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Showing 193-240 of 648 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiClimate
When will the next Category 5 hurricane form?
K 10.1K contractsWhen will the next Category 5 hurricane form? (Before Dec 1, 2026)Yes 5%
When will the next Category 5 hurricane form? (Before Nov 1, 2026)Yes 0.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketHealth
Plague case in US by December 31?
PM $14.4KPlague case in US by December 31?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026?
K 9.5K contractsWill the CDC end its recommendation for the COVID-19 vaccine?Yes 13.5%
Will the CDC end its recommendation for the Influenza vaccine?Yes 9%
Will the CDC end its recommendation for the Hepatitis B vaccine?Yes 5.6%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Madrid on October 19?
PM $14.0KWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on October 19?Yes 42.5%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on October 19?Yes 34.5%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on October 19?Yes 13.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
K 9.3K contractsWhen will COMPASS Pathways plc submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA? (before April 2027)Yes 83%
When will COMPASS Pathways plc submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA? (before 2027)Yes 71.5%
When will COMPASS Pathways plc submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA? (before December)Yes 57.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Busan on October 19?
PM $13.5KWill the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 19?Yes 37%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 19?Yes 36%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 19?Yes 15%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
FDA decision: Ivonescimab by Summit Therapeutics (in 2026)
K 9.2K contractsWhat will the FDA's decision be on Ivonescimab by Summit Therapeutics in 2026?Yes 47.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Toronto on October 19?
PM $12.4KWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 19?Yes 51.5%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 19?Yes 25%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 19?Yes 14.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Chicago in Oct 2026?
K 8.5K contractsRain in Chicago in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 33.5%
Rain in Chicago in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 15%
Rain in Chicago in Oct 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 7.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Dallas on October 19?
PM $12.4KWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 19?Yes 46.5%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 19?Yes 39.5%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 19?Yes 8.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
How many major Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
K 8.2K contractsWill there be more than 6 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will there be more than 7 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 72.5%
Will there be more than 8 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 37.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 12 - October 18?
PM $12.3KWill there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 89.1%
Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 11.1%
Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 3.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Houston on Oct 18, 2026?
K 8.2K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 74-75° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 76.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 76-77° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 16%
Will the maximum temperature be 72-73° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 4%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How many Chinook will pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?
PM $12.2KWill more than 550,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?Yes 98.9%
Will more than 575,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?Yes 98.5%
Will more than 585,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?Yes 14%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026
K 8.0K contractsWill WTF GOIN rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will Todo Lo Fue rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will The Live Footage That Launched Van Halen on MTV | Oakland Coliseum 1981 rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Helsinki on October 19?
PM $12.2KWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 19?Yes 45%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 19?Yes 35.5%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 19?Yes 13%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
K 8.0K contractsWhen will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before April 2027)Yes 72%
When will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before 2027)Yes 51.5%
When will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before December)Yes 34.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Denver on October 19?
PM $12.0KWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 19?Yes 54.5%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 19?Yes 35%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 19?Yes 8%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 18, 2026?
K 8.0K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 61-62° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 79.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 63-64° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 14.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 59-60° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 8%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Seattle on October 18?
PM $12.0KWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 18?Yes 60.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 18?Yes 18.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 18?Yes 18.5%
+8 more
KalshiSports
What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season?
K 7.7K contractsWill the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season be at least 2.5°C?Yes 85%
Will the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season be between 1.5°C and 1.9°C?Yes 7%
Will the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season be between 2.0°C and 2.4°C?Yes 5.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Milan on October 19?
PM $11.8KWill the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 19?Yes 51%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 19?Yes 35%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 19?Yes 9.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 18, 2026?
K 7.1K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 41-42° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 37-38° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 1.5%
Will the minimum temperature be >42° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on October 19?
PM $11.7KWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 19?Yes 56%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 19?Yes 43.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 19?Yes 3.3%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will Madison fall below 30°F before November 2026?
K 7.0K contractsWill Madison fall below 30°F from issuance through Oct 31, 2026?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chengdu on October 19?
PM $11.0KWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 19?Yes 34.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 19?Yes 34%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 19?Yes 16%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Houston in Oct 2026?
K 6.9K contractsRain in Houston in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 58%
Rain in Houston in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 33%
Rain in Houston in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 15%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chicago on October 19?
PM $10.9KWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 19?Yes 52.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 19?Yes 41%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 19?Yes 4.3%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
K 6.6K contractsWhen will the FDA approve Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema? (Before 2028)Yes 90.5%
When will the FDA approve Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema? (Before October 2027)Yes 89%
When will the FDA approve Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema? (Before July 2027)Yes 88.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on October 19?
PM $10.8KWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 19?Yes 54.5%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 19?Yes 26.5%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 19?Yes 15.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in College Station in Oct 2026?
K 6.0K contractsRain in College Station in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 33%
Rain in College Station in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 19.5%
Rain in College Station in Oct 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 8.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Ankara on October 19?
PM $10.4KWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 19?Yes 55%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 19?Yes 35%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 19?Yes 9.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 18, 2026?
K 5.8K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 77-78° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 59%
Will the maximum temperature be 79-80° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 41%
Will the maximum temperature be 75-76° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 2.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Cape Town on October 19?
PM $10.3KWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 19?Yes 63.5%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 19?Yes 23.5%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 19?Yes 12%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in New Orleans on Oct 18, 2026?
K 5.7K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 74-75° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 61.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 72-73° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 37.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 76-77° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 1%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Atlanta on October 20?
PM $10.1KWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 20?Yes 53.5%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 20?Yes 29.5%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 20?Yes 9%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Bald Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 5.6K contractsWill Bald Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 54%
Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 20, 2026?Yes 52%
Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?Yes 51.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Atlanta on October 19?
PM $10.0KWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 19?Yes 49%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 19?Yes 40.5%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 19?Yes 9%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Austin on Oct 18, 2026?
K 5.6K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 42-43° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the minimum temperature be >47° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
Will the minimum temperature be <40° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Austin on October 19?
PM $9.9KWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 19?Yes 49%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 19?Yes 37.5%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 19?Yes 11.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will the temperature in San Jose (SJC Airport) drop below 40°F in December 2026?
K 5.5K contractsWill the temperature in San Jose drop below 40°F in December 2026?Yes 78.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chongqing on October 19?
PM $9.8KWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 19?Yes 42%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 19?Yes 33.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 19?Yes 11%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in San Antonio on Oct 18, 2026?
K 5.5K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 73-74° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 74%
Will the maximum temperature be 71-72° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 23.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 75-76° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 4.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on October 19?
PM $9.8KWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?Yes 52.5%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 19?Yes 38.5%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 19?Yes 5.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Seattle on Oct 18, 2026?
K 5.5K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 58-59° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 46.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 60-61° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 41.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 56-57° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 8.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 19?
PM $9.8KWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?Yes 57%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 19?Yes 21%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 19?Yes 20%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Snow in Boston in Dec 2026?
K 5.5K contractsSnow in Boston in Dec 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 60%
Snow in Boston in Dec 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 52%
Snow in Boston in Dec 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 42.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on October 19?
PM $9.8KWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 19?Yes 35%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 19?Yes 27.5%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 19?Yes 14.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC