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Showing 3,073-3,120 of 7,924 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
How many Florida mail votes will be cast?
K 7.6K contractsWill the number of Florida mail ballots returned for the 2026 general election as reported by the UF Election Lab be at least 1.4 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 95%
Will the number of Florida mail ballots returned for the 2026 general election as reported by the UF Election Lab be at least 1.6 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 92%
Will the number of Florida mail ballots returned for the 2026 general election as reported by the UF Election Lab be at least 1.8 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 70.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CO-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 35.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 21.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 18.2%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
K 7.6K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Yale University and the U.S. Department of Justice have entered into a final settlement or other final written agreement resolving, suspending, or settling a federal admissions-discrimination investigation that includes or applies to Yale Law School before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 41%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Yale University and the U.S. Department of Justice have entered into a final settlement or other final written agreement resolving, suspending, or settling a federal admissions-discrimination investigation that includes or applies to Yale Law School before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 30.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?
PM $18.7KNATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Mississippi Governor winner? (2027)
K 7.6K contractsWill the Republican party win the governorship in MississippiYes 87.5%
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in MississippiYes 14%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 20%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IN-04 House winner?
K 7.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for IN-04?Yes 94.2%
Will Democratic win the House race for IN-04?Yes 5.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 18%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 17.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ohio Secretary of State winner?
K 7.6K contractsWill the Republican party win the Secretary of State election in Ohio?Yes 56.5%
Will the Democratic party win the Secretary of State election in Ohio?Yes 40.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-31 House Election Winner
PM $18.6KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-31 House seat?Yes 95.5%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-31 House seat?Yes 3.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many human H5N1 cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 7.6K contractsAbove 0 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026Yes 68.5%
Above 1 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026Yes 56.5%
Above 2 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026Yes 35%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (A100) end of November?
PM $18.6KWill the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?Yes 44.5%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on November 30, 2026?Yes 23.5%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?Yes 22%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
K 7.6K contractsWill the House pass a reconciliation bill before January 01, 2027?Yes 24%
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 01, 2026?Yes 6.5%
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before November 01, 2026?Yes 1.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-12 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-12 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-12 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NC-14 House winner?
K 7.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for NC-14?Yes 89.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-14?Yes 8.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OH-02 House winner?
K 7.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for OH-02?Yes 96.1%
Will Democratic win the House race for OH-02?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
KY-02 House Election Winner
PM $18.6KWill the Republican Party win the KY-02 House seat?Yes 96%
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-02 House seat?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-24 House election: Tony Macula vote percent
K 7.6K contractsWill Tony Macula receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-24 House election?Yes 2.5%
Will Tony Macula receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-24 House election?Yes 2%
Will Tony Macula receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-24 House election?Yes 2%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 21.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota State Auditor winner?
K 7.5K contractsWill Zack Filipovich win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?Yes 63.5%
Will Scott Jensen win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?Yes 38%
Will Jay Reeves win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?Yes 1.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-16 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 19.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 12.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?
K 7.5K contractsWill Mette Frederiksen be the next Secretary General of NATO?Yes 32%
Will Kaja Kallas be the next Secretary General of NATO?Yes 19.5%
Will Alexander Stubb be the next Secretary General of NATO?Yes 13%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2099 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Florida Senate Election: Turnout
PM $18.6KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,750,000 and 9,000,000?Yes 24.8%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,750,000 and 8,000,000?Yes 24.1%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be 9,000,000 or more?Yes 19.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats win in Georgia?
K 7.5K contractsWill Democrats win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Georgia?Yes 92%
Will Democrats win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Georgia?Yes 4.5%
Will Democrats win fewer than 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Georgia?Yes 3.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Chiayi City Mayor Election Winner
PM $18.5KWill Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Yes 75%
Will Chang Chi-kai win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Yes 23.5%
Will Chen Chia-ping win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Yes 2.1%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CO-02 House winner?
K 7.5K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CO-02?Yes 98.2%
Will Republican win the House race for CO-02?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Ken Martin out as DNC Chair by...?
PM $18.5KWill Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026?Yes 27%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
British Columbia election: Conservative number of seats?
K 7.5K contractsWill the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 17 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes 97.5%
Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 22 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes 97%
Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 27 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes 96%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 24, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US defaults on debt by 2027?
PM $18.5KUS defaults on debt by 2027?Yes 1.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-12 House winner?
K 7.5K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TX-12?Yes 94.9%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-12?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MO-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 23.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 16.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 16.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York's 4th District margin of victory
K 7.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 4th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 86.2%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 77.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 65.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Massachusetts Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 30%-35%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 22%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 35%-40%?Yes 21%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-13 House election: Leela Gray vote percent
K 7.5K contractsWill Leela Gray receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-13 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Leela Gray receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-13 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Leela Gray receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-13 House election?Yes 90.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-12 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 30%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-12 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 20.2%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-12 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 9.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?
K 7.5K contractsWill Barack Obama endorse Mary Peltola in Alaska Senate before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 25%
Will Barack Obama endorse Karen Bass in Los Angeles Mayor before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 12%
Will Barack Obama endorse Dan Osborn in Nebraska Senate before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 4%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
PM $18.5KWill Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Yes 23%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-20 House winner?
K 7.5K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for FL-20?Yes 97%
Will Republican win the House race for FL-20?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?
PM $18.5KWill the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?Yes 84.5%
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 12, 2026?Yes 70%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in May 2027
K 7.5K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.00 in May 2027?Yes 81.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.00 in May 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $5.00 in May 2027?Yes 50%
+8 moreNext deadline Jun 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 35.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 19.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 8.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
North Carolina's 8th District margin of victory
K 7.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 8th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 90.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 8th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 83.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 8th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 73.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?
PM $18.5KWill Democrats win exactly 12 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 23%
Will Democrats win exactly 13 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 22.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 19%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Wyoming Senate margin of victory
K 7.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Wyoming be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 94.9%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Wyoming be at least 28 percentage points?Yes 90.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Wyoming be at least 30 percentage points?Yes 84.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CNN flies with Trump by..?
PM $18.5KWill CNN fly with Trump by October 31?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?
K 7.4K contractsExactly 1 peopleYes 84.5%
Exactly 2 peopleYes 15%
Exactly 3 peopleYes 2.9%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-21 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 36%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 16.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC