3 2026?Yes 50%
Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 10% ad impressions growth in Q3 2026?Yes 43.5%
Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 12% ad impressions growth in Q3 2026?Yes 37.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 26, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US headline CPI inflation in December 2034
K 2.0K contractsWill the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2034 be above 2.0%?Yes 74%
Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2034 be above 1.5%?Yes 72.5%
Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2034 be above 5.0%?Yes 50.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2035 UTC
KalshiTech
Justin Bieber: Highest daily view count (October 2026)
K 2.0K contractsWill Justin Bieber have above 15.5M daily views at any point during October 2026?Yes 49%
Will Justin Bieber have above 15.75M daily views at any point during October 2026?Yes 45.5%
Will Justin Bieber have above 16M daily views at any point during October 2026?Yes 30.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Match total payers in Q3
K 2.0K contractsWill Match Group, Inc. report Above 12.6 million total payers in Q3 2026?Yes 97%
Will Match Group, Inc. report Above 12.8 million total payers in Q3 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Match Group, Inc. report Above 13 million total payers in Q3 2026?Yes 95.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 4, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 · Average price in January 2027
K 2.0K contractsWill the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $55.50 in January 2027?Yes 97.5%
Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $56.50 in January 2027?Yes 97%
Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be above $56.25 in January 2027?Yes 97%
+37 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Wingstop US same store sales growth in fiscal 2026
K 1.9K contractsWill Wingstop Inc. report Above -6% domestic same store sales growth in fiscal 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will Wingstop Inc. report Above -5% domestic same store sales growth in fiscal 2026?Yes 88%
Will Wingstop Inc. report Above -4% domestic same store sales growth in fiscal 2026?Yes 82%
+4 moreNext deadline May 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA
K 1.9K contractsWill WTF GOIN (feat. 21 Savage) rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Chart dated Oct 16 - Oct 22, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will What You Need rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Chart dated Oct 16 - Oct 22, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will Nicole Kidman rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Chart dated Oct 16 - Oct 22, 2026?Yes 49.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US defaults before 2027?
K 1.9K contractsWill the US default on its debt by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Columbus in Oct 2026?
K 1.9K contractsRain in Columbus in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 45%
Rain in Columbus in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 25%
Rain in Columbus in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 18%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT · Average price in February 2027
K 1.9K contractsWill the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT be above $26.20 in February 2027?Yes 97.5%
Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT be above $26.00 in February 2027?Yes 97.5%
Will the monthly average spot price of DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT be above $25.90 in February 2027?Yes 97.5%
+37 moreNext deadline Mar 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?
K 1.9K contractsWhich country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade? (United States)Yes 61%
Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade? (China)Yes 26%
Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade? (France)Yes 4.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2030 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Bank of Mexico rate decision in December
K 1.9K contractsWill the Bank of Mexico Maintain current rate at the December Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?Yes 84.5%
Will the Bank of Mexico Cut 25bps at the December Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?Yes 8%
Will the Bank of Mexico Hike 25bps at the December Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?Yes 4%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in May 2027
K 1.9K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $3.50 in May 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.75 in May 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.50 in May 2027?Yes 50.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jun 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?
K 1.9K contractsWill the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.30% on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.34% on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 93%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.32% on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 92%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Moneypenny
K 1.9K contractsWill Naomie Harris perform as Moneypenny in the next James Bond film?Yes 14%
Will Phoebe Dynevor perform as Moneypenny in the next James Bond film?Yes 12%
Will Jodie Turner-Smith perform as Moneypenny in the next James Bond film?Yes 10%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2031 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will West Virginia's population grow in 2026?
K 1.9K contractsWill West Virginia's resident population estimate for July 1, 2026 be above 1,766,147?Yes 25.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Tesla energy deployment in Q1 2027
K 1.8K contractsWill Tesla report Above 8 GWh energy storage deployments (GWh) in Q1 2027?Yes 93%
Will Tesla report Above 10 GWh energy storage deployments (GWh) in Q1 2027?Yes 83%
Will Tesla report Above 12 GWh energy storage deployments (GWh) in Q1 2027?Yes 65.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jul 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Wendy's US same-restaurant sales growth in Q3
K 1.8K contractsWill Wendy's Company (The) report Above -12% u.s. same-restaurant sales growth in Q3 2026?Yes 96%
Will Wendy's Company (The) report Above -10% u.s. same-restaurant sales growth in Q3 2026?Yes 94%
Will Wendy's Company (The) report Above -8% u.s. same-restaurant sales growth in Q3 2026?Yes 70%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA A100 · Average hourly price in February 2027
K 1.8K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $0.75 in February 2027?Yes 80.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $1.50 in February 2027?Yes 50%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $1.25 in February 2027?Yes 50%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Louisiana oil & gas extraction jobs rise YoY?
K 1.8K contractsWill Louisiana’s annual-average employment in Oil and Gas Extraction for 2026 be above 5,100 jobs?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Dutch Bros total shops in Q3
K 1.8K contractsWill Dutch Bros Inc. report Above 1260 total shops in Q3 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Dutch Bros Inc. report Above 1250 total shops in Q3 2026?Yes 98%
Will Dutch Bros Inc. report Above 1270 total shops in Q3 2026?Yes 60%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 4, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Affirm gross merchandise volume in Q1
K 1.8K contractsWill Affirm Holdings, Inc. report Above $13 billion gross merchandise volume in Q1 2027?Yes 96.5%
Will Affirm Holdings, Inc. report Above $13.25 billion gross merchandise volume in Q1 2027?Yes 96%
Will Affirm Holdings, Inc. report Above $13.5 billion gross merchandise volume in Q1 2027?Yes 92.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement?
K 1.8K contractsWill OpenAI or Anthropic announces it has achieved recursive self-improvement before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 69%
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announces it has achieved recursive self-improvement before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 52.5%
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announces it has achieved recursive self-improvement before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 16%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Washington vs San Francisco: Touchdowns (Protected)
K 1.7K contractsChristian McCaffrey: 1+ touchdowns (Protected)Yes 69.5%
Mike Evans: 1+ touchdowns (Protected)Yes 50.5%
George Kittle: 1+ touchdowns (Protected)Yes 44%
+44 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Victoria's Secret comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026
K 1.7K contractsWill Victoria's Secret & Co. report Above 4% total comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Victoria's Secret & Co. report Above 6% total comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?Yes 82%
Will Victoria's Secret & Co. report Above 8% total comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?Yes 43%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Lowe's Credit Card Spend in October
K 1.7K contractsWill Lowe's Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 94 ?Yes 88%
Will Lowe's Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 98 ?Yes 76%
Will Lowe's Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 100 ?Yes 40.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102?
K 1.7K contractsWill the FDA approve VERVE-102 before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 83.5%
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102 before Jan 1, 2034?Yes 79.5%
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102 before Jan 1, 2033?Yes 75.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
KalshiWorld
WR Fantasy Football Week 6 Top 5?
K 1.7K contractsKeon Coleman: Top 5 WR in fantasy points for Week 6?Yes 49.5%
Jahan Dotson: Top 5 WR in fantasy points for Week 6?Yes 49.5%
Omar Cooper Jr.: Top 5 WR in fantasy points for Week 6?Yes 49.5%
+55 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC