Climate prediction markets
597 climate market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 241-288 of 597 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Miami on Oct 18, 2026?
K 2.5K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 73-74° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 71-72° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 4%
Will the minimum temperature be 69-70° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 1%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Panama City on October 18?
PM $9.3KWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 18?Yes 61%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on October 18?Yes 21.9%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 23°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 19, 2026?
K 2.5K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 85-86° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 57.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 87-88° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 30.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 83-84° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 9.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Warsaw on October 19?
PM $9.1KWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 19?Yes 47%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on October 19?Yes 24.5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 19?Yes 21%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Boston on Oct 18, 2026?
K 2.4K contractsWill the minimum temperature be >35° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 98%
Will the minimum temperature be 34-35° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 1.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 32-33° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 1.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
PM $9.1K100kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes 3.3%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
When will Alyeska open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 2.4K contractsWill Alyeska open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will Alyeska open before Dec 6, 2026?Yes 51.5%
Will Alyeska open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 50.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Manila on October 19?
PM $8.7KWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 19?Yes 48.5%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 19?Yes 27.5%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 19?Yes 18%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Snow in New York City in Dec 2026?
K 2.4K contractsSnow in New York City in Dec 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 26.5%
Snow in New York City in Dec 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 16.5%
Snow in New York City in Dec 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 13%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Houston on October 19?
PM $7.8KWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 19?Yes 53%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 19?Yes 27%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 19?Yes 19.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Oct 19, 2026?
K 2.4K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 64-65° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 31.5%
Will the maximum temperature be >67° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 13.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on October 19?
PM $7.8KWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 19?Yes 46.5%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 19?Yes 28.5%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 19?Yes 17%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
When will Beaver Creek Resort open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 2.3K contractsWill Beaver Creek Resort open before Dec 20, 2026?Yes 96%
Will Beaver Creek Resort open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 95%
Will Beaver Creek Resort open before Dec 6, 2026?Yes 95%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Moscow on October 19?
PM $7.8KWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 19?Yes 49.5%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 19?Yes 41%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 19?Yes 8.3%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will a Category 3 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?
K 2.3K contractsWill a Category 3 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
PM $7.4KWill California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Denver on Oct 18, 2026?
K 2.2K contractsWill the minimum temperature be >44° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 63.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 43-44° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 18%
Will the minimum temperature be 41-42° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 6%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of October?
PM $7.0KWill a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Philippines this month?Yes 60.5%
Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Japan this month?Yes 54%
Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Indonesia this month?Yes 43%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Denver in Nov 2026?
K 2.2K contractsRain in Denver in Nov 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 51%
Rain in Denver in Nov 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 51%
Rain in Denver in Nov 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 50.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Milan on October 20?
PM $6.9KWill the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 20?Yes 46%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 20?Yes 24.5%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 20?Yes 22%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 18, 2026?
K 2.1K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 37-38° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 33-34° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 2.5%
Will the minimum temperature be >40° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on October 19?
PM $6.7KWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 19?Yes 58.5%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 19?Yes 26%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 19?Yes 13.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Louisville on Oct 18, 2026?
K 2.1K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 38-39° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 67%
Will the minimum temperature be 36-37° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 13.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 34-35° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 3.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Jeddah on October 19?
PM $6.5KWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 19?Yes 45.5%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 19?Yes 45%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 19?Yes 6.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Oklahoma City on Oct 19, 2026?
K 2.1K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 72-73° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 43.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 70-71° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 32.5%
Will the maximum temperature be >73° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 11.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Paris on October 18?
PM $6.5KWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 18?Yes 95%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on October 18?Yes 2.6%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on October 18?Yes 0.3%
+8 more
KalshiClimate and Weather
Cincinnati cumulative Heating Degree Days (Oct 1 - Dec 31, 2026)
K 2.0K contractsHDD at Cincinnati below 1,450.00?Yes 55%
HDD at Cincinnati below 1,650.00?Yes 50.5%
HDD at Cincinnati below 1,600.00?Yes 50.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Paris on October 20?
PM $6.4KWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 20?Yes 37%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 20?Yes 30.5%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 20?Yes 18.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 19, 2026?
K 2.0K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 68-69° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 64-65° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 20.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Warsaw on October 20?
PM $6.3KWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 20?Yes 48%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 20?Yes 26%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 20?Yes 18%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Dallas on Oct 18, 2026?
K 1.9K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 49-50° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 93.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 47-48° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 7%
Will the minimum temperature be >50° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in NYC on October 19?
PM $6.2KWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 19?Yes 44.5%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 19?Yes 42%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 19?Yes 9.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
UK Renewables Obligation scheme changes
K 1.8K contractsWill the United Kingdom agree to or announce the removal or replacement of the Renewables Obligation Certificate buy-out fund redistribution mechanism before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 46%
Will the United Kingdom agree to or announce the termination of the Renewables Obligation scheme for existing accredited generators before their scheduled end dates before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 20%
Will the United Kingdom agree to or announce the adoption of an inflation index other than CPI for the Renewables Obligation buy-out price before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 13.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Ankara on October 20?
PM $5.7KWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 20?Yes 51.5%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 20?Yes 24.5%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 20?Yes 20%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
How many major Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
K 1.7K contractsWill there be more than 3 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Central Pacific in 2026?Yes 21%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Mexico City on October 19?
PM $5.6KWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 19?Yes 41%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 19?Yes 30%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 19?Yes 23%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Atlanta on Oct 19, 2026?
K 1.7K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 70-71° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 47.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 68-69° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 46.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 72-73° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 4.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?
PM $5.6KWill the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?Yes 82%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
How many Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
K 1.7K contractsWill there be more than 5 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Central Pacific in 2026?Yes 31%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Miami on October 19?
PM $5.5KWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 19?Yes 57%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 19?Yes 30%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 19?Yes 10.3%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 18, 2026?
K 1.5K contractsWill the minimum temperature be >64° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 63-64° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 5.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 61-62° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 3.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 20?
PM $5.5KWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on October 20?Yes 28.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on October 20?Yes 25.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 20?Yes 16.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 18, 2026?
K 1.5K contractsWill the minimum temperature be >46° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 93.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 45-46° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 4.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 43-44° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 3.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in London on October 18?
PM $5.1KWill the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 18?Yes 82.8%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on October 18?Yes 19.8%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on October 18?Yes 15%
+8 more
KalshiClimate and Weather
Snow in Pittsburgh in Dec 2026?
K 1.5K contractsSnow in Pittsburgh in Dec 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 51%
Snow in Pittsburgh in Dec 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 38.5%
Snow in Pittsburgh in Dec 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 33.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?
PM $5.1KWill Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?Yes 13%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 12, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Rene category?
K 1.5K contractsWill Rene become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 7.5%
Will Rene become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 7.5%
Will Rene become a Category 1 hurricane?Yes 6%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Munich on October 20?
PM $4.9KWill the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 20?Yes 17%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 20?Yes 16.5%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 20?Yes 15.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC