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Showing 193-240 of 366 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
OpenAI share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 8.5K contractsOpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 20.4%Yes 48.5%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 18.9%Yes 48%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 21.5%Yes 47%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
K 8.4K contractsTop coding AI on October 31, 2026 (Arena.ai)? (Claude)Yes 54%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (Arena.ai)? (ChatGPT)Yes 13%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (Arena.ai)? (Gemini)Yes 2.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Carvana say during their next earnings call?
K 8.2K contractsWhat will Carvana say during their next earnings call? (ADESA)Yes 86%
What will Carvana say during their next earnings call? (Acquired / Acquisition)Yes 85%
What will Carvana say during their next earnings call? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 77.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
K 8.0K contractsWhen will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before April 2027)Yes 72%
When will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before 2027)Yes 51.5%
When will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before December)Yes 34.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Number of data centers in California this year?
K 7.9K contractsWill California have at least 300 data centers this year?Yes 84%
Will California have at least 305 data centers this year?Yes 68%
Will California have at least 315 data centers this year?Yes 39.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will OpenAI release GPT-7?
K 7.7K contractsWill OpenAI release GPT-7 before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 82.5%
Will OpenAI release GPT-7 before Sep 1, 2027?Yes 58.5%
Will OpenAI release GPT-7 before Jun 1, 2027?Yes 33.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Mar 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
OpenAI share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 7.3K contractsOpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 18.6%Yes 63.5%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 26.8%Yes 49%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 26.0%Yes 49%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many human H5N1 cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 7.2K contractsAbove 0 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026Yes 69%
Above 1 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026Yes 53.5%
Above 2 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026Yes 43.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
What will Hailey Bieber say during NYT DealBook Summit?
K 7.0K contractsWhat will Hailey Bieber say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Rhode)Yes 76%
What will Hailey Bieber say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Skincare / Skin Care)Yes 62%
What will Hailey Bieber say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Makeup)Yes 59%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Who will perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?
K 7.0K contractsWill Drake perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?Yes 49.5%
Will Fred again.. perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?Yes 49%
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?Yes 44.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC
KalshiSports
Columbus vs Minnesota: Assists
K 6.9K contractsQuinn Hughes: 1+ assistsYes 67%
Zach Werenski: 1+ assistsYes 49.5%
Kirill Kaprizov: 1+ assistsYes 48%
+30 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will American Airlines say during their next earnings call?
K 6.8K contractsWhat will American Airlines Group Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Premium (3+ times))Yes 97%
What will American Airlines Group Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Record)Yes 87%
What will American Airlines Group Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Chicago / O’Hare)Yes 81.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Feb 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Progressive say during their next earnings call?
K 6.7K contractsWhat will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (M&A / Acquisition)Yes 88.5%
What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Inflation)Yes 86.5%
What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Bundle / Bundling)Yes 85%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 17, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience
Forever: First Week Album Equivalent Units
K 6.7K contractsWill Forever by The Big Moon have above 2000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 35.5%
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 5000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 12.5%
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 7000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 6.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 12, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Ally Financial say during their next earnings call?
K 6.7K contractsWhat will Ally Financial Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Headwind)Yes 94.5%
What will Ally Financial Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Oil / Gas / Gasoline)Yes 77.5%
What will Ally Financial Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Volatility)Yes 73%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Columbus vs Minnesota: Goals
K 6.6K contractsKirill Kaprizov: 1+ goalsYes 47%
Matt Boldy: 1+ goalsYes 40.5%
Joel Eriksson Ek: 1+ goalsYes 31%
+57 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Moody's Corporation say during their next earnings call?
K 6.6K contractsWhat will Moody's Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Private Credit)Yes 97.5%
What will Moody's Corporation say during their next earnings call? (AI / Artificial Intelligence (3+ times))Yes 96%
What will Moody's Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Retention)Yes 91%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 19, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
K 6.6K contractsWhen will the FDA approve Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema? (Before 2028)Yes 90.5%
When will the FDA approve Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema? (Before October 2027)Yes 89%
When will the FDA approve Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema? (Before July 2027)Yes 88.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience
Forever: First Week Streams
K 6.5K contractsWill Forever by The Big Moon have above 50000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 48%
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 100000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 32.5%
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 250000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 27%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 12, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Google share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 6.2K contractsGoogle Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 11.9%Yes 76.5%
Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 13.0%Yes 62%
Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 12.9%Yes 59.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?
K 5.9K contractsWill it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2030?Yes 66.5%
Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2029?Yes 61%
Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2028?Yes 40%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Dallas vs Green Bay: Fantasy Points
K 5.8K contractsGeorge Pickens: Over 13.6 fantasy pointsYes 50.5%
MarShawn Lloyd: Over 12.2 fantasy pointsYes 48%
Brandon Aubrey: Over 8.8 fantasy pointsYes 47.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
How many locally acquired dengue cases will be reported in Florida in 2026?
K 5.3K contracts250 or more locally acquired dengue cases in Florida during 2026Yes 97%
500 or more locally acquired dengue cases in Florida during 2026Yes 72.5%
750 or more locally acquired dengue cases in Florida during 2026Yes 19.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
What will Wingstop say during their next earnings call?
K 5.2K contractsWhat will Wingstop Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Smart Kitchen (3+ times))Yes 94.5%
What will Wingstop Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Delivery)Yes 89.5%
What will Wingstop Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Club Wingstop (3+ times))Yes 88%
+13 moreNext deadline Feb 9, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Near room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?
K 5.2K contractsWill near room-temp Meissner effect be reported by a major peer-reviewed journal?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo?
K 5.2K contractsWhat will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Amarillo originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Elon / Musk)Yes 91.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Amarillo originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 90.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Amarillo originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Working Class)Yes 83%
+22 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will AI score above 65 on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index?
K 5.1K contractsAA Intelligence Index above 65 before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 80.5%
AA Intelligence Index above 65 before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 72.5%
AA Intelligence Index above 65 before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 65.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Lollapalooza Chicago 2027: Who will perform
K 5.1K contractsWill Billie Eilish perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027?Yes 75.5%
Will Ella Langley perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027?Yes 48%
Will KATSEYE perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027?Yes 41%
+130 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will American Express say during their next earnings call?
K 4.9K contractsWhat will American Express Company say during their next earnings call? (NII / Net Interest Income)Yes 96%
What will American Express Company say during their next earnings call? (Millennial)Yes 96%
What will American Express Company say during their next earnings call? (Platinum (3+ times))Yes 95.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 21, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Spotify say during their next earnings call?
K 4.9K contractsWhat will Spotify Technology S.A. say during their next earnings call? (Monetization)Yes 95%
What will Spotify Technology S.A. say during their next earnings call? (Retain / Retention)Yes 94.5%
What will Spotify Technology S.A. say during their next earnings call? (Churn)Yes 92.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Feb 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved?
K 4.8K contractsWill the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved before 2040?Yes 71%
Will the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved before 2035?Yes 60%
Will the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved before 2030?Yes 42%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia?
K 4.7K contractsWhat will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Macon, Georgia originally scheduled for October 24, 2026? (Transgender)Yes 97%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Macon, Georgia originally scheduled for October 24, 2026? (Save America Act)Yes 94.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Macon, Georgia originally scheduled for October 24, 2026? (Stock Market)Yes 92%
+29 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
K 4.6K contractsWill the FDA approve CagriSema before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 95%
Will the FDA approve CagriSema before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 92%
Will the FDA approve CagriSema before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 70.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Meta say during their next earnings call?
K 4.6K contractsWhat will Meta Platforms, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Muse (3+ times))Yes 97.5%
What will Meta Platforms, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Cloud)Yes 88%
What will Meta Platforms, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Silicon)Yes 73%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 19, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
How many launches will Rocket Lab have before 2027?
K 4.5K contractsHow many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027? (Above 6)Yes 98.5%
How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027? (Above 7)Yes 96.5%
How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027? (Above 8)Yes 91%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Dallas vs Green Bay: Player Longest Reception
K 4.1K contractsGeorge Pickens: longest reception over 23.5 yardsYes 53.5%
Matthew Golden: longest reception over 24.5 yardsYes 52%
MarShawn Lloyd: longest reception over 7.5 yardsYes 50.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will the candidates say during Iowa Governor debate?
K 3.9K contractsWhat will any participating candidate say during Iowa Press Debates: Governor originally scheduled for October 21, 2026? (Tariff)Yes 84%
What will any participating candidate say during Iowa Press Debates: Governor originally scheduled for October 21, 2026? (Budget / Deficit)Yes 82%
What will any participating candidate say during Iowa Press Debates: Governor originally scheduled for October 21, 2026? (Property Tax (3+ times))Yes 80.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Melania say during her announcement?
K 3.9K contractsWhat will Melania Trump say during Executive Order Signing Ceremony and Announcement originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Super Intelligence)Yes 85.5%
What will Melania Trump say during Executive Order Signing Ceremony and Announcement originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Education)Yes 83.5%
What will Melania Trump say during Executive Order Signing Ceremony and Announcement originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Foster / Fostering)Yes 72.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Bernie say during his rally in El Paso?
K 3.6K contractsWhat will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in El Paso originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Elon / Musk)Yes 93%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in El Paso originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 87%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in El Paso originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Tax Break)Yes 85%
+22 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Costco say during their next earnings call?
K 3.5K contractsWhat will Costco say during their next earnings call? (Membership)Yes 92%
What will Costco say during their next earnings call? (Inflation)Yes 92%
What will Costco say during their next earnings call? (Renewal)Yes 89.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Number of data centers in Arizona this year?
K 3.0K contractsWill Arizona have at least 162 data centers this year?Yes 70.5%
Will Arizona have at least 166 data centers this year?Yes 55%
Will Arizona have at least 172 data centers this year?Yes 37%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Anthropic vs Google: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026
K 2.9K contractsWill Anthropic have a higher Arena Score than Google at the end of 2026?Yes 46%
Will Google have a higher Arena Score than Anthropic at the end of 2026?Yes 41.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
NYC Health sewer-entry warning before Nov 1, 2026?
K 2.8K contractsNYC Health sewer-entry warning before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Procter & Gamble say during their next earnings call?
K 2.8K contractsWhat will The Procter & Gamble Company say during their next earnings call? (China (3+ times))Yes 97%
What will The Procter & Gamble Company say during their next earnings call? (Inflation)Yes 88%
What will The Procter & Gamble Company say during their next earnings call? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 86.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
K 2.8K contractsWill Hodge be solved next before 2045?Yes 44.5%
Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be solved next before 2045?Yes 27%
Will Yang–Mills be solved next before 2045?Yes 23%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2045 UTC
KalshiWorld
What will Jay Parikh say during GitHub Universe Keynote?
K 2.8K contractsWhat will Jay Parikh say during GitHub Universe 2026 — Opening Keynote originally scheduled for October 28, 2026? (Copilot)Yes 85.5%
What will Jay Parikh say during GitHub Universe 2026 — Opening Keynote originally scheduled for October 28, 2026? (Agent / Agentic)Yes 75.5%
What will Jay Parikh say during GitHub Universe 2026 — Opening Keynote originally scheduled for October 28, 2026? (Open Source)Yes 68.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
K 2.7K contractsWill the Hodge Conjecture be resolved before 2032?Yes 69%
Will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved before 2031?Yes 60.5%
Will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved before 2030?Yes 54%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Chewy say during their next earnings call?
K 2.5K contractsWhat will Chewy say during their next earnings call? (Modern Animal)Yes 89%
What will Chewy say during their next earnings call? (Vet Care / Veterinary)Yes 88.5%
What will Chewy say during their next earnings call? (Chewy+ / Chewy Plus)Yes 88%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 23, 2027 UTC