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Showing 241-288 of 835 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron
K 27.1K contractsWhen will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron? (Before 2028)Yes 51.5%
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron? (Before March 2027)Yes 12%
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron? (Before February 2027)Yes 6.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Milan on October 19?
PM $11.8KWill the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 19?Yes 51%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 19?Yes 35%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 19?Yes 9.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Snow in Seattle in Dec 2026?
K 26.2K contractsSnow in Seattle in Dec 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 18%
Snow in Seattle in Dec 2026? (Above 12 inches)Yes 10%
Snow in Seattle in Dec 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 9.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on October 19?
PM $11.7KWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 19?Yes 56%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 19?Yes 43.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 19?Yes 3.3%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Simon category?
K 25.9K contractsWill Simon become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
Will Simon become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
Will Simon become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketScience
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
PM $11.1KScrewworm National Emergency declared by December 31?Yes 13.5%
Screwworm National Emergency declared by October 31?Yes 6.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Lake Mead end-of-month water elevation in Dec 2026?
K 25.8K contractsWill Lake Mead's end-of-month water elevation be above 1033 feet in Dec 2026?Yes 60%
Will Lake Mead's end-of-month water elevation be above 1034 feet in Dec 2026?Yes 59%
Will Lake Mead's end-of-month water elevation be above 1035 feet in Dec 2026?Yes 50%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chengdu on October 19?
PM $11.0KWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 19?Yes 34.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 19?Yes 34%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 19?Yes 16%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
K 25.3K contractsTop coding AI on October 31, 2026 (DeepSWE)? (Claude)Yes 41.5%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (DeepSWE)? (ChatGPT)Yes 41.5%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (DeepSWE)? (DeepSeek)Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chicago on October 19?
PM $10.9KWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 19?Yes 52.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 19?Yes 41%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 19?Yes 4.3%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience
Bruno Mars Streams in 2026
K 24.0K contractsWill Bruno Mars have 15000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Bruno Mars have 14500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Bruno Mars have 15500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 79.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on October 19?
PM $10.8KWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 19?Yes 54.5%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 19?Yes 26.5%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 19?Yes 15.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?
K 24.0K contractsWill the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Ankara on October 19?
PM $10.4KWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 19?Yes 55%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 19?Yes 35%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 19?Yes 9.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?
K 23.7K contractsWho will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? (Olivia Dean)Yes 3.5%
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? (Charli xcx)Yes 3%
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? (Sabrina Carpenter)Yes 3%
+128 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Cape Town on October 19?
PM $10.3KWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 19?Yes 63.5%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 19?Yes 23.5%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 19?Yes 12%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?
K 23.5K contractsWhen will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? (Before 2028)Yes 88%
When will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? (Before October 2027)Yes 86.5%
When will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? (Before July 2027)Yes 83%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Atlanta on October 20?
PM $10.1KWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 20?Yes 53.5%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 20?Yes 29.5%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 20?Yes 9%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Anthropic share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 22.5K contractsAnthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 5.3%Yes 93%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 6.0%Yes 50%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 5.5%Yes 49.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Atlanta on October 19?
PM $10.0KWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 19?Yes 49%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 19?Yes 40.5%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 19?Yes 9%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Oct 18, 2026?
K 22.4K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 60-61° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 73.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 62-63° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 58-59° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Austin on October 19?
PM $9.9KWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 19?Yes 49%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 19?Yes 37.5%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 19?Yes 11.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Number of US data centers in 2026?
K 21.7K contractsWill the United States have at least 4,800 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 89%
Will the United States have at least 4,900 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 78%
Will the United States have at least 5,000 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 61.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chongqing on October 19?
PM $9.8KWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 19?Yes 42%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 19?Yes 33.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 19?Yes 11%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience
Dallas vs Green Bay: Rushing Yards
K 21.7K contractsMarShawn Lloyd: 20+ rushing yardsYes 81.5%
Javonte Williams: 40+ rushing yardsYes 80.5%
MarShawn Lloyd: 25+ rushing yardsYes 74.5%
+46 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on October 19?
PM $9.8KWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?Yes 52.5%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 19?Yes 38.5%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 19?Yes 5.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 21.6K contractsWill the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.54 by Dec 31?Yes 51.5%
Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.69 by Dec 31?Yes 49.5%
Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.39 by Dec 31?Yes 44%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 19?
PM $9.8KWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?Yes 57%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 19?Yes 21%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 19?Yes 20%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will Anthropic release Opus 6?
K 21.4K contractsWill Anthropic release Opus 6 before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 15%
Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Nov 16, 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 7.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on October 19?
PM $9.8KWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 19?Yes 35%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 19?Yes 27.5%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 19?Yes 14.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
K 21.1K contractsWill the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?Yes 67%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2050 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?
PM $9.7KWill there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?Yes 97.3%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 12th
K 20.8K contractsTop Chinese AI Company week of October 12th? (Xiaomi)Yes 50.5%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 12th? (Moonshot)Yes 47.5%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 12th? (Alibaba)Yes 47.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 19?
PM $9.7KWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 19?Yes 74%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 19?Yes 20%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 19?Yes 3.4%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Denver on Oct 18, 2026?
K 20.1K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 74-75° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 67.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 76-77° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 18%
Will the maximum temperature be 72-73° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 16%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Munich on October 19?
PM $9.5KWill the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 19?Yes 39%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 19?Yes 39%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 19?Yes 10.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Major volcano eruption in 2026?
K 20.0K contractsWill there be at least 1 VEI4 eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes 33%
Will there be at least 2 VEI4 eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes 15%
Will there be at least 3 VEI4 eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes 3%
3 mktsNext deadline Jun 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 19?
PM $9.3KWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 19?Yes 55.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 19?Yes 28.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 19?Yes 12%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Atlanta on Oct 18, 2026?
K 19.8K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 86%
Will the maximum temperature be 64-65° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 14%
Will the maximum temperature be 68-69° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 2.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in London on October 19?
PM $9.3KWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 19?Yes 56.5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 19?Yes 30%
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 19?Yes 12%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 19.6K contractsWill the B200 compute per hour price be above $9.17 on Dec 31?Yes 53.5%
Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $8.57 on Dec 31?Yes 51.5%
Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $7.97 by Dec 31?Yes 51.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Panama City on October 18?
PM $9.3KWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 18?Yes 61%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on October 18?Yes 21.9%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 23°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiScience and Technology
Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?
K 19.1K contractsWill SpaceX test launch its Human Launch System before 2027?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Warsaw on October 19?
PM $9.1KWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 19?Yes 47%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on October 19?Yes 24.5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 19?Yes 21%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will xAI release Grok 5?
K 18.7K contractsWill xAI release Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 37.5%
Will xAI release Grok 5 before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 14%
Will xAI release Grok 5 before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 3%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
PM $9.1K100kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes 3.3%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will a Category 3 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?
K 18.3K contractsWill a Category 3 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Manila on October 19?
PM $8.7KWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 19?Yes 48.5%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 19?Yes 27.5%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 19?Yes 18%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC