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Showing 3,217-3,264 of 7,138 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiElections
Will Jon Ossoff outperform the polls?
K 5.0K contractsWill Jon Ossoff outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia?Yes 60.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WI-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 23%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 14.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will independent AI safety audits become U.S. law?
K 5.0K contractsWill independent AI safety audits become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 37%
Will independent AI safety audits become U.S. law before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 23.5%
Will independent AI safety audits become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
DE-AL House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 25%-30%?Yes 52%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 20%-25%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 30%-35%?Yes 17%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nebraska Attorney General winner?
K 5.0K contractsWill the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Nebraska?Yes 92.3%
Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Nebraska?Yes 7.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
ID-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 37.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 21.2%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in Oklahoma?
K 5.0K contractsWill State Question 845 pass?Yes 49.5%
Will State Question 847 pass?Yes 49%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TN-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 26%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 24%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 23.9%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MA-04 House election: Tom Stalcup vote percent
K 5.0K contractsWill Tom Stalcup receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-04 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Tom Stalcup receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-04 House election?Yes 93%
Will Tom Stalcup receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-04 House election?Yes 80.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Trump approval rating at least ___ on October 23?
PM $14.0KWill Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 23, 2026?Yes 97.3%
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 36.0 on October 23, 2026?Yes 96.8%
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.0 on October 23, 2026?Yes 88%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-36 House winner?
K 5.0K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CA-36?Yes 97.6%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-36?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WY-AL House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.0KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 35%-40%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 30%-35%?Yes 20%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 40%-45%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Mexico Senate margin of victory
K 5.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 94.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 93%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 87.3%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner
PM $14.0KWill Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?Yes 54.5%
Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?Yes 39%
Will Stephanie Bowman win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?Yes 5.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alaska Senate election: Mary Peltola vote percent (1st Round)
K 5.0K contractsWill Mary Peltola receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?Yes 96.5%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?Yes 92.5%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?Yes 78.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Peterborough, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $14.0KWill Neil Morton win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?Yes 42.5%
Will Keith Riel win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?Yes 27%
Will Michael Eamon win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?Yes 13%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Missouri's 6th District margin of victory
K 5.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 6th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 96.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 6th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 95.9%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 6th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 94.8%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.9KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 34%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 28%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 25%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida Governor election: David Jolly vote percent
K 5.0K contractsWill David Jolly receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will David Jolly receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will David Jolly receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?
PM $13.9KWill Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?Yes 93%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India?
K 5.0K contractsWill Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 27%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Burlington, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $13.9KWill Marianne Meed Ward win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?Yes 62.5%
Will Rory Nisan win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?Yes 25.5%
Will Lisa Kearns win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?Yes 7.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency?
K 5.0K contractsWill Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency?Yes 25.5%
Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 14%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
X banned in any European country by December 31?
PM $13.9KX banned in any European country by December 31?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in North Dakota?
K 5.0K contractsWill Constitutional Measure 2 pass?Yes 57%
Will Constitutional Measure 1 pass?Yes 16.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
PM $13.8KAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OR-05 House election: Patti Adair vote percent
K 5.0K contractsWill Patti Adair receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 OR-05 House election?Yes 94%
Will Patti Adair receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 OR-05 House election?Yes 87%
Will Patti Adair receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 OR-05 House election?Yes 75%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Idaho Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 30%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 17.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Nancy Mace resign before the midterms?
K 4.9K contractsWill Nancy Mace resign before the midterms?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WV-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 17.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nigerian Senate election winner?
K 4.9K contractsWho will win the next Nigerian Senate election? (APC)Yes 84%
Who will win the next Nigerian Senate election? (PDP)Yes 12%
Who will win the next Nigerian Senate election? (Labour)Yes 2.2%
3 mktsNext deadline Feb 28, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Alagoas
PM $13.8KWill Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?Yes 98%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats win in Florida?
K 4.9K contractsWill Democrats win 7 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Florida?Yes 16%
Will Democrats win more than 10 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Florida?Yes 15%
Will Democrats win 8 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Florida?Yes 12.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner
PM $13.8KWill Chen Chen-chung win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?Yes 54.5%
Will Wu Shu-chin win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?Yes 37.5%
Will Yeh Chu-lin win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?Yes 14%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Connecticut Governor margin of victory
K 4.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Connecticut be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 93.4%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Connecticut be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 86.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Connecticut be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 75%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?
PM $13.8KWill Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 16.5%
Will Democrats win 12 or more House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 14%
Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 12.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
FL-13 House winner?
PM $13.8K · K 47.7K contractsWill the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for FL-13?
Related contracts
PM Yes 74%Rules differK Yes 76%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for FL-13?
Related contracts
PM Yes 25.5%Rules differK Yes 25%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Meta family daily active people in 2026
K 4.9K contractsWill Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 3.66 billion family daily active people in 2026?Yes 91%
Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 3.68 billion family daily active people in 2026?Yes 79%
Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 3.7 billion family daily active people in 2026?Yes 71%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania Governor election: Josh Shapiro vote percent
K 4.9K contractsWill Josh Shapiro receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Yes 98%
Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 12?
PM $13.7KWill 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Yes 45%
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Yes 41%
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Yes 9.3%
+2 more
KalshiPolitics
Victorian state election winner?
K 4.9K contractsWill Liberals and Nationals win the 2026 Victorian state election?Yes 71%
Will Australian Labor Party win the 2026 Victorian state election?Yes 15.5%
Will One Nation win the 2026 Victorian state election?Yes 11.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TN-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 33%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 21.9%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 17.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Connecticut's 3rd District margin of victory
K 4.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 3rd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 91.2%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 3rd District House election be at least 17 percentage points?Yes 89.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 3rd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?Yes 80.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Arkansas Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 33.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 5%-10%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-22 House winner?
K 4.9K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TX-22?Yes 94.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-22?Yes 4.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Guelph, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $13.6KWill Leanne Caron win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes 51.5%
Will Ken Yee Chew win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes 28.5%
Will Ryan Meunier win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes 2.8%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kamloops mayoral election winner?
K 4.9K contractsWill Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Yes 61%
Will Nelly Dever win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Yes 42%
Will Ray Dhaliwal win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Yes 41%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NH-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 21%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC