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Showing 2,641-2,688 of 7,201 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

SC-04 House winner?
K 8.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for SC-04?Yes 94.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for SC-04?Yes 5.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout
PM $19.2KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 400,000 and 430,000?Yes 24.3%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 370,000 and 400,000?Yes 22%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 430,000 and 460,000?Yes 17%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Missouri governor winner? (2028)
K 8.0K contractsWill the Republican party win the governorship in MissouriYes 94.8%
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in MissouriYes 4.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OR-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 22%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 20%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Will Wyoming vote to exempt 50% of primary-home assessed value?
K 8.0K contractsWill Initiative 1 pass?Yes 29.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout
PM $19.1KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 3,900,000 and 4,100,000?Yes 31.4%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,100,000 and 4,300,000?Yes 25%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,300,000 and 4,500,000?Yes 22.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Florida Senate election: Ashley Moody vote percent
K 8.0K contractsWill Ashley Moody receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Ashley Moody receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Senate election?Yes 92.5%
Will Ashley Moody receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Senate election?Yes 80.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OR-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 29%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 28.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas's 15th District margin of victory
K 8.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 74.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 60%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 39.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MD-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-07 House election by 70%-75%?Yes 31.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-07 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 30%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-07 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 27.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Elizabeth MacDonough departure announced?
K 8.0K contractsWill Elizabeth MacDonough leave Parliamentarian of the United States Senate before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Louisiana Senate Election: Turnout
PM $19.1KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000?Yes 40.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?Yes 18.4%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?Yes 13%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Maryland's 6th District margin of victory
K 8.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 6th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 96.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 6th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 94.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 6th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 91%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MI-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-07 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-07 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 23%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-07 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 21.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
K 8.0K contractsWill DNC Services Corp / Democratic National Committee report more than $14M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 88%
Will DNC Services Corp / Democratic National Committee report more than $38M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50.5%
Will DNC Services Corp / Democratic National Committee report more than $35M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Next Mayor of Liberec
PM $19.0KWill Lukáš Hájek be the next Mayor of Liberec?Yes 89%
Will Jiří Veselka be the next Mayor of Liberec?Yes 4%
Will Jan Hruška be the next Mayor of Liberec?Yes 3.3%
+5 more
KalshiCompanies

Chipotle total restaurant count in Q3
K 8.0K contractsWill Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. report Above 4250 total restaurant count in Q3 2026?Yes 95%
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. report Above 4260 total restaurant count in Q3 2026?Yes 89%
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. report Above 4270 total restaurant count in Q3 2026?Yes 52.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?
PM $19.0KWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?Yes 96.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Jasmine Crockett campaign for James Talarico?
K 8.0K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Jasmine Crockett personally participates in at least one campaign activity, such as a rally, fundraiser, campaign advertisement, canvassing event, or phone-banking effort, in which she specifically and expressly advocates for James Talarico’s election in the November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 46.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Martin Mayoral Election Winner
PM $19.0KWill Michal Uherčík win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?Yes 42%
Will Ján Danko win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?Yes 41.5%
Will Renáta Habrunová win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?Yes 13.6%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Hidalgo County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
K 7.9K contractsWill James Talarico receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Hidalgo County, Texas?Yes 97%
Will James Talarico receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Hidalgo County, Texas?Yes 96.5%
Will James Talarico receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Hidalgo County, Texas?Yes 94%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IL-14 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-14 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-14 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-14 House election by 35% or more?Yes 15%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Georgia's 12th District margin of victory
K 7.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 12th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 78%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 12th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 68.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 12th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 58%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Oregon Senate Election: Turnout
PM $18.9KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000?Yes 35%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,900,000 and 2,000,000?Yes 33.3%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be 2,200,000 or more?Yes 16.6%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction winner?
K 7.9K contractsWill Kimberly Yee win the 2026 Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction election?Yes 52.5%
Will Teresa Leyba Ruiz win the 2026 Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction election?Yes 45%
Will Stephen Neal Jr. win the 2026 Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction election?Yes 1.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Chihuahua Governor Election Winner
PM $18.9KWill Cruz Pérez Cuéllar win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?Yes 52.5%
Will Marco Bonilla Mendoza win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?Yes 34%
Will Andrea Chávez Treviño win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?Yes 15.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NY-12 House election: Lucian Wintrich vote percent
K 7.9K contractsWill Lucian Wintrich receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?Yes 6.5%
Will Lucian Wintrich receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?Yes 5.5%
Will Lucian Wintrich receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?Yes 4%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

PA-14 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.9KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 20.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 14%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Swalwell, Gonzales, Mills, and Cherfilus-McCormick out as Representatives?
K 7.9K contractsWill the number of Representatives Tony Gonzales, Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick who leave the U.S. House of Representatives (with an actual departure date, per EFFECTIVELEAVE contract) be exactly 4 before November 3, 2026?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Ohio Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 6%-9%?Yes 19.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Visual Effects
K 7.9K contractsWill Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 92%
Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 92%
Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 89.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?
PM $18.8KOsborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?Yes 8.3%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Minnesota's 1st District margin of victory
K 7.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 72%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 42.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 21%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?
PM $18.8KNguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?Yes 8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
K 7.9K contractsWill Dave Bronson receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Dave Bronson receive at least 12% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Yes 94.5%
Will Dave Bronson receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Yes 83.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

AL-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Which ballot measures will pass in Vermont?
K 7.9K contractsWill Proposal 3 pass?Yes 90%
Will Proposal 4 pass?Yes 87%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

CT-02 House Election Winner
PM $18.8KWill the Democratic Party win the CT-02 House seat?Yes 97.3%
Will the Republican Party win the CT-02 House seat?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

When will the FY2027 NDAA become law?
K 7.8K contractsWill legislation designated as, or substantively serving as, the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2027 by authorizing national defense programs or defense policy for that fiscal year become law before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 84.5%
Will legislation designated as, or substantively serving as, the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2027 by authorizing national defense programs or defense policy for that fiscal year become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 79.5%
Will legislation designated as, or substantively serving as, the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2027 by authorizing national defense programs or defense policy for that fiscal year become law before Dec 25, 2026?Yes 61.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

CO-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 35.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 21.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 18.2%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Arkansas Governor margin of victory
K 7.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 94.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 90.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 79.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?
PM $18.7KNATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

First Circuit fully affirms Harvard funding ruling?
K 7.8K contractsWill the U.S. Court of Appeals for the First Circuit rule affirms in its entirety the district court's October 20, 2025 final judgment for Harvard?Yes 40.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NJ-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 20%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor in a Drama Series
K 7.8K contractsWill Noah Wyle be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 94.5%
Will Sterling K. Brown be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 82.5%
Will Rufus Sewell be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 66%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 4, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 18%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 17.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Iowa Secretary of State winner?
K 7.8K contractsWill Paul D. Pate win the 2026 Iowa Secretary of State election?Yes 80.5%
Will Ryan Peterman win the 2026 Iowa Secretary of State election?Yes 17.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

CA-31 House Election Winner
PM $18.6KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-31 House seat?Yes 95.5%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-31 House seat?Yes 3.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC